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外贸稳增长政策小额加码 力度未及预期--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-09-13
在连续两个月的外贸低增长后,决策层终于公布了稳定外贸增长的系列措施,但政策的力度远远逊色于此前传言的方案。
In the two months in a row after the foreign trade low growth,Decision-making finally announced the stable growth of foreign trade series of measures,But the degree to which policy is far less than that before the plan.
9月12日,国务院总理温家宝主持召开国务院常务会议,讨论通过了《关于促进外贸稳定增长的若干意见》,确定了加快出口退税进度、融资、出口信保、贸易便利化等八项支持政策。
On September 12,,The state council premier wen jiabao presided the state council executive meeting,Through the discussion[On promoting the steady growth of foreign trade some opinions],Sure to speed up the progress of the export tax rebate/financing/Export believe the/Trade facilitation and eight support policy.
外贸系统人士透露,这一揽子刺激政策较此前商务部上报的建议方案明显缩水,商务部汇总各进出口商会的意见,原本期望能大范围上调商品的出口退税率,尤其是部分涉及保就业的劳动密集型产品。
Foreign trade system sources,The stimulus package than previously reported the ministry of commerce proposal shrunk significantly,The ministry of commerce summarizing various import and export chamber of commerce opinion,Expected to raise the export tax rebate rate range of goods,Especially in the employment of the labor-intensive products.
但决策层最终敲定的方案只明确表示将加快出口退税进度,确保准确及时退税。
But decision-making finalised plan only made it clear that will speed up export tax rebate progress,To ensure accurate and timely tax refund.
中国出口信用保险公司人士9月12日透露,今年短期出口信用保险的额度已经明确从年初2400亿美元的规模加码至2700亿,新增的300亿额度已经在内部分解。此外,根据国务院高层的批示,金融危机时曾经出台过的“421成套设备专项计划”(为大型成套设备出口融资提供保险专项资金)不仅常态化运作,今年只要通过风险审查的项目都尽量安排保险资金,不设上限额度。
China's export credit insurance company people on September 12 revealed,This year short-term export credit insurance amount have been clear from the beginning of the scale of 240 billion dollars extra to 270 billion,New 30 billion line has been in internal decomposition.In addition,According to the state council high-level instruction,A financial crisis had issued the"421 special plan of complete sets of equipment"(For large complete sets of equipment export financing provide insurance special funds)Not only normalization operation,As long as this year through a risk review of the projects have try to arrange insurance funds,Unlimited amount.
出口退税未见调整 Export tax rebate adjustment not seen
海关总署数日前公布的8月贸易数据显示,中国进出口减速甚至下降的状况仍然未见改善。8月份,中国出口同比增长了2.7%,进口下降了2.6%。经季节调整后,8月进出口总值已经出现下降,降幅为0.5%。今年春交会前分管外贸的国务院副总理王岐山在华东七省市的外贸形势座谈会上立下军令状,希望各省力保全国10%外贸增速目标的实现,以保全年GDP的增速目标。但1-8月,中国的外贸增速仅为6.2%。
The general administration of customs number announced a few days ago August trade data display,China import and export deceleration and even drop situation is still not see improvement.In August,China's export growth of 2.7% year-on-year,Imports fell 2.6%.After adjusting the season,August import and export value has been falling,Decreased by 0.5%.This year in charge of foreign trade ChunJiaoHui former vice premier wang qishan seven provinces and cities in east China foreign trade situation symposium set JunLingZhuang,Hope all provinces retain the national foreign trade to achieve the goal of 10% growth,In order to save the years GDP growth target.But 1-8 months,China's foreign trade growth is only 6.2%.
7、8、9、10几个月份被视为中国传统的出货高峰期,这一时期的外贸增长决定了全年增速大局。而中国此次的贸易减速却正是发生在7、8月份。
7/8/9/10 months is regarded as the Chinese traditional delivery peak,This period the growth of foreign trade growth decided to the overall situation.And China's trade reduction is occurred in 7/In August.
上述外贸系统人士透露,8月前两旬贸易旬报数据出来后,商务部已经组织各方研究刺激政策的具体方案,这些措施主要包括三个层次:大范围上调商品的出口退税率,出口信用保险加码15%,以及对人民币汇率的建议。
The foreign trade system sources,August the first two ten-day trade XunBao data after coming out,The ministry of commerce has organization parties research stimulus policy concrete plan,These measures mainly includes three levels:A wide range of goods raised the export tax rebate rate,Export credit insurance extra 15%,And the Suggestions of the yuan's exchange rate.
