新京报讯 （记者钟晶晶）昨日多家市场分析机构数据显示，截至纽约当地时间11月9日，国际油价三地变化率已达-3.86%，只要11月12日纽约国际油价的涨幅控制在2美元之内，11月13日国际三地变化率就将会跌破-4%。这意味着届时国内成品油价格下调窗口将打开。

The Beijing news - (Reporter ZhongJingJing)Yesterday's market analysis mechanism data display,The local time in New York on November 9,,International oil prices three rate has reached 3.86%,As long as the November 12, the New York international oil prices or control in within $2,November 13 international three rate would fell below 4%.This means that the domestic refined oil price cut window will open.

　　分析机构预测，国内最快将于明日凌晨下调成品油价格，预计本轮下调幅度约在300元至350元/吨。

Body analysis forecast,Domestic fastest will be tomorrow morning cut prices of refined petroleum products,This is expected to declines in about 300 yuan to 350 yuan/ton.

　　尽管上周国际油价震荡上行，纽约油价周涨幅为1.43%，伦敦油价周涨幅为3.52%，但由于连续22天移动变化率中油价下跌的天数比重增加，三地变化率仍在持续下滑。

Although international oil prices last week concussion uplink,New York oil prices weeks at 1.43%,London oil prices weeks at 3.52%,But as a result of continuous 22 days moving rate drop in oil prices in the number of days increased proportion,Three rate continues to decline.

　　卓创资讯和金银岛的数据均显示，目前最新的三地原油变化率为-3.86%。卓创资讯分析师胡慧春表示，根据分析模型，如果12日国际油价收盘涨幅控制在2美元之内，13日，三地变化率收盘就会跌破-4%；如果12日国际油价暴涨超过2美元，则调价窗口打开还要延后。但她认为国际油价暴涨的可能性很小。

Zhuo and information and treasure island data shows,At present the latest three crude oil rate for 3.86%.Zhuo and information HuHuiChun analysts said,According to the analysis model,If 12 international oil prices closed or control in within $2,13,Three rate closing will fell below 4%;If 12 international oil prices jumped more than $2,The price adjustment window open and delay.But she believe that international oil prices soaring possibility is very small.

　　“美国大选结束后，油价变动归于供需基本面。目前美国面临财政悬崖，欧债危机仍在蔓延，全球经济增速下滑都将抑制石油需求，估计持续暴涨的可能性不大。本周内变化率破-4%是板上钉钉的事。”胡慧春表示。

"The United States after the elections,Oil prices change to supply and demand fundamentals.In the United States currently facing financial cliff,The debt crisis is still in the spread,The global economic growth decline will inhibit oil demand,Estimates continue soaring unlikely.This week rate broken - 4% is do-or-die things."HuHuiChun said.

　　按照发改委的规定，当国际油价三地变化率达到4%，并距离上次调价间歇达22个工作日之后，国内油价就可以调整。而上次油价调整是9月11日，距离目前早已超过了22个工作日。

In accordance with the provisions of the development and reform commission (NDRC),When the international oil prices three rate reached 4%,And distance last price adjustment intermittent up to 22 days later,The domestic oil price can adjust.And the last oil price adjustment is September 11,,Distance at present already more than 22 days.

　　分析机构预测，此次油价下调幅度在300-350元/吨。折合为升价为0#柴油下调0.26-0.3元/升，92#汽油下调0.23-0.27元/升。

Body analysis forecast,The oil price declines in the 300-350 yuan/ton.Reduced to ascending price is 0 # diesel cut 0.26 0.3 yuan/liter,92 # gasoline by 0.23 0.27 yuan/liter.

　　如果此次成品油价格下调兑现，将是年内国内第八次调整成品油零售价格，也是年内第四次下调油价。据了解，上一次成品油调价是在9月11日，当时汽油零售价格上调550元/吨，柴油零售价格上调540元/吨。

If the product oil price cut to cash,Will be years domestic eighth adjust product retail price,For the fourth time this year also cut oil prices.It is understood,The last product oil price adjustment is on September 11,,When gasoline retail price increase 550 yuan/ton,Diesel retail price increase 540 yuan/ton.