徐沛宇

XuPeiYu

　　[ 金银岛报告认为，成品油零售价下调条件有望在11月12日满足，预计汽柴油降幅为300元~350元/吨 ]

[treasure island report says,Product retail price is expected to cut conditions on November 12, meet,Gasoline and diesel is expected to drop for 300 yuan to 350 yuan/ton]

　　受多重利空因素影响，国际油价连续三周下跌，跌幅已逼近国内成品油调价所需满足的“4%”红线。

By multiple bad factors,International oil prices fell for three weeks,Domestic refined oil price adjustment fall already approximation for the meet"4%"Red line.

　　上周五（11月2日），纽约和伦敦油价大幅下跌。到当天收盘时，纽约商品交易所12月交货的轻质原油期货价格大跌2.23美元，收于每桶84.86美元，跌幅为2.56%；同时，12月交货的伦敦布伦特原油期货价格下跌2.49美元，收于每桶105.68美元，跌幅为2.36%。

Last Friday(On November 2,),New York and London oil prices fell sharply.In the day when closed,The New York mercantile exchange December delivery light crude oil futures prices plunged us $2.23,To close at $84.86 a barrel,Down 2.56%;At the same time,December delivery London brent crude oil futures prices fell $2.49,To close at $105.68 a barrel,Down 2.36%.

　　此前三周，纽约和伦敦的原油期货价每周都有所下跌，国内成品油价格挂靠的辛塔、迪拜、布伦特DTD三地连续22日移动加权均价跌幅已超过3%。据中宇资讯测算，截至外盘11月1日，三地原油连续22日移动加权均价为每桶109.767美元，基准均价每桶113.321美元，三地原油变化率-3.14%。

The previous three weeks,New York and London QiHuoJia crude oil has fallen every week,The domestic refined oil prices of call symplectic tower/dubai/Brent DTD three continuous 22 mobile weighted average price fell more than 3%.According to ZhongYu information measure,By outside dish on November 1,Three crude oil continuous 22 mobile weighted average price of $109.767 a barrel,Benchmark average price of $113.321 a barrel,Three crude oil rate - 3.14%.

　　多家资讯机构发布报告指出，国内成品油零售价将在下周内（11月12日~16日）下调。金银岛报告认为，成品油零售价下调条件有望在11月12日满足，届时调价窗口将全面开启，预计汽柴油降幅为300~350元/吨；安迅思息旺能源的统计数据则显示，成品油零售价格或将在本月15日下调，下调幅度在310元/吨左右。

Several information agencies released the report says,Domestic product oil retail price will be within the next week(November 12 ~ 16)cut.Treasure island report says,Product retail price is expected to cut conditions on November 12, meet,The price adjustment window will be fully open,Gasoline and diesel is expected to drop for 300 ~ 350 yuan/ton;AnXunSi interest prosperous energy statistics have shown,Product oil retail prices or will be in the 15th of this month cut,Declines in 310 yuan/tons.

　　如果此次成品油价格下调兑现，将是我国今年第八次调整成品油零售价格。前一次成品油调价是在9月11日，当时汽油零售价格上调550元/吨，柴油零售价格上调540元/吨，今日（11月5日）距离上次调价已有40个工作日。

If the product oil price cut to cash,This year will be the country's eighth adjust product retail price.The first product oil price adjustment is on September 11,,When gasoline retail price increase 550 yuan/ton,Diesel retail price increase 540 yuan/ton,today(On November 5)Distance last price adjustment for 40 days.

　　在下调预期强烈的氛围中，国内成品油批发市场出现量价齐跌的状况。

Cut the expected strong atmosphere,The domestic refined oil wholesale market appear quantity price qi fell situation.

　　截至11月2日，中宇资讯监测的国内26个主要城市中石油、中石化销售公司汽柴油批发均价为：93#汽油9822元/吨，较前一工作日跌14元/吨；0#柴油8459元/吨，较前一工作日跌5元/吨。汽柴油批发均价较其最高限价分别低180元/吨、118元/吨。

By November 2,,,ZhongYu information monitoring domestic 26 major cities in oil/Sinopec sales company steam diesel wholesale average price for:93 # gasoline 9822 yuan/ton,The previous day fell 14 yuan/ton;0 # diesel oil 8459 yuan/ton,The previous day fell 5 yuan/ton.Steam diesel wholesale average price is the maximum price low respectively 180 yuan/ton/118 yuan/ton.

　　中宇资讯分析师马燕对《第一财经日报》表示，进入11月，中石油、中石化各地的油品销售公司都在继续实施促销优惠政策，西南、华东等地区的汽柴油价格仍在下滑。东北哈尔滨市场由于气温降低、密度增加，当地物价局上调了汽柴油最高零售限价，不过当地市场整体购销持续清淡，业者观望情绪浓厚。

ZhongYu information MaYan analysts to[The first financial daily]said,In November,petrochina/Sinopec around the oil sales companies continue to implement promotion preferential policies,southwest/East China and other regions of gasoline and diesel prices are still falling.Northeast China Harbin market because air temperature is lower/Density increase,The local price bureau raised steam diesel highest retail price,But local market overall marketing continuous light,Companies strong wait-and-see mood.

　　在山东地炼方面，除个别炼厂小幅调整报价以刺激出货外，整体交易价格仍有下跌的趋势。金银岛分析师王栋表示，随着气温的降低，汽柴油需求逐渐进入淡季，加之国际原油疲态难改，使得中下游商家看跌情绪加重，多以按需小量补库为主，鲜有大单成交。整体而言，近期山东地炼除个别炼厂出货量相对较好外，库存普遍呈上升趋势。

In shandong to refined aspects,In addition to the individual refinery minor adjustment quotation to stimulate the shipment,The overall market price there are still falling trend.Treasure island analysts WangDong said,As temperatures reduce,Steam diesel demand gradually into the off-season,Together with international crude oil started difficult to change,In the middle and lower reaches that businessman bearish mood aggravated,In small amounts as needed for library is given priority to,Few big single clinch a deal.overall,Recent shandong to refined in addition to the individual refinery shipments relatively good outside,Inventory generally shows ascendant trend.