坊间近期也传出了制鞋、玩具、家具等劳动密集型产品的出口退税率将从当前的13%-15%上调至17%。
Urban recently has been the shoe/toys/The furniture and so on the export of labor-intensive products rebate rate from the current 13% to 15% rise to 17%.
然而,最终出台的方案中,出口退税方面只是承诺将加快退税进度,确保准确及时退税。事实上,今年前几个月出口退税进程的加快可能是5、6月份出口反弹的重要原因,根据财政部的数据,4月份的出口退税同比增长了近40%。
however,Finally on the introduction of the scheme,Export tax rebate is just promises to speed up the progress of the tax refund,To ensure accurate and timely tax refund.In fact,This year a few months before the quickening of the process of export tax refund may be on the 5/June export the bounce of the important reasons,According to the ministry of finance data,In April the export tax rebate year-on-year growth of nearly 40%.
“退税加快虽然能有效缓解企业的资金压力,但5、6月昙花一现的高增长已经透支了后续几个月的出口能力。”上述受访外贸人士说。他分析,出口退税政策最终未调整,决策层可能有两方面顾虑。其一,制造业低迷使中央财政和地方财政普遍减收,8月份中央财政出现年内首次负增长,下降了6.7%。据本报了解,商务部寄望推动出口商品的全额退税,不再将出口退税作为宏观调控手段,而财政部指出,增值税税率为17%,但实际征收下来仅为12%-13%,因此当前的出口退税率已达上限。
"Tax rebates to speed up although can effectively relieve enterprise's fund pressure,But five/June a flash in the pan growth has overdrawn subsequent months of export capacity."The above said people of foreign trade.He analysis,The tax reimbursement for export policy adjustment ultimately unsuccessful,Executives are likely to have two aspects concerns.one,Manufacturing industry downturn makes the central finance and local finance will generally,In August the central government for the first time in years negative growth,Dropped 6.7%.According to our understanding,The ministry of commerce hope to promote export commodity tax refund the full,No longer will export tax rebate as the macroeconomic regulation and control means,And the ministry of finance pointed out that,Value added tax rate is 17%,But the actual collection down is only 12% - 13%,So the current export tax rebate rate has reached its maximum.
其二,进口的下降使得贸易顺差压力加大。8月份中国进口在持续减速后,终于出现了微幅下降。商务部原本寄望顺差能够在去年1551亿美元的基础上继续削减,全年都维持在1000亿美金略多一点的水平。“现在看来,顺差规模可能超过1600亿美元。”上述人士说。1-8月,中国贸易顺差规模已经达到1206亿美元。
The second,Import decline make trade surplus pressure increasing.August in Chinese imports continued after the reduction,Finally appeared falling slightly.The ministry of commerce had hope surplus last year to $155.1 billion in the basis of continue to cut,Maintain all year round in $100 billion a little more level."Now it seems,Surplus scale might exceed $160 billion."The above said people.1-8 months,China's trade surplus scale has reached 120.6 billion us dollars.
出口信保加码300亿美元 Export believe the extra $30 billion
国务院常委会议上公布的8项稳外贸措施中,信贷支持、贸易便利化等绝大部分政策从年初已经陆续兑现。
The standing committee of the state council announced the meeting eight stability in the foreign trade measures,Credit support/Trade facilitation and most of the policy has been from the beginning of the cash.
事实上,早在今年年初,商务部就已经在酝酿稳出口的系列政策措施,但却迟迟未见国务院常委会议讨论此方案。当时还不糟糕的贸易数据使得决策层未料见外贸会在此后的出口旺季出现大幅减速。
In fact,Earlier this year,The ministry of commerce has been in brewing steady export a series of policies and measures,But he didn't see the state council member of standing committee meeting to discuss the plan.At that time still not bad trading figures make decision-making not material see foreign trade will be in the next export season a substantial reduction.
据本报此前了解,出口信贷的支持明确了三个方向,信贷资金将向三类出口企业倾斜有订单的企业、有刚性外需的日用消费品出口商以及对新兴经济体出口的企业。
According to our previous understanding,Export credit support has been clear about the three directions,The credit funds will be to three types of export enterprise inclined have order enterprise/A rigid overseas market demand of consumer goods exporters as well as to the emerging economies export enterprise.
贸易便利化等问题也早被列入海关总署重点调研范畴,此前海关总署就曾大范围地调研各口岸贸易便利化的情况,希望破解阻碍贸易便利的一些具体技术问题。
Trade facilitation, the problem of early was listed in the general administration of customs key research category,After the customs general administration has a wide range of research of the each port trade facilitation,Hope cracked block trade convenient some specific technical problems.
