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大客户时代来临 信托业高增长中转型--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-08-09

大客户时代来临 信托业高增长中转型
大客户时代来临 信托业高增长中转型

  2011年1月至2012年5月集合信托产品收益率(%)

January 2011 to may set trust product yields(%)

  数据来源:财汇资讯,诺亚研究
Data sources:Wealth transfer information,Noah research
大客户时代来临 信托业高增长中转型

  新增信托资金运用方式变化(按季)

New trust funds utilization way change(Press season)

  数据来源:中国信托业协会,诺亚研究
Data sources:China's trust industry association,Noah research
大客户时代来临 信托业高增长中转型

  房地产信托存量首次下降

Real estate trusts first drop in stock

  数据来源:中国信托业协会
Data sources:China's trust industry association

  ⊙记者 金苹苹

⊙ reporters Ping)

  与资产规模高速增长相伴相生的,正是信托业的转型之路。诺亚财富管理中心近日发布的《2012年下半年策略报告》认为,随着信托行业资产管理规模的快速增长,信托业正面临着一个全新的“大客户时代”。同时,随着未来社会融资需求的下降,此前在各类投资产品中收益率“独占鳌头”的信托产品,其收益率在未来也可能陷入低迷状态。

And asset scale growth phase of the company was born,It is the transformation of the way of the trust industry。Noah wealth management center of released recently《The second half of 2012 strategy report》think,With the trust industry assets management of the rapid growth of the scale,Trust industry is facing a new“Big customer era”。At the same time,As the future society financing falling demand,In the various kinds of investment product yields“Pulls ahead”Trust products of,Its yield in the future may also the downturn in state。

  

急速增长中的转型 Rapid growth of transformation

  中国信托业协会公布的统计数据显示,截至2012年第一季度末,中国信托业管理的信托资产规模为53016.07亿元。信托资产存量规模在连续五年保持快速正增长之后,首次超过5万亿元。在相同时点上,银行理财产品规模超过17万亿,公募基金净值总额为2.2万亿,信托业在规模上已成为资产管理行业的主要支柱之一。

China association of trust industry statistics released by the data shows,By the end of 2012 at the end of the first quarter,China of the trust of the assets management trust industry scale for 5.301607 trillion yuan。Trust the scale in the inventory assets for five consecutive years maintained a rapid growth is after,More than 5 trillion yuan for the first time。In the same point,Bank financing products scale more than 17 trillion,Public enlisting fund net value a total of 2.2 trillion,The scale of the trust industry has become the main asset management industry one of the pillars。

  此外,2012年第一季度集合信托产品发行保持同比稳步增长,发行规模为2248亿元,同比2010年第一季度的739亿元和2011年第一季度的1588亿元,分别增长204%和42%。

In addition,In the first quarter of 2012, set up trust products issued keep steady growth,Issue size for 224.8 billion yuan,Compared to the first quarter of 2010 of 73.9 billion yuan and the first quarter of 2011 of 158.8 billion yuan,Up by 204% and 42% respectively。

  在这高速增长的背后,信托业的转型正逐渐浮出水面。从产品期限来看,2012年1至4月,集合信托产品期限结构呈现出短期(1—2年)产品占比增加、中期(2—3年)产品占比基本不变、长期(3年以上)产品占比下降的态势。而在2012年5月份,这一趋势又出现了重大变化:短期产品占比大幅下降、5年以上期限产品占比大幅增加。“这主要是由于发改委审批项目提速,基础设施和新能源等领域的中长期贷款需求迅速增加所导致的。”诺亚财富研究员李要深表示。

In this fast growing back,Trust industry transformation is gradually emerging。From product deadline to see,2012 1 to 4 months,Set the trust products show short-term term structure(1-2 years)Products than increase of、middle(2-3 years)Products than the basic accounting for the same、long-term(3 years or above)Products than the situation of decline。And in May 2012,This trend again appear important changes:Short-term products accounted for more than down dramatically、Above 5 years time limit of products than greatly increased。“This is mainly due to the development and reform commission speed examination and approval,Infrastructure and new energy and other areas of long-term loan demand to increase quickly。”Noah wealth researcher lee to deep said。

  不仅如此,2012年1至5月的集合信托产品的平均收益率亦呈下降趋势,结束了之前长期的上升趋势。“信托产品收益率下降的主要原因是房地产信托的减少,此类产品长期以较高收益而著称。”李要深分析,房地产信托产品的减少,导致了信托产品平均收益率的下降。

Not only that,In January 2012 to may set the average yield trust product also drop,Before the end of the long-term trend。“Trust product yield is the main reason of the decline of the real estate trusts to reduce,Such products with higher income is known for a long time。”Lee to deep analysis,Real estate trusts product reduced,Led to trust product average yield of decline。

  但同时,由于固定收益产品的收益率历来受到市场利率的明显影响,而信托产品收益率也与市场利率大体趋同。因此在目前的市场环境下,信托产品的收益率在短期内可能继续低迷甚至进一步下降。

