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寄望经济尽快复苏 “结构性裁员”成企业界新策略--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-09-16
金证券记者 胡春春
Gold securities HuChunChun reporters
如果说2008年金融危机之下的裁员潮是场急症的话,四年后卷土重来的裁员风就显得异常沉重而压抑。
If the financial crisis in 2008 under the layoffs tide is a emergency words,After four years of layoffs in the back is very heavy and depressed.
据《金证券》了解,至目前已被证实裁员的企业包括摩托罗拉中国区、诺西中国区、三一重工(600031,股吧)、上海斯米克、达芙妮等不下20家,涉及IT、制造业、工程机械、化工、零售等行业。而最近一起被证实的裁员消息来自中国光伏巨头天合光能。
According to[Gold securities]understand,To the present has been confirmed that layoffs enterprise including MOTOROLA China/North west China/sany(600031,guba)/Shanghai, Mick/Daphne, etc more than 20 home,Involved in IT/manufacturing/Engineering machinery/chemical/Retail industry, etc.And recently the news was confirmed with jobs from China pv giant pv.
东方证券研究员王鹏(执业证书编号 S0860512050001)认为,本轮裁员风预计将在今年年底到明年年初达到一个高潮。主要原因可能在于,一方面新的大学毕业生求职季即将到来,另一方面经济形势仍未出现明显好转。
Oriental securities researcher WangPeng(Practice certificate Numbers S0860512050001)think,This layoffs are expected to be in the end of this year to early next year to a climax.The main reason may lie in,On the one hand the new university graduates to apply for a job the upcoming season,On the other hand, the economic situation is still not appear improved obviously.
跨国巨头动手最快 Transnational giants to the fastest
8月中旬,在北京望京的摩托罗拉大厦中,员工前一天收到新CEO计划裁员邮件,次日下班前便要求签署裁员协议。
In the middle of August,In Beijing the wangjing MOTOROLA building,The day before the staff receive the new CEO's plan to lay off mail,The next day before coming off work and signed the agreement for jobs.
如果说摩托罗拉的裁员是受到行业、技术的冲击,那么塞拉尼斯更多是受经济大环境的影响。据悉,塞拉尼斯是国际知名的化工行业制造商,其动作多少可以反映整个行业目前面临的困局。
If the MOTOROLA's job cuts by industry/Technology impact,So celanese more is affected by the influence of the economic environment.It is reported,Celanese corp is the international well-known chemical industry manufacturers,How much the movement can reflect the whole industry are currently facing the predicament.
曾经在摩托罗拉工作的员工在接受《金证券》记者采访时无奈地说,虽然不舍得摩托罗拉这个团队,但理解公司在当前环境下做出的选择。对在摩托罗拉这样企业工作的员工来说,在技术和能力方面都有着很强的竞争力,想要在国内手机企业谋得一份工作并非难事。而据了解,摩托罗拉均给予了被裁员工“N+2”的补偿。如果工作年限是5年的话,就是5倍的北京市月平均工资加上2个月的员工在摩托罗拉的平均工资。
Once of work in MOTOROLA staff to accept[Gold securities]A reporter to interview helplessly said,Although not be willing to part with or use MOTOROLA the team,But in the current understanding of the company under the environment of the choice.In the MOTOROLA such enterprise work for employees,In the technology and ability has strong competitiveness,Want to be in the domestic mobile phone enterprise get a job is not a very difficult task.And it was reported,MOTOROLA are given get laid off workers"N + 2"compensation.If the work is 5 years of words,Is five times as Beijing is mean monthly salary plus 2 months of employees in MOTOROLA's average wage.
但并不是所有企业的被裁员工都能得到类似摩托罗拉一样的补偿。以塞拉尼斯这样的化工制造企业来说,被裁的大部分是普通工人,补偿几乎没有。而由于化工行业的整体低迷,这些工人很难在短时间内寻找到合适的工作。一化工企业内人士称,“最近几个月,下游的化工制造企业都面临无单可接的状态,未来整个行业进行裁员都是正常的事情。”
But not all enterprise get laid off workers can get similar MOTOROLA as compensation.With celanese such chemical manufacturing enterprise for,Be cut most of the average worker,Compensation almost no.And because the chemical industry overall downturn,These workers hard to in a short time looking for the right job.A chemical industry enterprise according to people inside,"In recent months,Downstream chemical manufacturing enterprises are faced with no single may meet state,The whole industry future job cuts are normal things."
8月涉及更多企业 August involves the more enterprise
进入8月,更多的企业开始裁员。 Into August,More and more enterprises have begun to layoffs.
据东方证券一份“微中国就业调研”统计,8月出现6家公司裁员传言相关新闻报道,而7月还只有3家。研究员王鹏表示,8月确实是裁员相关报道急速发酵的一个时间点,而向前追述,裁员风波可能起始于今年二季度。
According to Oriental securities a"Micro Chinese obtain employment survey"statistics,In August 6 companies layoffs rumors related news reports,But July is only 3 home.The researchers WangPeng said,August is indeed layoffs reported rapid fermentation a point in time,And goes forward,Downsizing storm may play began in the second quarter of this year.