促进口方面,此次国务院常委会议再度提及要积极扩大进口,重点增加进口先进技术设备、关键零部件以及与人民群众密切相关的生活用品。今年春交会前促进口的政策框架已经在国务院常委会议上敲定,会重新界定奢侈品的范畴,但“与人民群众密切相关的生活用品”也即是此前所谓“奢侈品”的关税下调仍未见动静。
Promote mouth aspects,The standing committee of the state council meeting mentioned once again to actively expand imports,Key increase import advanced technology and equipment/The key parts and the people closely related articles for daily use.Before this year ChunJiaoHui promote mouth policy framework is already on the state department member of standing committee meeting finalized,To define the category of luxury goods,but"And the people closely related articles for daily use"That is after the so-called"luxury"The tariffs is still not see action.
此次稳外贸的系列措施中,实质性的支持措施应该是出口信保的加码。消息人士说,短期出口信用保险新增的300亿额度是在温家宝密集调研了数省的贸易形势后确定的,温家宝8月下旬就曾在广东调研外贸。
The stability of the foreign trade in the series of measures,Substantial support measures should be export commodities of the letter.Sources said,Short-term export credit insurance new 30 billion line is in wen jiabao intensive research several provincial trade situation after certain,Wen jiabao late August had in guangdong foreign trade research.
2009年5月末,在中国出口跌入谷底时,国务院紧急出台了稳定外需的六项措施,其中,安排840亿美元的短期出口信用保险承保规模(简称“840计划”)这一刺激政策位居六项扶持措施之首。
At the end of May 2009,As China's exports fell into the bottom,The state council emergency issued a stable now six measures,the,Arrange 84 billion dollar short-term export credit insurance underwriting scale(Referred to as"840 plan")The stimulus policy in the first six supportive measures.
该人士透露,今年的2700亿短期出口信用保险额度投放主要有三个方向:一是倾向于非洲、中东、拉美等新兴市场;二是倾向于高新技术等重点扶持行业,“今年给船舶行业的额度就不少”;三是重点支持能够输出中国标准的、自主品牌出口的企业。
The sources,This year's 270 billion short-term export credit insurance limit on the three main direction:One is tend to Africa/Middle East/Emerging markets such as Latin America;The second is tend to high and new technology industry such key support,"This year to ship industry the forehead is spent many";Three is the key support can output Chinese standards/The independent brand export enterprise.
他说,上述三个倾向实际上是配合了中央整体外贸调结构的意图。
He said,The above three tendency is actually fit the overall foreign trade adjustment structure of intention.
中国机电进出口商会人士说,“421成套设备专项计划”的常态化运作已经呼吁了数年。金融危机爆发以来,受制于资金流限制诸多海外项目被迫延期,中国成套设备出口企业的订单面临危机。这一背景下,中国启动的“421专项”为海外买家提供了2年、3年至10年以上不等的信贷支持,由此保全了部分大型成套设备的海外订单。
Mechanical and electronic import and export chamber of commerce in China people said,"421 special plan of complete sets of equipment"The normalization operation has been calling for a few years.Since the outbreak of the financial crisis,Subject to capital limit many overseas project had to be delayed,China's complete sets of equipment of the export enterprise crisis in the order.Under the background of the,China launched"421 special"For overseas buyers for 2 years/Three years to 10 years of unequal credit support,Thus preserve some of large complete sets of equipment of overseas orders.
该商会人士说,大型成套装备与工程项目涵盖电力、电信、冶金、石化、轨道交通等多个产业链条长、技术密集型行业,被认为是中国外贸结构调整的重要载体,而且这部分企业手中一般都握有充足订单。
The chamber of commerce activists say,Large complete sets of equipment and engineering project covers electricity/telecom/metallurgy/petrochemical/Rail transit, and other industry chain length/High technology industry,China's foreign trade is considered as an important carrier of the structure adjustment,And this part of the enterprise hand generally holds enough order.
前述消息人士透露,由于顾虑到今年外贸“保十”的难度,国务院高层在近期一场调研会上明确要求相关部委要尽可能满足批复了的成套设备融资需求,今年暂不设置保额上限,而且要求受理的单位每笔支持资金要给出明确的时间表,确保此项计划的效率。由于资金没有及时到位,金融危机时的“421专项计划”一直拖延到去年才全额完成。
The foregoing sources,Due to the fact that foreign trade this year"The ten"difficulty,Top of the state council in the near future a research conference clear requirements related ministries and commissions to reply as far as possible to meet the financing needs of complete sets of equipment,This temporary not set limit amount,But also for accepted unit each support funds to give clear timetable,To ensure the efficiency of the plan.Because of the money was not in place in time,The financial crisis"421 special plan"Has been put off till last year it was full finish.
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