⊙记者 陈其珏 ○编辑 梁伟

⊙ reporter ChenJiJue ○ LiangWei editor

　　在经历了一段漫长的“空窗期”之后，今年的第四次成品油价格下调或许即将兑现。

After a long"Window period"after,This year's fourth product oil price cut perhaps the cash.

　　较此前有媒体预测的月中调价更为乐观，多家机构昨天向本报提供的数据显示，最快本周末，三地原油变化率就将下破-4%。由于22个工作日的时间条件早已满足，意味着只要三地率达到临界点，则调价将是大概率事件。

Is there have been media predicted month price adjustment is more optimistic,Many agencies to this newspaper yesterday to provide the data display,Fastest this weekend,Crude oil rate under three will break - 4%.Due to 22 days time already meet the conditions,Means that as long as three rate can reach the point of no return,The price adjustment will be big probability event.

　　新华社石油价格系统11月5日发布的数据显示，三地(迪拜、布伦特、辛塔)原油11月2日移动平均价格变化率为-3.13%。而11月5日是上轮调价后第40个工作日。按照目前价格变化趋势，国内成品油价格最早将于本周末或下周初下调。金银岛最新监测数据则显示，11月2日三地原油当日均价每桶105.692美元，近22日均价每桶109.631美元，较9月7日基准价下跌3.26%。

The xinhua news agency petroleum price system on November 5th released data show,three(dubai/brent/Symplectic tower)Crude oil on November 2, days moving average price rate for 3.13%.But on November 5 is the wheel price adjustment after 40 days.According to the current price change trend,The earliest domestic refined oil prices will be in this weekend or cut at the beginning of next week.Treasure island is the latest monitoring data show,November 2 three day average crude oil at $105.692 a barrel,Nearly and average price of $109.631 a barrel,On September 7, a benchmark price fell 3.26%.

　　“如国际原油价格延续震荡走势，预计11月9日左右三地变化率可能到达-4%，调价"窗口"全面开启。如届时调价按期兑现，则汽柴油价降幅或达300-350元/吨。折合升价，90号汽油降0.22-0.26元/升，0柴油降0.26-0.30/升。目前国内市场看跌情绪升温。”金银岛分析师董丽珠说。

"Such as the international crude oil prices continue shock trend,Expected November 9, three places around rate could reach 4%,Price adjustment"window"Comprehensive open.If the price adjustment on schedule to cash,The price of gasoline and diesel by 300 or 350 - yuan/ton.Reduced price rise,90 gasoline drop 0.22 0.26 yuan/liter,0 diesel oil drop 0.26-0.30 / liter.The current domestic market bearish mood warming."Treasure island DongLiZhu analysts said.

　　卓创资讯分析师陈晴也认为，三地原油变化率有望于11月9日收盘跌破-4%，国内最早将于本周末下调成品油价格，预计幅度在300元/吨。

Zhuo and information analysts ChenQing also think,Crude oil rate is expected to three on November 9, closing below 4%,The earliest domestic refined oil prices will be cut at the end of this week,Expected range in 300 yuan/ton.