虽然这些传言最初均遭到公司方面的否认,但经历了一系列求证后,都证明并非空穴来风。这其中既有国内知名企业三一重工、华锐风电(601558,股吧)、龙煤集团、山推股份(000680,股吧)、达芙妮、诺西中国、名品打折网,也有不甚出名的珠江地产、百事达汽车、斯米克等。
Although these rumours are first by the company denied,But after a series of after verification,Are attested.This both domestic famous enterprise sany/Sinovel wind power(601558,guba)/Dragon coal group/Hill pushed shares(000680,guba)/daphne/North west China/Famous brand sale network,Also have not very famous pearl river real estate/Blockbuster car/Mick, etc,.
值得一提的是,《金证券》记者统计,今年以来出现裁员传闻的行业中,电商涉及最多,其次是风电、IT和制造业;下半年以来,煤炭、化工、零售、光伏、金融业也开始加入其中。
Be worth what carry is,[Gold securities]Reporter statistics,Since this year appear layoffs rumored in the industry,Electric business involves the most,The second is wind power/IT and manufacturing;Since the second half of,coal/chemical/retail/photovoltaic/The financial industry began to join them.
天合光能是光伏业深陷困境的又一个典型案例。作为国内光伏四大巨头之一,天合光能本周三宣布将精简机构以提高效率,进行部分裁员以节约费用。有消息称,天合光能将裁员40%,但尚未得到公司确认。
Pv is pv industry troubled and a typical case.As one of the domestic photovoltaic four giants,Pv Wednesday announced it will streamline institutions in order to improve the efficiency,The partial layoffs to save cost.A source says,Pv will cut its workforce by 40%,But the company has not been confirmed.
值得关注的还有中小企业的用工情况。近期,《金证券》记者连线了长三角多位中小企业主,在提到用工情况时,都用“太难了”这样的字眼形容,这些中小企业主同样面临是否裁员的选择。
There are small and medium-sized enterprises is worth to pay close attention to the employment situation.recent,[Gold securities]Reporter attachment a long triangle many medium and small business owners,When it comes to labor situations,with"Too difficult"Such words describe,These small and medium-sized business owners face the same whether the choice of jobs.
裁员出现两大变化 Cuts two big change
东方证券给出的调研结果显示,8月东方就业绝对指数-0.61,就业相对指数50%,方就业预期指数47%。这意味着,目前各个行业的招聘状况普遍比较保守,2/3的调研对象认为其行业招聘相对历史来讲处于比较低迷的状态。而对于接下来的就业形势,悲观略超过乐观,1/2的调研对象认为将维持现状。
Oriental securities given research results show that,August Orient employment absolute index - 0.61,Employment relative index 50%,Party employment expectations index 47%.This means that,At present various industries recruitment condition generally more conservative,Two-thirds of the research object think its industry recruitment relative historical speaking in a low state.And for the rest of the employment situation,Slightly more than pessimistic optimistic,1/2 of the research object think will maintain the status quo.
不过王鹏指出,虽然目前各地都有裁员的消息传出,但还不能说第二轮解聘潮已经来临。其称,本轮经济下滑过程中,企业在裁员方面的做法要比2008年成熟很多。
But WangPeng pointed out that,Although at present all over the news of layoffs,But still can't say the second round dismiss tide has come.It says,This economic downturn in the process,Enterprises in the practice of jobs than 2008 mature many.
“2008年金融危机来得很突然,导致很多企业迅速裁掉大批员工,以至于2009年、2010年很多企业招不到人。2008年解聘潮中,最大的问题是企业没有人才储备意识,谁都没有想到经济会恢复得那么快,2009年-2010年整个经济一下子起来,重新需要大量的员工。”他认为,本轮经济下滑过程中,企业在裁员上有两个明显的变化,一是很多企业虽然到了需要裁员的地步,但还在挺,希望能够挺过去;另一个是很多企业开始实行结构化裁员,不再采取为了节约成本一刀砍的做法,而是尽量去裁剪一些“容易很快在市场上招聘”到的岗位,这种做法可以防止经济恢复期企业对员工的突发性需要。
"The financial crisis in 2008 came very suddenly,Lead to many enterprise quickly cut a large number of staff,That 2009 years/In 2010, a lot of enterprises recruit less than people.2008 years dismiss the tide,The biggest problem is the enterprise no talent reserve consciousness,Who would have thought of economy will recover so fast,In 2009-2010 the economy up at a draught,To need a lot of employees."He thinks,This economic downturn in the process,Enterprises in the layoffs with two obvious change,One is a lot of enterprise although to the point of layoffs,But also in a,Hope to be able to handle it;The other is a many enterprises began to implement structural redundancy,No longer take in order to save costs a knife cut practice,But try to cut some"Easy in the market soon recruitment"To post,This kind of practice can prevent economic recovery enterprise employee's sudden need.
