调价时点可能推迟 Price adjustment time may be delayed

上海汽油价格或重返“8元”时代 The price of gasoline or return to Shanghai"Eight yuan"age

　　有业内人士称，近两年来，春节后国内油价的上调均拖延至元宵节后兑现，不排除今年调价时间点再度延迟的可能。

The personage inside course of study says,In the past two years,After the Spring Festival, the domestic oil prices are raised to delay after the Lantern Festival cash,Don't eliminate this price adjustment time delay may once again.

　　春节长假期间国际油价连创新高，国内成品油价的上调窗口也再度打开。

Spring Festival holiday international oil prices even higher innovation,Domestic product oil price hike window is open again.

　　2月16日，能源资讯机构息旺能源发布的数据显示，截至2月15日，国内成品油调价参照的三地（布伦特、迪拜、辛塔）原油移动平均价格变化率为4.30%，该数据接近于另一能源资讯机构卓创资讯发布的4.29%的三地原油变化率，已超过4%的油价上调红线。

On February 16,,Energy information agency fan energy release rate of the data display,By February 15,,The domestic refined oil price adjustment to three places(brent/dubai/Symplectic tower)Crude oil moving average price rate is 4.30%,This data is close to another energy information agency zhuo and information dissemination of 4.29% of the three oil rate,Has more than 4% of the oil price rise red line.

　　多位业内人士认为，不出意外的话，2月18日，国内油价上调窗口即可打开。不过，近两年来，春节后国内油价上调均会拖延至元宵节后兑现，不排除今年调价时间点再度延迟的可能。有分析师称，此次油价上调幅度或在每吨300元附近，折合汽油每升上调0.22元，柴油每升上调0.26元。如此，北京、上海等一线城市的汽油价格将重返“8元”时代。

Many insiders,If no accident,2 months and days,Domestic oil prices rise can open the window.but,In the past two years,After the Spring Festival, the domestic oil prices rise all can delay to the Lantern Festival after cash,Don't eliminate this price adjustment time delay may once again.Analysts say,The rise in oil prices or near $300 per ton,Reduced gasoline per litre raised 0.22 yuan,Per liter diesel up by 0.26 yuan.so,Beijing/Shanghai city a line of the price of gasoline will return"Eight yuan"age.

　　根据现行《石油价格管理办法（试行）》，当国际市场原油连续22个工作日移动平均价格变化超过4%时，可相应调整国内成品油价格。国内最近一次成品油调价发生在2012年11月16日，国内汽柴油最高零售价格每吨分别下调310元和300元。

According to the current[The measures for the administration of the price of oil(trial)],When the international crude oil market for 22 days moving average price changes more than 4%,Domestic product oil price may be adjusted.A recent domestic refined oil price adjustment occurred in 2012 November 16,The highest domestic gasoline and diesel retail price per ton cut 310 yuan and 300 yuan respectively.

布伦特油价冲高 Brent price spike

　　“目前国内成品油调价间隔的时间窗口已满足，倘若三地原油变化率触及调价红线，油价上调窗口将随之开启。”新华社2月16日援引东方油气网分析师程瑞锋的话说，倘若（与国内成品油调价直接挂钩的）布伦特油价维持在每桶118美元附近，后期三地原油变化率有望继续走高。

"At present domestic refined oil price adjustment interval time window is meet,If three crude oil rate touch the red line price adjustment,Oil prices rise window will then open."The xinhua news agency quoted on February 16, Oriental oil and gas network analyst ChengRuiFeng words,if(With the domestic refined oil price adjustment direct link)Brent prices remain at around $118 a barrel,Three late oil rate is expected to continue to go up.

　　2月15日，纽约3月交货的轻质原油期货价格下跌1.49%，收于每桶95.86美元，但本周纽约原油价格仍上涨0.15%。4月交货的伦敦布伦特油价当天下跌0.29%，收于每桶117.66美元，不过仍处于近9个月的高位。1月15日到2月14日，布伦特油价累计涨幅达7%，纽约油价累计涨幅亦达4.32%。

On February 15,,New York march delivery light crude oil futures prices fell 1.49%,To close at $95.86 a barrel,But this week, New York crude oil prices are up 0.15%.April delivery London brent prices fell by 0.29% on the day,To close at $117.66 a barrel,Although it is still in the last nine months of high.On January 15, to February 14,Brent oil price has increased by 7%,New York oil price has also increase 4.32%.

　　眼下尚不清楚息旺能源与卓创资讯公布的三地原油变化率与官方监测数据是否有较大出入。新华社旗下的石油价格系统2月16日发布的数据即称，截至2月15日的三地原油移动平均价格变化率为3.94%，尚未突破4%的调价红线。

It is not clear now carry prosperous energy and zhuo and released information three crude oil rate and official monitoring data and whether there is a bigger.The xinhua news agency's oil price system on February 16 data released by the said that,By February 15, crude oil prices three moving average rate is 3.94%,Not break through 4% of the price adjustment red line.

　　一业内人士解释，由于国家发改委未公布过三地原油变化率的具体计算公式，各监测机构发布的数据出现差异时而有之。

A the personage inside course of study to explain,Due to the national development and reform commission had not released three crude oil of the variation of the specific calculation formula,The monitoring mechanism data released by the difference of appear sometimes.

　　即便如此，程瑞锋仍对新华社称，若想让成品油上调预期消除，需要布伦特油价大跌至每桶110美元以下。当前投机氛围浓厚，布伦特油价大跌的可能性非常小。预计近期布伦特油价波动在每桶115－120美元区间内。安迅思息旺能源分析师廖凯舜亦预计，国内油价上调窗口开启是大概率事件。

Even so,ChengRuiFeng still to the xinhua news agency said,If want to let oil is expected to rise to eliminate,Need to brent prices plunged to below $110 a barrel.The current speculative atmosphere is strong,Brent prices crash of the possibility is very small.The recent oil price is expected to brent a barrel in the $115 to $120 range.AnXunSi interest prosperous energy analysts LiaoKaiShun also expected,Domestic oil prices rise window open is big probability event.

