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成品油调价窗口打开 明日凌晨或涨价--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-09-10

  截至9月6日国际三地原油变化率已经突破8%,较前一日涨0.13%。而上周五则为调价后第22个工作日。这意味着国内成品油上调窗口已经打开,发改委极有可能宣布11日零时起执行调价

By September 6, three international crude oil rate has jumped to 8%,The previous day rose 0.13%.And the last Friday for price adjustment after day 22.This means that the domestic refined oil raised window has been open,Development and reform commission announced likely 11 zero hour up executive price adjustment.

  调价窗口正式打开过去的两周,布伦特、迪拜、辛塔三地原油现货均价一直在111-113美元/桶附近高位震荡,目前三地原油连续22个工作日移动加权均价每桶113.244美元,比上次调价后的基准价上涨8.36%,远超三地变化率4%的调价红线。

Price adjustment window officially open the past two weeks,brent/dubai/Symplectic tower three crude oil spot average has been in the 111-113 dollars/barrel high near concussion,At present three crude oil continuous 22 days moving weighted average price of $113.244 a barrel,After the price adjustment than last time the benchmark price rose 8.36%,Three far exceeds the rate 4% of the price adjustment red line.

  而上周五,距离上次调整成品油价格已经满足22个工作日。这意味着国内成品油的调价窗口已经正式打开。

But last Friday,The last time distance adjustment of prices of refined petroleum products has been satisfied 22 days.This means that the domestic refined oil price adjustment window has been officially opened.

  据中宇资讯分析师桑潇测算,本次成品油上调参考幅度为500元/吨,折合升价90号0.36元/升;93号汽油0.38元/升;0号柴油0.43元/升。按此幅度上调后,国内大部分地区93号汽油将重回8元高位。

According to ZhongYu information analysts SangXiao estimates,This product raised reference range for 500 yuan/ton,Reduced rise price 90, 0.36 yuan/liter;93 gasoline 0.38 yuan/liter;0 diesel, 0.43 yuan/liter.According to the range after raised,Most areas of the nation 93 gasoline will return to 8 yuan high.

  或带动CPI涨幅扩大“此次成品油零售价一次调整到位的可能性较大,首先,中国经济仍处下行筑底阶段,在CPI涨幅连续几个月下降后,发改委调油价时,不会优先考虑通胀压力;另外,国内石化企业在炼化板块面临亏损压力,成品油零售环节作为重要的盈利点,炼化企业可能不希望看到调价幅度的缩水。”中宇资讯成品油分析师王金涛说。

Or drive CPI rise to expand"The product oil retail price adjustment in place once more likely,First of all,China's economy is still place descending build bottom stage,In the CPI increase for several months after the fall,Development and reform commission adjustment when oil prices,Not preferred inflationary pressure;In addition,Domestic petrochemical enterprises in refining plate facing the pressure loss,Product retail link as important profit point,Refining enterprise may not want to see price adjustment range of shrink."ZhongYu information product oil analysts WangJinTao said.

  卓创资讯成品油分析师陈晴则表示,如果本次上调幅度在450元/吨,对CPI涨幅的直接拉升在0.012%左右。“不过,中秋节和国庆节即将到来,随着成品油价格的上涨,卓创预测节前食品价格将进一步上涨,进而带动CPI上涨幅度扩大。”陈晴说。

Zhuo and information product oil analysts ChenQing, said,If the rise in 450 yuan/ton,CPI increase to direct pull to rise at around 0.012%."but,The Mid-Autumn festival and National Day will soon come round,With oil prices,Zhuo and predict preganglionic food prices will rise further,And then drive CPI rises to expand."ChenQing said.

  此次成品油价格的上调将无疑会提高油耗成本,一辆载重30吨的物流货车,月度油耗成本将增加1300元。而普通私家车主,每月或将增加35-40元的油耗成本。

The refined oil price hike will will undoubtedly improve fuel consumption cost,A car load 30 tons of logistics truck,Monthly consumption cost will be increased by 1300 yuan.And ordinary private owners,Monthly or will be increased by 35-40 yuan fuel consumption cost.

  华西都市报记者赵雅儒

ZhaoYaRu of west China city newspaper reporters



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