14日央行更新的金融机构人民币信贷收支表数据显示，截至7月末，中国金融机构外汇占款余额达256575.17亿元人民币，较6月净减少38.2亿元。如果将今年前7个月金融机构外汇占款2988 .16亿元的增量和去年同期23081.06亿元的增量相比较的话，增量只占去年同期的13%，也就是说，前7个月的增量同比下降达八成以上。市场分析认为，7月贸易顺差减少和7月中旬以来人民币贬值预期是主要原因。

14 central bank updated financial organ renminbi credit balance data display，By the late July，China's financial institutions funding of foreign exchange balance of RMB 25.657517 trillion，A June net a decrease of 3.82 billion yuan。If the first seven months of this year foreign exchange financial institutions funding of 2988. 1.6 billion yuan of increment and the same period last year 2.308106 trillion yuan of incremental compared to words，Incremental account for only 13% of the same period last year，That is，For the first seven months of the increment of the reductions of more than eighty percent year-on-year。Market analysis think，July trade surplus and reduce the middle of July, the devaluation of RMB expected since is the main reason。

　　在外汇占款持续低位增长的情况下，众多市场人士纷纷预计再次降准的可能性在增大。业内人士指出，外汇占款的增减在一定程度上影响着市场上的资金规模和货币工具操作方向。一般来说，外汇占款减少后将减少本币的投放，继而减小了市场的流动性规模，而央行为向市场补充流动性，就可能下调存款准备金率。

In exchange for low growth funding of the case，Many market participants are expected to drop the possibility of accurate in increase。The personage inside course of study points out that，Of the increase and decrease of the funding of foreign exchange in the certain degree affecting the market capital scale and monetary instruments operation direction。Generally speaking，Foreign exchange after the funding of reduce will reduce local currency issuance，Then reduced the scale of market liquidity，And the central bank liquidity to the market for supplement，May cut deposit reserve rate。

　　目前市场预计，考虑到新增外汇占款趋势性下降仍未改变、央票到期规模较小等因素，为保持银行间市场合理的流动性，不排除央行在8月再次下调存准率输送流动性。

The present market is expected to，Considering the new funding of foreign exchange decline trend remains unchanged、Central ticket due factors such as smaller，To maintain interbank market reasonable liquidity，The central bank would not rule out another drop in August with quasi rate conveying liquidity。