本报讯 继今年4月之后，我国第二次结售汇呈现逆差。国家外汇管理局昨日公布的统计数据显示，2012年6月份银行代客结汇1295亿美元，售汇1331亿美元，结售汇逆差35亿美元。

Report from our correspondent following in April this year after it，Our country second below writtens guarantee carry out assembles a present deficit。The state administration of foreign exchange announced yesterday the statistics，In June 2012, the bank $129.5 billion settlement for guest，Sale of $133.1 billion，Below writtens guarantee carry out assembles a deficit of $3.5 billion。

　　具体来看，今年6月份银行代客远期结汇签约105亿美元，远期售汇签约212亿美元，远期净售汇107亿美元。1-6月，银行代客累计结汇7451亿美元，累计售汇7156亿美元，银行代客累计结售汇顺差295亿美元。同期，银行代客累计远期结汇签约839亿美元，累计远期售汇签约892亿美元，银行代客累计远期净售汇53亿美元。

Specific to see，In June this year for guest signed long-term settlement bank $10.5 billion，The forward sale of $21.2 billion signing，The forward net sale of $10.7 billion。1-June，Bank acting guest accumulative total $745.1 billion settlement，Accumulative total sale of $715.6 billion，Bank acting guest accumulative total below writtens guarantee carry out assembles a surplus of $29.5 billion。Over the same period，Bank acting guest accumulative total forward settlement of exchange signed 83.9 billion dollars，Cumulative forward sale of $89.2 billion signing，Bank acting guest accumulative total forward net sale of $5.3 billion。

　　“4月逆差、5月顺差、6月份又逆差了，这其中顺逆转变的主要原因是人民币的贬值预期。”莫尼塔银行业分析师马昀昨日接受记者采访时表示，“不过出现一个月的顺差也挺正常的。最近欧债危机又起来了，人们的避险情绪上升，大家都倾向于购买美元。美元持续升值，人民币对美元就可能持续存在贬值预期，人民币对美元近期还出现过1%跌停的现象。但如果看人民币对其他国家货币，还是在升值的，比如对欧元，都已经破7.7了。”

“April deficit、May surplus、June and the deficit，This one ShunNi change is the main cause of the decline in the value of the yuan is expected。”Monitor tower banking analyst MaYun yesterday when accepting a reporter to interview said，“But the emergence of a month of surplus also pretty normal。Recent European debt crisis and up，People's hedge mood rise，We all tend to buy dollars。Dollars continue to rise，The dollar may persist devaluation expectations，The yuan to the dollar's recent also appeared the 1% drop stop phenomenon。But if you look to the other countries currency，Or in the appreciation，For instance, in the euro，Have broken 7.7。”

　　马昀还预计，人民币贬值预期将持续到四季度，到时国内经济企稳，美国财政悬崖，即美国自动减赤触发之前的减税到期，财政会有一个明显的收紧。

MaYun also is expected to，The depreciation of RMB is expected to last into the fourth quarter，Then stabilising the domestic economy，The United States financial cliff，That the United States of America to be automatic reduce red trigger tax cuts expire before，Financial will have a significant tightening。

　　由于银行代客结售汇形成的差额将通过银行在银行间外汇市场买卖平盘，这是否会引起我国6月份外汇储备的变化？对此，马昀回答说，“银行代客结售汇是贸易顺差和热钱中最终没有结汇的部分，在每月外汇储备的增量中占比都很小，所以对整个外汇储备的变化起不到多大的作用，这个更多的是验证美元紧张程度的证据。”

Because the Banks and the difference between the form below writtens guarantee carry out assembles a guest will through the bank in the inter-bank foreign exchange market trading plates，If this will cause our country in June the change of foreign exchange reserves？this，MaYun answered and said，“Bank acting guest is below writtens guarantee carry out assembles a trade surplus and hot money in the settlement of exchange ultimately no part，In the monthly incremental of foreign exchange reserves of more than are small，So to the foreign exchange reserves changes do not rise to much effect，This is more of a validation of tension $evidence。”

　　此外，统计数据还显示，6月境内银行代客涉外收付款顺收64亿美元。上半年银行代客累计涉外收付款顺收791亿美元。 记者 陈慧

In addition，Statistical data also showed，June territory for guest receiving the foreign bank charge $6.4 billion。The bank in the first half of the total foreign guest receiving charge $79.1 billion。 Reporter Chen hui