这个判断得到浙江一名制造业企业主的认可,他对《金证券》表示,“上游成本在不断增加,企业负担较年初高了20%左右,一方面我们不愿盲目裁员,另一方面又不得不从减少人力成本的角度考虑,来维护企业的运营。”
This judgment get zhejiang a manufacturing business owners approval,he[Gold securities]said,"Upstream cost growing,Enterprise burden for the year high 20% the left and right sides,On the one hand we have no desire to blind layoffs,On the other hand, have to reduce labor costs from the point of view,To safeguard enterprise operation."
王鹏表示,由于经济状况尚未看到好转的迹象,而在今年底到明年初,又是大学生毕业求职季,预期这段时间将会是就业相对更为困难的时期。
WangPeng said,Because of the economic situation has not yet see signs of improvement,And in the end to early next year,And college students' graduation season to apply for a job,Expect this period of time will be relatively more difficult employment period.
配稿一 Match draft a
金融从业人员自动流失 Financial employees to be automatic loss
值得一提的是,金融行业在本轮经济下滑中,也出现了裁员的苗头。此前,里昂证券香港部门出现裁员。不过,内地金融行业目前尚未出现大批裁员的情况,但《金证券》记者了解到,部分券商、基金早已开始用减薪的方式来应对经济下滑带来的风险。
Be worth what carry is,In the current round of financial industry in the economic downturn,Also appeared at the first hint of layoffs.after,Clsa Hong Kong department has layoffs.but,Mainland financial industry have not appeared the situation of a large number of layoffs,but[Gold securities]The reporter understands,Part of the securities trader/The fund had begun to use a pay cut way to deal with the risks of economic downturn.
金融业人士证实,目前就业吸引力已经大不如前,主动离职的情况十分普遍。
The financial industry personage confirms,The present employment has great appeal than before,Active turnover situation is very common.
据《金证券》了解,今年前4个月证券业注册从业人员流失最严重的是拥有一般执业资格的人员(通过证券基础知识和证券交易考试人员),前4个月总计流失8935人;其次是经纪业务执业人员(指在协会上注册“证券经纪业务营销”及“证券经纪人”),前4个月流失总规模为1621人。相比之下,具有特殊专业背景的人才流失比较少。而在本周四,上海伟海投资咨询公司发布的数据显示,截至8月底,证券业执业人员总人数为24.9万人,这是自2011年8月以来,证券业执业人数首次降至25万以下。目前证券从业人员流失仍在继续,5月至8月证券业净流失人员5721人。胡春春
According to[Gold securities]understand,This year the first 4 months securities registered practitioners erosion is the most serious is to have a general qualification personnel(Through the basic knowledge of securities and securities trading examination personnel),The first four months of 8935 a total loss;The second is brokerage practicing personnel(The association refers to register"Securities brokerage business marketing"and"Securities broker"),The first 4 months the total scale loss for 1621 people.Compared with,With special professional background brain drain is less.And on Thursday,Shanghai wei sea investment consulting company data released by the display,By the end of August,Securities practicing personnel for the total number of 249000 people,This is since since August 2011,Securities practice for the first time the number dropped to under 250000.At present securities practitioners loss continues,May to August securities net loss staff of 5721 people.HuChunChun
配稿二 Match draft two
投资者关心公司“裁员” Investors concerned about the company"layoffs"
关心公司是否“裁员”的并非只有公司员工,普通投资者也时刻紧盯上市公司是否有裁员计划,因为这可以判断公司的经营形势。
Concerned about whether the company"layoffs"Not only the employee of the company,Ordinary investors are always close watch whether a listed company has planned layoffs,Because it can judge the company's business situation.
《金证券》记者统计,在投资者关系互动平台上,仅本周就有22家公司遭遇投资者留言发问,“是否有裁员计划”。涉及到的公司包括湘潭电化(002125,股吧)、中联重工、拓维信息(002261,股吧)、酒鬼酒、方正证券(601901,股吧)等,其中大部分已经给予回应的企业都称“暂无裁员计划”。
[Gold securities]Reporter statistics,In investor relations interactive platform,Only this week have 22 companies encounter investors message asking questions,"If there is a planned layoffs".Of the company involved including xiangtan electrochemical(002125,guba)/Vanda heavy industry/Extension d information(002261,guba)/Drunkard wine/Founder securities(601901,guba), etc,Most of them have given response of enterprise all call"No planned layoffs".
不过,也有例外。
but,Also have exception.
拓维信息的回应耐人寻味,其称,“公司组织结构及员工规模视业务发展需要而定”。
The extension d information response to afford for thought,It says,"The company organization structure and staff scale depending on the business development needs and decide".
拓维信息的回应或来源于其对业绩的信心不足。公司2012年半年报显示,上半年营业收入1.87亿元,同比下降2.73%,净利润3186万元,同比下降39%。市场人士分析,拓维信息历史上曾有过裁员的动作,在目前经营环境下,隶属于电子行业的拓维信息不排除重新启动裁员减负的可能。 胡春春
Extension d information response or from the performance of the lack of confidence.The company 2012 annual report shows that half,In the first half of the business income is 187 million yuan,2.73% year-on-year drop,Net profit of 31.86 million yuan,39% year-on-year drop.Market analysts,Extension d information history had layoffs action,In the current business environment,Membership in the electronics industry topology d information does not exclude the restart layoffs may reduce the burden. HuChunChun
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