But at the same time,Due to the fixed income product yields has received the obvious influence on the market rate,And trust product yields have and market interest rates generally convergence。So in the current market environment,The yield on the trust products in the short term may continue to slump even further down。

  

“大客户时代”来临 “Big customer era”coming

  事实上,信托资产管理规模在2008年至2010年间的快速增长,单一信托中的银信合作业务的贡献最大。

In fact,Trust assets management scale in 2008 to 2010 and fast growth,A single trust carried in periodicals in the largest contribution to the business cooperation。

  “银信合作主要是将银行的理财资金用于发放贷款,由于不占用信贷额度、不影响存贷比指标等优势而迅速增长。”李要深解释。但同时,

“Such cooperation is mainly the bank's financial capital used to make loans,Because do not take up the credit limit、Do not affect deposit-loan ratio index of advantage and rapid growth。”Lee to deep explain。But at the same time,

  由于银信合作业务缺乏资本约束,规模冲动难以抑制,且信息相对不透明,蕴藏了巨大的风险。因此,2010年8月银监会开始对银信合作业务进行规范。“这块业务在信托资产中的占比从2010年第三季度开始快速下降,目前已降至33%,信托去银信合作化效果明显。”李要深表示。

Due to the lack of such cooperation business capital constraints,Scale irresistible impulse,And the relative information transparency,Has contained the huge risk。so,In August 2010, CBRC began to cooperate to regulate such business。“The business of the assets of the trust than from 2010 in the third quarter began falling fast,At present has been reduced from 33% to,The trust to such cooperative effect is obvious。”Lee to deep said。

  虽然银信合作占比大幅下降,但单一信托的占比并未受到影响,据统计,单一信托的占比在最近五个季度稳定在70%左右。“这得益于非银行的机构与超高净值个人对银行资金的成功替代。其中非银机构与超高净值个人成为单一信托的主要资金来源。”这也就意味着,信托公司的客户资源也正开始发生相应的变化。李要深指出;“这种变化有助于信托公司摆脱银信合作的钳制。而拥有自己的机构客户与超高净值个人客户则提升了信托公司的议价能力,有助于盈利能力的提升,也可使信托公司减少对外部销售渠道的依赖。”

Although such accounts for cooperation than down dramatically,But the trust of a single than unaffected,According to the statistics,A single trust for the last five quarters than stable at around 70%。“This benefits from non-banking institutions and high net worth individuals to the success of the bank funds instead。Among them the silver institutions and high net worth individuals into one of the main source of funds trust。”This also means,Trust company customer resources are beginning to changes of。Lee to deep points out that;“The changes to the trust company out of such cooperation condemnation。And have their own corporate clients and high net worth individuals customer ascending the trust company bargaining power,Help to improve profitability,Also can make the trust company reduce dependence on external sales channels。”

 

 房地产信托存量首现下降 The first real estate trusts stock is down

  政府部门对房地产信托的调控终于成效显现。在2012年第一季度,房地产信托存量规模首次出现下降,改变了此前“一枝独大”的局面。

The government department of the regulation of real estate trusts finally results revealed。In the first quarter of 2012,Real estate trusts stock dropped for the first time scale,Change the previous“A single big”situation。

  业内人士指出,目前信托资金在投向方面最显著的变化,便是房地产信托占比的减少和基础产业信托占比的增加。具体来看,这主要体现在采用贷款方式的房地产信托的减少,使得信托资金运用方式在整体上出现较大变化。贷款信托在全部信托中的占比也从2010年初的超过60%一路降至2012年第一季度的37%。

Industry insiders point,At present the trust funds to aspects in the most notable changes,Is real estate trusts accounted for the reduction of the basic industry than trust accounts for the increase of than。Specific to see,This is mainly embodied in the way of real estate loans of the trust to reduce,The trust fund use means that on the whole appear bigger change。Trust in all the loan of trust than also from more than 60% in early 2010 all the way down to the first quarter of 2012 of 37%。

  因此,房地产开发信托未来难以重现2010年和2011年时的辉煌。信托业内人士预计,房地产信托未来将主要用于解决开发商的短期流动需求,而持有物业型房地产信托和房地产基金将是未来房地产金融的主力军。

so,Real estate development trust future is difficult to recreate the 2010 and the 2011 glory。Trust insiders expect,Real estate trusts the future will mainly used to solve the short-term flow demand developers,And hold property real estate trusts and real estate fund type will be the future real estate finance area。

  不过这也并不意味着房地产信托未来就会一蹶不振。有分析师认为,资金密集型行业未来仍将是信托资金重要的投向之一。因为长期来看,以基础产业和房地产为代表的资金密集型行业对信托资金的需求,不仅体现在货币紧缩时的短期流动性补充,也会体现在并购重组、技术改造升级等长期需求。

But it also doesn't mean that the future will be real estate trusts to dust。Analysts think,Capital intensive future will still is one of the important to trust funds。For the long term,With the basic industry and real estate, as a representative of the capital intensive industries to trust the need for the funds,Not only embodies in the tighter monetary short-term liquidity added,Will also reflected in m&a、Technical renovation upgrade, long-term demand。



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