国家统计局将于8月9日发布7月CPI、PPI等经济数据。多家机构预计，7月CPI将破“2”，进入“1”时代。

The national bureau of statistics will be released on August 9 th July CPI、PPI, economic data。Many agencies are expected to，July CPI will break“2”，into“1”era。

　　交行首席经济学家连平预测7月份CPI同比将在1.7%左右。连平表示，由于多地持续暴雨影响蔬菜生产及供应，7月食品价格环比可能基本持平，但7月CPI翘尾因素大幅回落0.47个百分点。他认为，未来几月CPI翘尾因素仍将持续回落，如无新的涨价因素，三季度CPI可能维持在2%左右的较低水平。

Bocom's chief economist predict even flat CPI up in July would be around 1.7%。Even flat said，Because for heavy rains influence vegetable production and supply，July food prices annulus comparing may be flat，But July QiaoWei factors CPI sharply 0.47%。He thinks，The next few months QiaoWei CPI factors would continue to fall back，If no new increase in costs，Three quarters of the CPI may keep around 2% of the lower level。

　　瑞银特约首席经济学家汪涛预计7月CPI同比增幅将降至1.8%。汪涛指出，进入7月份以来，在季节性需求的支撑下，食品价格已环比企稳。由于需求总体仍然偏弱，前期国内油价下调，非食品通胀率也将持续低迷。因此，她认为7月CPI同比增幅将在2年半以来首次降至2%以下。

Ubs chief economist is expected to engage WangTao July CPI year-on-year rate of increase will drop to 1.8%。WangTao points out that，Since the beginning of July，In the support of the seasonal demand，Food prices have annulus comparing stabilising。Due to demand overall still weak，The domestic fuel prices fall，The food inflation will remain low。so，She think July CPI year-on-year rate of increase will be in two and a half years for the first time since dropped to below 2%。

　　第一创业证券日前也预测7月CPI同比上涨1.6%。第一创业分析认为，国内通胀水平虽处于下降通道中，但在第三季度通胀将面临由降转升的拐点。因为国际农产品价格的上涨，一定会传导到国内，将在一定程度上加快今年四季度和明年上半年CPI同比的回升速度，从而推高今年底和明年初的通胀水平。

The first venture securities recently forecast July CPI rose 1.6% year-on-year。The first venture that analysis，Domestic inflation is falling in the channel，But in the third quarter inflation will face turned down by the rise of inflection point。Because international agricultural prices，Will be transmitted to the domestic，In a way to speed up the fourth quarter this year in the first half of next year and CPI up recovery speed，To push the high end early next year, and the level of inflation。