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三季报预告惨淡 A股再陷业绩“地雷阵”--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-07-31

  本报讯 百隆东方(601339,股吧)、株冶集团(600961,股吧)昨日均发布了各自的二季报预告,前者大幅预减后者大幅亏损,预告使得两只股票早早跌停。但记者还注意到,凯美特气(002549,股吧)与汉王科技(002362,股吧)则是在公布中报的同时发布了三季报预告,结果也是“一亏一减”,收盘时齐刷刷地跌停。

Report from our correspondent BaiLong east(601339,Shares it)、Zhuzhou smelter group(600961,Shares it)All reported yesterday their second quarterly forecast,The former sharply reduced the latter gets lost,Forecast makes two shares drop stop early。But the reporter still pay attention to,Kay dashing gas(002549,Shares it)With hangwang(002362,Shares it)Is released in the center daily news released simultaneously three quarterly forecast,The result is“A deficient one minus”,JiShuaShua closed to drop stop。

  “二季报业绩预告地雷基本接近尾声,除了个别主板外,但是A股又貌似迈入了三季报预告的地雷阵。”方正证券(601901,股吧)资深投资顾问潘益兵昨日向《大众证券报》表示,中小板与创业板正式中报披露工作将在8月份密集展开,而部分符合三季报预披露标准的公司将率先发布预告,预亏预减公告将会大批量出现,凯美特气的跌停只是刚刚开始。

“Two quarterly performance forecast mines basic near the end,Apart from the main board,But A shares and seemingly entered the three DeLeiZhen notice quarterly reports。”Founder securities(601901,Shares it)Senior investment adviser to PanYiBing yesterday《Public stock certificate report》said,Small and medium plate and gem formal center daily news disclosures will in August on dense,And some of the accord with the standard disclosure of three quarterly reports issued by the company will take the lead in the wrong,The announcement will reduce the deficit in large quantities,Kay dashing spirit of the drop stop was just the beginning。

  《大众证券报》上周统计的数据显示,当时已披露上市公司三季报预报的公司数有20家,预增家数仅有4家,而截至昨日已披露总数达到了68家,但预增家数也增加至10家。具体来看,下降类型的预告达到了12家,首亏的有5家,继续亏损的有4家,略微增长的有25家。

《Public stock certificate report》Last week data,At that time already disclosed the listed company of the number three quarterly forecast company has 20 home,The number represents only four home,And yesterday has disclosed by the total to 68,But the increasing number of increased to 10 also。Specific to see,Drop types of forecast to 12 home,The first of the five have a deficit,Continue to the loss of the four home,A slight growth 25 home。

  业内人士分析,今年三季报依旧不容乐观,当前已发布二季报的公司业绩还算说的过去,按照这个趋势,8月下旬披露中报的公司中发布预减或亏损三季报预告的比例更大,A股刚从中报地雷阵走出之后,只能再次陷入三季报业绩地雷阵。

Analysis of the personage inside course of,This year is still not optimistic three quarterly reports,The current already released two quarterly company performance is said of the past,According to the trend,Late August disclosure of companies in the center daily news release the reduction or losses of the proportion of the three quarterly forecast more big,A shares from center daily news DeLeiZhen after just out,Only three quarterly performance DeLeiZhen back in。

  中金最新观点认为,按目前2012年全年业绩一致预期,中小板和创业板盈利增速仍然高达29%和40%,隐含下半年同比盈利增速分别要达到60%和70%以上,可见下半年盈利风险的预期并不充分,即便乐观估计下半年中小板和创业板同比增速均能达到30%以上,全年盈利预测仍有15%左右的下调空间。

But the latest view,At the current year 2012 consistent performance expectations,Small and medium plate and earnings growth gem is still as high as 29% and 40%,The second half of implicit year-on-year growth rate to 60% profit respectively and more than 70%,The second half of the expected profit is the risk is not fully,Even optimistic estimates that small and medium plate and the second half year-on-year growth gem all can reach more than 30%,Annual profit forecast still has about 15% of the cut space。

  “地理信息、太阳能、轨道交通装备、化工新材料、新能源汽车等面临中期业绩地雷的可能较大,且低于预期较多,将面临较大盈利预测下调风险,建议投资者谨慎对待。”中金再度提醒。记者 徐海峰

“Geographic information、solar、Rail traffic equipment、Chemical new material、New energy vehicles such as the medium-term performance of mines face may be more,And more than expected,Will face bigger profit forecast cut risk,Suggest investors with caution。”Zhongjin again remind。Reporter xu haifeng got



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