文/ 记者陈海玲

Wen/reporter ChenHaiLing

　　下周国家统计局将发布包括工业生产报告、固定投资报告、社会消费品报告等在内的去年宏观经济全景图。这令已震荡一周的上证指数充满变数。

The national bureau of statistics released next week will include industrial production report/Fixed investment report/Social consumer goods report, macroeconomic panorama last year.This makes has shock a week of the Shanghai index is full of variables.

　　下周美联储将公布多项宏观数据,这关系到美国最新的购债计划持续多久。而日本也将表决一项新基金方案,以提振经济。

Next week the federal reserve will publish a number of macro data,This is related to the latest purchase debt plan last long.Japan will also vote on a new fund scheme,To boost the economy.

　　国内

domestic

　　下周国民经济运行情况系列宏观经济数据将公布

Next week the national economic operation series of macroeconomic data will be released

　　盘整多日的A股面临抉择

Consolidation days A share at A crossroads

　　本报讯 下周国家统计局则将召开国民经济运行情况新闻发布会,发布包括工业生产报告、固定投资报告、社会消费品报告等在内的去年宏观经济全景图。

Report from our correspondent national bureau of statistics will be held next week is the national economy operation news conference,Release including industrial production report/Fixed investment report/Social consumer goods report, macroeconomic panorama last year.

　　新华社援引国家发改委副主任张晓强的话称,中国2012年经济增长率可以达到7.7%,超过7.5%的年初预定目标。

The state news agency xinhua quoted ZhangXiaoJiang, deputy director of the national development and reform commission said,China's 2012 years of economic growth rate can reach 7.7%,At the beginning of more than 7.5% of the intended target.

　　上证指数在2280点一线已经震荡了6个交易日,周五的一根中阴线打破了短线的平衡局面。按大盘下跌的分时K线形态的运行轨迹与成交量的变化看,指数的下跌并不是空方主力的力量所能做到的。上证指数在2280点震荡多日,多方始终不能实现向上突破的愿望，昨日的下跌应该是其主动后撤洗盘的结果。这样既可以消化掉短线的获利筹码,也可以拉大最后一波上涨的空间。

The Shanghai index in 2280 point a line has shock six trading day,Friday's a piece of shade in line broke the short line balance situation.According to the plate falling time-sharing K line form to track the performance of the change of volume and see,Index decline is not empty square main force can do.The Shanghai index in 2280 points for shock,Many still can not achieve upward breakthrough wishes,Yesterday's fall is its active retreat wash dish results.So can digest short term profit chips,Can also widened the last wave rising space.

　　另外,上证指数虽然跌破了10日均线,但形态并没有有效破坏,正常情况下,只要下周公布的GDP等宏观数据没有突发利空,大盘就可能会在10日均线的推动下,直接向上突破,完成上证指数1949点以来的最后一段上涨。

In addition,The Shanghai index although below 10 daily line,But form and no effective damage,normally,As long as announced next week's GDP and macro data is not a bad,The market may in 10 daily line driven,Directly upward breakthrough,Complete the Shanghai index since 1949 points at the end of a period of rise.

　　另外,政府曾在去年暂时取消部分贸易相关收费(如出入境检验检疫费)以稳定出口增速,而2013年起部分措施将会过期,因此企业应该尽可能安排及早出口以降低相关费用。

In addition,The government has suspended last year in the part of the trade related charges(If the entry and exit inspection and quarantine fee)With stable export growth,And since 2013, part of the measures will be expired,So enterprises should as far as possible arrangement as soon as possible to reduce the costs associated with export.

　　国际

international

　　下周美联储多项数据公布 日本也将表决一项新基金方案

Next week the federal reserve announced several data Japan will also vote on a new fund scheme

　　美日支出计划可能有变

The spending plan may change

　　本报讯 下周美联储主席伯南克将发表演讲,同时公布多项宏观数据,这关系到,美国最新的购债计划持续多久。而日本也将表决一项新基金方案,以提振经济,但料将会引发市场对其政府债务的担忧。

Report from our correspondent next week federal reserve chairman Ben bernanke will give a speech,At the same time announced a number of macro data,This is related to,The latest purchase debt plan last long.Japan will also vote on a new fund scheme,To boost the economy,But the material will cause market for its government debt concerns.

　　汇丰银行业务策略及经济亚太区顾问梁兆基表示,美国去年下半年经济明显改善,预计势头将延续至上半年。他预计,美国两党将会继续在削赤方面存在很大分歧,影响市场情绪,拖慢经济复苏步伐。梁兆基续指,就算财政悬崖解决,国债问题在未来一年亦会继续困扰市场,相信美国今年撤走量化宽松货币政策机会极微。

HSBC bank business strategy and economic Asia Pacific consultant LiangZhaoJi said,The United States in the second half of last year the economy improved obviously,In the first half is expected to momentum will continue to.He is expected to,The two parties will continue to cut red have a lot differences,Influence market sentiment,To slow down the pace of economic recovery.LiangZhaoJi renewal refers to,Even if financial cliff solve,National debt problem in the coming year will also continue to have the market,Believe that the United States this year withdrawing the quantitative easing monetary policy opportunity very little.

　　另外,日本政府将建立多项涉及民间部门和政府支持银行的基金,其中一个基金用于鼓励银行对企业海外并购提供贷款,另一个则用于向推出新产品或业务种类的企业放贷。追加预算将安排2.8万亿（兆）日元,用于弥补养老储备金体系的缺口，这项预算案料将于下周出炉。

In addition,The Japanese government will build a number of involved in private sector and the government support bank funds,One of the fund to encourage Banks to provide loans enterprise overseas mergers and acquisitions,Another is used to introduce new products or business types of enterprise lending.Supplementary budget will arrange 2.8 trillion(mega)yen,Used for making up pension reserve system of the gap,The budget is expected to be released next week.

　　欧元区方面，德盛安联董事兼欧洲股票部高级基金经理Thorsten　Winkelmann表示,虽然目前仍存在不明朗因素,但现时为投资欧洲股市的良机。因为不少欧洲企业盈利能力改善,而且估值吸引。他指出，欧洲股市已经于2010年见底,最坏时间已过,欧洲整体经济环境正改善中,料股市近期升势可持续至明年。

In the euro area,DE cheng allianz director and European stock department senior fund manager Thorsten Winkelmann said,Although at present there are still uncertainties,But the present investment opportunity for European stock markets.Because a lot of European enterprises to improve profitability,And valuation attract.He pointed out that,European stock markets have been in 2010 see bottom,The worst time has passed,The European economy is to improve the environment of,Stock market in the near future sustainable to rise next year.