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金融市场持续调低经济增长预期--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-09-05

  据新华社电 巴西中央银行3日公布的最新一期《焦点调查》说,金融市场分析师再次下调了2012年巴西经济增长预期,由上周的1.73%降至1.64%。这已是金融市场连续五周降低今年增长预期,同时也是下调幅度最大的一次,降幅几乎达0.1个百分点。

According to xinhua the Brazilian central bank 3, published the latest issue[The focus of the investigation]said,Financial market analysts cut again in 2012 Brazil's economy growth prospects,By last week's 1.73% to 1.64%.This is the financial market continuous five weeks to reduce this year is expected,At the same time is also one of the biggest declines,Fell by almost 0.1%.

  金融市场分析师认为,工业疲软拖累了整体经济增长,他们预计今年巴西工业将下降1.78%。官方公布的数据显示,第二季度巴西工业生产同比萎缩2.4%,上半年降幅达1.2%。

Financial market analysts say,A weak industry to drag down the overall economic growth,They expected this year Brazil industry will decline 1.78%.Official data show,The second quarter year-on-year 2.4% Brazil industrial production atrophy,Drop of 1.2% in the first half.

  此次大幅调低今年增长预期,显然是受到巴西官方上周公布的上半年经济数据的影响。巴西国家地理统计局8月31日宣布,今年第二季度巴西经济环比增长0.4%,同比增长0.5%,今年上半年累计增幅仅为0.6%。

The down sharply this year is expected,Obviously by Brazilian authorities announced last week in the first half of the influence of the economic data.The Brazilian national geographic statistics bureau announced on August 31,,The second quarter this year Brazil's economy grew by 0.4% month-on-month,Year-on-year growth of 0.5%,In the first half of this year accumulated to expand by only 0.6%.

  巴西经济学家认为,政府此前采取的降息、减税等措施,并未对经济产生明显的刺激作用,也没能遏制经济下行趋势,今年巴西经济增速继续放缓似乎已成定局。继2010年高速增长7.5%后,巴西经济增速去年骤降至2.7%。

Brazil economists think,The government had taken to cut interest rates/Measures such as tax cuts,Not to economic causes obvious stimulation,Also can't contain economic downward trend,This year economic growth slowdown in Brazil to continue seems to have to stay.Since the 2010 high speed growth after 7.5%,Brazil's economy growth plunged to 2.7% last year.

  此外,调查显示金融市场还上调了通货膨胀预期,由上周的5.19%调高至5.20%,为连续八周调高通胀预期。巴西政府今年的通胀管理目标为4.5%,允许上下浮动两个百分点。

In addition,Investigation shows that financial markets also raised inflation expectations,By last week's 5.19% up to 5.20%,For continuous eight weeks adjustable high inflation expectations.The Brazilian government this year's inflation management goal is 4.5%,Allow to fluctuate two percent.

  《焦点调查》是巴西央行将当地主要金融机构意见汇总而成的宏观经济预测报告,每周发布一次。

[The focus of the investigation]Is the Brazilian central bank will main local financial institutions opinion summary a macro economic forecast report,A weekly release.



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