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内外利空叠加商品暴跌 黄金白银未来或领跌--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2013-02-21

  和讯网消息 2月21日早盘,期货市场全线暴跌,多个品种跌幅超出3%,焦炭期货下跌3.97%报跌停。多位业内专家对和讯表示,房地产调控加码,股市大跌以及昨夜美元暴涨,内外利空交织导致商品期货前期积压利空释放,后市空头格局仍将持续一段时间。和讯期货事业部总经理方志还指出,未来中国股市仍然有望恢复上涨,但商品可能就进入震荡。“2013年商品与股市的走势将分道扬镳,贵金属有出现超级大顶的迹象。”

HeXunWang news earlier on February 21,,The futures market in all,Varieties than 3% decline,Coke futures fell 3.97% to drop stop.Many industry experts said with dispatch,Real estate regulation pyramid,The stock market crash and jumped $last night,Inside and outside bad mixed lead to commodity futures the backlog bad release,The market outlook is still short pattern will continue for a period of time.With dispatch futures division general manager also pointed out that local records,The Chinese stock market is still rising to restore,But the commodity may be into shock."In 2013 commodity and stock market trend will separate ways,Precious metals have appeared super big top signs."

  21日周四,国内商品期货全线重挫,多数品种跌幅超过2%。橡胶、白银、玻璃截止发稿跌幅超过3%,焦炭期货跌停。10点之后开始触底反弹,粕类强势抗敌,豆粕、菜粕期货盘中翻红。

21 Thursday,All domestic commodity futures down sharply,Most species fell more than 2%.rubber/silver/By the time the glass fell more than 3%,Coke futures drop stop.After 10 o 'clock start sole rebound,Meal kind of strong anti enemies,Soybean meal/Food meal futures plate turn red.

  对于商品暴跌原因,光大期货分析师高华对和讯表示:今日商品重挫受内外利空集中夹击,昨日国务院对外宣布严格限购扩大房产税试点范围,此外美元指数强劲反弹,突破前期高点后中长期涨势或将确立,由此来看,近期商品整体回调格局难改。

For goods in reason,Everbright futures analyst to gao hua said with dispatch:This setback goods by inside and outside bad focus flank,The state council yesterday announced strictly restricted to expand housing property tax pilot range,In addition the dollar index rebounded strongly,Breakthrough after previous high long-term gains or will be established,In this respect,Recent commodity overall callback pattern is hard to reform.

  隔夜,美联储1月会议记录显示政策制定者可能不得不在就业大幅改善前放缓或停止购买资产,令金融风险市场大幅下挫,其中,美元指数大幅蹿升到81.16,今年以来高点。

overnight,The federal reserve 1 month meeting records show that policy makers in the job may have to improve drastically slow or stop before the purchase of assets,Make financial risk market tumbled,the,The dollar index greatly comes up to 81.16,Since this year high.

  焦炭期货率先触及跌停,一名业内人士分析,随着房地产调控的加码,作为螺纹钢上游,焦炭未来需求受影响,且春节过后供应局面改善的影响,焦炭转入调整。但期货反映是预期,大家对利空消息的一个过度反应,这里面有主力资金借机炒做的因素,前期上涨过多,调整在情理之中,大环境未变坏,调整后依然看多。

Coke futures first fall to the touch,One of the personage inside course of study,Along with the real estate regulation of the pyramid,As the rebar upstream,Coke future needs affected,After the Spring Festival and the influence of the supply situation to improve,Coke to adjust.But futures reflect is expected,All bad news for a overreaction,There are main funds looking to Fried do factors,Early rise too much,Adjustment in reason,Not bad environment,After the adjustment is still bullish.

  由于贵金属与美元负相关度较高,也惨遭重挫,沪金跌幅近3%,沪银接近4%的跌停板。和讯期货事业部总经理方志认为,日元的异动是2013年全球资本市场的关键因素,黄金、白银近期有出现超级大顶的迹象。

Due to the precious metal and dollar negative doctrines,Heavy volumes were also,Shanghai gold fell nearly 3%,Shanghai silver close to 4% of the limit down.With dispatch futures division general manager that local records,The yen moved is 2013 years of the global capital markets key factors,gold/Silver has recently appeared super big top signs.

  日本为拉动出口开始大幅贬值日元,几个月内贬值了20%。日元贬值导致美元进一步升值,还使得全球资本涌向中国,导致股市商品近几个月大涨。然而,在美元升值的前提下,商品受股票带动的被动式上涨存在崩盘隐忧,今日股市大跌触发商品积压利空释放,贵金属跌幅居前,未来中国股市调整之后有望恢复上涨,但商品可能就进入震荡,贵金属等或走熊。”他说。

Japan exports begin to pull the substantial depreciation of the yen,Within a few months down about 20%.The weak yen to cause the dollar to further appreciation,Also make the global capital poured into China,Lead to the stock market in recent months of goods.however,In the premise of the us dollar,Commodity stocks rose by driving the passive there worry crash,Today the stock market crashes trigger goods backlog bad release,Precious metals in fall before,China's stock market future adjustments to restore rise,But the commodity may be into shock,ZouXiong or precious metals, etc."He said.

  截止中午收盘,仅豆粕主力合约万绿从中一点红,上涨0.5%,业内人士普遍看好粕类表现。东海期货分析师张葆君认为,上半年农产品期货有望表现更佳,近一两个月建议可做多豆粕和菜粕空玉米的对冲组合。

By noon closing,Only the main contract from soybean meal are a little red,Rose 0.5%,The personage inside course of study generally optimistic about meal class performance.The east China sea futures analyst ZhangBaoJun think,In the first half of the agricultural futures are expected to perform better,Nearly a month or two Suggestions can do more than soybean meal and food meal empty corn hedge combination.

  午盘收市,股指期货IF1303合约暴跌3.3%。

At noon,Stock index futures contract IF1303 fell by 3.3%.

  



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