本报记者 卢铮

Our reporter LuZheng

　　国家信息中心宏观经济形势课题组10日在中国证券报独家发布的报告预计，明年我国投资有望保持平稳较快增长态势，初步预计全年固定资产投资增长22%左右，房地产投资增长15%左右。

The state information center macro economic situation in China stock certificate report group 10 exclusive report expected,In China next year investment is expected to remain stable and rapid growth trend,Preliminary expected annual fixed asset investment growth 22%,Real estate investment growth 15%.

　　报告认为，明年政府换届与投资建设周期相叠加将形成促进投资增长的有利环境。此外，财政和货币政策空间仍较大，有助于投资实现平稳增长。落实“新非公36条”细则的政策效应将充分调动民间投资积极性。国家大力实施区域协调发展战略有望带动相关投资增长。

The report says,Next year of government investment and construction cycle phase superposition will promote investment growth form favorable environment.In addition,Fiscal and monetary policy space is still large,Help investment to realize smooth growth.implement"Article 36 new non-state-owned"The effect of the policy of rules will give full play to the private investment enthusiasm.Country to carry out regional coordinated development strategy is expected to promote related investment growth.

　　稳定投资增长仍面临多重挑战，一是经济增长潜力下降导致投资增速阶段性下调；二是投资周期性放缓尚未结束，我国正处于去库存周期，新一轮固定资产设备更新周期尚未到来；三是房地产调控政策力度不减，保障房新建规模缩小，房地产投资的表现将影响其他相关产业的回升；四是企业对未来预期不看好，投资信心不足。

Stable investment growth is still faced with multiple challenges,One is the economic growth potential drop caused by investment growth stage;The second is investment periodic slowdown is not yet over,Our country is in the to inventory cycle,A new round of fixed assets equipment update cycle has not yet arrived;The third is the real estate regulation policy efforts don't reduce,Security room new size reduced,Real estate investment performance will affect other related industry picks up;Four is the enterprise for the future expectations are not valued,Investment lack of confidence.

　　报告建议，未来投资政策取向应在“稳投资”的前提下，以投资结构优化和投资效益提高为重点，加大对重点领域环节的支持，鼓励和引导民间投资，改善融资环境和金融服务，促进投资平稳健康发展。

The report recommends that the,The future investment policy orientation should be in"Steady investment"Under the premise of,The investment structure optimization and investment to increase the profit as the focal point,Strengthen the support of key fields link,Encourage and guide private investment,Improve the financing environment and financial services,To promote the healthy development of the stable investment.