本报实习记者 张莉

Our newspaper reporter ZhangLi practice

　　降息虽能在一定程度上缓解经济下行压力，但并非经济转型和充分就业的特效药。要真正实现稳增长的宏观调控目标，力促服务业发展应是一大关键所在。

Though cut interest rates to a certain extent ease economic downward pressure，But not the economic transformation and full employment in specific。To really achieve steady growth of macro-control goal，Urges the service industry development should is a big key。

　　服务业既是我国经济转型升级的突破口，也是经济增长的稳压器，更是承载就业的一大平台。多年以来，中国经济的发展较大程度上依靠投资驱动，而投资驱动的背后是资本密集型的重型制造业和基础设施建设，这种发展模式给人们留下的印象是“高污染、高消耗、不经济、不安全”。就实际情况而言，这种发展模式的确遭遇了自然禀赋和现金流的瓶颈。从发达国家的成长路径来看，从以工业为主的第二产业向以服务业为主的第三产业过渡，是一个国家进入发达经济的必由之路。中国要发展环境友好型的绿色经济，“低污染、低能耗”的现代服务业是一个主要方向。

Service industry of the transformation and upgrade since our country economy the breach，Economic growth is the regulator，Is a great platform bearing employment。For years，The development of China's economy great degree depend on investment drive，While investment drive is behind the heavy manufacturing capital intensive and infrastructure development，This development mode to give people the impression that is“High pollution、High consumption、No economic、No security”。According to the practical situation character，This development pattern of encountered natural endowments and cash flow of bottleneck。From the developed world growth path and see，In the second industrial mainly from industry to give priority to the third industry transition of service industry，Is a nation in the only way of developed economy。China will develop environment-friendly green economy，“Low pollution、Low energy consumption”Modern service industry is one of the main direction。

　　其实，不但中国经济转型的方向在于此，中国经济的增长潜力也在于此。服务业占GDP的比重是衡量一个经济体发达程度的重要指标。世界银行的统计数据显示，目前发达国家服务业占GDP的比重普遍在60%以上。从现代服务业发展的“十二五”规划纲要来看，到2015年，我国服务业占GDP的比重将提高至47%，第三产业的产值规模将达26万亿元，前者的复合增长率达到8.9%，明显要高于同期GDP的预期增长率（7%），也高于农业和第二产业的预期复合增长率（5.5%左右）。然而，47%的目标仍低于发达国家的水平，服务业的发展潜力仍然巨大。

In fact，Not only the direction of China's economic transformation depends on this，The growth of China's economy is also the potential。Service industry in GDP is the measure of a economies of the developed an important index。The world bank's figures show，In the developed countries for services and the proportion of GDP in general more than 60%。From the development of the modern services“1025”Plan for to see，By 2015，China's service industries in GDP will increase from 47% to，Output value of the tertiary industry will scale up to 26 trillion yuan，The former compound annual growth rate of 8.9%，Obviously higher than the same period of the GDP growth rate is expected（7%），And also higher than that of agriculture and the second industry expected compound annual growth rate（5.5%）。however，47% of the target is still less than the level of developed countries，The development of service industry of the potential still huge。

　　稳定经济增长要靠服务业，充分就业、维持社会稳定更要靠服务业，服务业承载着稳定就业市场、托起就业平台的使命。据一些研究机构统计，目前服务业就业人数占全社会就业人数的40%左右，服务业可能在短期内成为就业人数最多的产业。随着“刘易斯拐点”的到来，劳动力成本的上升不可避免，劳动力密集型的制造业也将随着资本边际收益率的下降而开始走下坡路。在这个时候，大力促进服务业发展、稳定就业市场应该是宏观调控的必然选择。

Steady economic growth by services，Full employment、Maintaining social stability is more want to rely on services，Service industry is bearing the job market stability、Hold the mission of employment platform。According to some research institutions statistics，At present the total employment services social employment of about 40%，Service industry in the short term employment may be the largest number of industry。as“Lewis inflection point”coming，Rising labor costs cannot be avoided，Labor intensive manufacturing will also with capital of the marginal rate decline and began to decline。At this time，Vigorously promote the service sector development、Stable employment market should be the inevitable choice of macroeconomic regulation。

　　稳定经济要注重服务业发展大计，这个发展大计就是放松政策管制，充分发挥民间资本力量。服务业企业大多是中小企业，它们在融资渠道与经营环境上都无法与国有大中型企业相比，但它们在市场竞争中展示出了旺盛生命力。如果能在融资渠道上更多予以支持，在经营环境上更多破除制度性约束，在市场监管上更好营造公平竞争的环境，服务业将焕发更加旺盛的生命力。

Stable economy should pay attention to service the development plan，The development plan is to relax policy control，Give full play to the folk capital strength。Service industry is the medium and small enterprises most companies，They are in the financing channels and management environment are in no large and medium-sized state-owned enterprises and compared，But they are in the market competition of showing strong vitality。If the financing channels in more measures to support them，In the business environment more institutional constraints on the break，In the market supervision better to create a fair competition environment，Services will glow more vigorous vitality。