京沪穗汽油价格或重返8元时代 The beijing-shanghai ear gasoline prices or to return to the eight yuan era

　　话虽如此，分析师普遍预计，国内油价上调日期可能延后。

That may be the case,Analysts generally expected,Domestic oil prices rise date may be delayed.

　　廖凯舜对新华社称，近两年来国内油价上调均拖延至元宵节后兑现，不排除今年调价时间点再度延迟的可能。

LiaoKaiShun to the xinhua news agency said,In the past two years the domestic oil prices are raised to delay after the Lantern Festival cash,Don't eliminate this price adjustment time delay may once again.

　　中广网16日援引金银岛高级市场分析师韩景媛的观点称，从历次调价看，窗口开启并不意味着会立刻调价，极有可能会推迟。有人预计最早可能在19日调价，也有人估计会延迟到“两会”之后。

In the wide net 16 quoted treasure island senior market analyst said HanJingYuan point of view,From all previous price adjustment to see,Window open does not mean that will immediately price adjustment,Most likely will be delayed.Some people predict the first may be in 19 price adjustment,Also some people estimate will delay to"lianghui"after.

　　不过，油价上调时间窗口延后并不意味着涨价警报解除。

but,Oil prices rise time window delay does not mean that prices all clear.

　　虽然也有观点认为，国际油价缺乏上冲动力，但新华社援引卓创资讯分析师胡慧春的分析称，如果调价政策落地延迟至元宵节后，预计三地原油变化率会继续攀升，到时油价上调幅度很可能达到每吨400元，折合汽油每升上调0.31元，0号柴油每升上调0.34元。

Though there are also view,The lack of international oil prices on impact force,But the official xinhua news agency quoted zhuo and the analysis of the information HuHuiChun analysts said,If price adjustment policy ground delay to after the Lantern Festival,Three is expected to crude oil rate will continue to rise,The rise in oil prices are likely to reach $400 per ton,Reduced gasoline per litre raised 0.31 yuan,0 per liter diesel, up by 0.34 yuan.

　　部分对市场反应敏感的厂家已闻风而动。

Part of the market reaction sensitive manufacturer has go into action without delay.

　　中宇资讯分析师王金涛对新华社介绍，进入2013年以来，山东地炼主要厂家93号汽油均价每吨涨幅已超过400元。目前，北京地区普遍使用的92号汽油最高零售价格为每升7.81元，上海、广州93号汽油价格分别为每升7.75元和7.85元。倘若节后油价上调，北京、上海、广州的汽油价格或普遍进入8元时代。胡慧春亦称，近期国内油品批发市场出现大范围上涨态势。其中，华北、沿江、西南等地柴油已涨至批发限价附近。春节过后，随着工矿、基建、物流运输等行业陆续开工，国内成品油市场将延续上涨态势。

ZhongYu information analysts WangJinTao told xinhua is introduced,Since 2013,Shandong tried to major manufacturers 93 gasoline average price per ton or has more than 400 yuan.At present,Beijing area commonly used 92 gasoline highest retail price is 7.81 yuan RMB per liter,Shanghai/Guangzhou 93 gasoline price respectively 7.75 yuan and 7.85 yuan per liter.If oil prices rise after,Beijing/Shanghai/Guangzhou gasoline prices or common into eight yuan era.HuHuiChun also called,Recent domestic oil wholesale market appear large range rise.the,North China/Along the river/Southwest, diesel oil has risen near the wholesale price.After the Spring Festival,Along with the industrial and mining/infrastructure/Logistics transportation industries have commenced,The domestic refined oil market will continue to rise.

成品油定价新机制推出预期再升温 Refined oil pricing mechanism is expected to launch more warming

　　值得一提的是，伴随着国内油价上调窗口的再度开启，成品油定价新机制的推出预期再度升温。

Be worth what carry is,Along with the domestic oil prices rise window open again,Refined oil pricing mechanism is expected to launch the heating up again.

　　有市场传言称，新机制将缩短调价周期，将22天改为10天，另外“4%”的涨跌幅硬性条件很有可能被取消。

Market rumors,Mechanism will shorten the price adjustment period,22 days will be changed to 10 days,In addition"4%"The price hard conditions are likely to be cancelled.

　　中广网16日援引南华期货高级总监张一伟的观点称，新的管理办法推出之后，对目前囤积成品油谋利是一个打击。张一伟进一步说，新的价格形成机制形成以后，可能大家对国内成品油的波动趋势，在短时间内不太好掌握。

In the wide net 16 quoted south China futures senior director ZhangYiWei view says,The new management method was introduced,The present stock product profit is a blow.ZhangYiWei further,New price formation mechanism after forming,May everyone in domestic product trend of fluctuations,In a short time not too good master.

　　石油大学工商管理学院副院长董秀成则对中广网强调，很快推出新的管理办法也不是没有可能。

The university of petroleum, vice President of the college of business administration DongXiuCheng is the wide net stressed,Soon a new management way is not impossible.

　　“这是个老问题了，对石油价格管理办法进行修订。从目前国际原油的价格来看，再加上国内宏观经济形势，通胀压力不大的情况下，推出修订后的价格管理办法，应该是时机比较好的。”董秀成这么分析道。

"This is an old problem,The price of oil to the measures for the administration of the revised.From the current international crude oil prices to see,Plus domestic macro economic situation,Inflation pressure under the condition of not,Introduced the revised price management measures,Should be time better."DongXiuCheng so analysis way.