值得注意的是，在成品油价即将下调之际，有关成品油定价新机制即将出台的消息再次出现在市场中。“新成品油定价机制方案已基本敲定。”近日有报道称，“若国际油价继续下跌，新方案有望在年内亮相。”而国家发改委此前多次的表述则是“择机出台”。

It is important to note that,In finished oil prices will be the cut,The refined oil pricing mechanism about to publish news appeared again in the market."New refined oil pricing mechanism scheme has basically finalized."Recently had the report says,"If international oil prices continue to fall,The new scheme is expected to appear in the year."And the national development and reform commission after the expression of many times is"On the".

　　下调基本板上钉钉

Cut basic board nailing

　　从上周开始，市场中就充满了成品油价下调的种种预期。一方面，有调查显示，除了一些打着中石化和中石油旗号的社会加油站和民营加油站，部分“石化双雄”的自营加油站也开始少量地打折促销。另一方面，在批发市场上，据金银岛统计，截至上周最后一个交易日，华东、华北和华南地区的93号汽油和0号柴油批发价继续下跌。

Since last week,The market is full of the finished product oil price cut all kinds of expectations.On the one hand,Research has shown that,Except for a few dozen sinopec and petrochina flag social service station and private service station,part"Petrochemical giants"The operating station also began marginally discounts and promotions.On the other hand,In the wholesale market,According to treasure island statistics,As the last trading day last week,East China/North China and south China area 93 gasoline and diesel, 0 wholesale price continue to fall.

　　“这并不让人意外。”李亚丹解释说，主要是因为，随着三地变化率逐渐向-4%挺进，市场看淡后市的氛围越来越浓。据统计，最新数据显示，金银岛、卓创资讯和息旺能源三地的变化率均为-3.63%，跌幅较前一交易日继续扩大。

"This is not surprising."LiYaDan explained,Mainly because,Along with gradually three rate to 4% advance,Market see light indication of atmosphere more and more strong.According to the statistics,The latest statistics show,Treasure island/Zhuo and fan energy information and interest in the three rate are 3.63%,Fall, compared with the previous trading day continue to expand.

　　“即使后期三地原油保持每日1美元/桶幅度上涨，三地变化率仍将在11月13日跌至-4%。”卓创资讯分析师预计，“这意味着，成品油价最快将于11月14日凌晨下调。不过，如果原油震荡下滑或盘整，则窗口开启将略有提前。”

"Even if the three late crude oil keep daily $1 / barrel amplitude rise,Three rate will still in November 13 dropped to 4%."Zhuo and analysts expect information,"This means that,Finished product oil prices will be the fastest on November 14, cut in the morning.but,If crude oil shock glide or consolidation,The window opens in advance will be a slight."

　　“综合来看，年内第四次下调油价基本已成定局。”上述卓创资讯的分析师说。

"Comprehensive to see,For the fourth time this year cut oil prices basic already in place."The above zhuo and information analysts say.

　　金银岛分析师张静表示，惟一的变数还是国际油价，一旦国际油价出现暴涨，国内油价下调就存在变数。中宇资讯分析师马燕也认为，“预计11月13日零售价下调窗口或将开启，即11月14日零时开始执行。”马燕猜测，“下调幅度在290元/吨左右，即标准品90号汽油价格降价0.21元/升，0号柴油降价0.25元/升。但需要强调的是，近期国际原油涨跌变化不定，具体调价幅度仍需参照后期国际原油走势。”

Treasure island analyst zhang jing said,The only variable or international oil prices,Once the international oil prices shot up,The domestic oil price cut is variable.ZhongYu information analysts MaYan also think,"Expected November 13 retail price cut window or will open,Namely on November 14 zero hour started."MaYan guess,"Declines in 290 yuan/tons,Namely standard product 90 gasoline by cutting the price by 0.21 yuan/liter,0 no diesel price 0.25 yuan/liter.But need to be emphasized,The recent international crude oil go up drop uncertainty,The specific price adjustment range still need to refer to the international trend of crude oil in the late."

　　张静的预计是，本次汽、柴油降幅将在300-350元/吨之间，“折合升价，即90号汽油下调0.22-0.26元/升，0号柴油下调0.26-0.30元/升”。

Zhang jing is expected,This steam/Diesel will drop in 300-350 yuan/tons between,"Reduced price rise,That is 90 gasoline cut 0.22 0.26 yuan/liter,0 no diesel cut 0.26 0.30 yuan/liter".

　　新机制年内亮相？

At New Year?

　　值得注意的是，在市场“翘首盼望”成品油下调之际，新成品油定价机制再次成为市场热议的焦点。

It is important to note that,In the market"'m looking forward to"The refined oil cut,New refined oil pricing mechanism has once again become the focus of the market hot debate.

　　有报道称，“新方案或把国际市场的原油平均价格连续变化的时间"22个工作日"正式变更为"10个工作日"，而"4%"的国际油价涨跌幅度则有可能取消，届时国内成品油价的变动将更加频繁。”还有报道称，“相关部门的思路是，10个工作日内，无论国际油价涨跌幅如何，届时都对其进行硬性调整，调整幅度则根据相应的计算方法进行测算。”这与市场之前多次的猜测几乎一致。

Reports say,"The new scheme or the international market the average price of crude oil the continuous variation of the time"22 days"Officially changed to"10 working days",and"4%"International oil prices go up drop extent are likely to cancel,The domestic product oil prices will change more frequently."And there were reports that,"Relevant departments are thinking,10 working days,No matter how the international oil price,When all the hard adjustment,Adjustment range is according to the corresponding calculation method of calculation."This and the market speculation that many times before almost unanimously.

　　一位参加过国家发改委相关研讨会的能源专家表示，总体的改革方向就是“更往市场靠”，“与国际市场接轨，同时不忘考虑国内市场的具体情况”。同时，可能将22天的时间缩短为14天或10天，并将4%的幅度缩短为2%甚至更小。

A participated in the national development and reform commission of related conferences energy experts say,Overall reform direction is"More to the market by","Integrate with the world market,At the same time not forget to consider the specific circumstances of the domestic market".At the same time,May 22 days shorten time for 14 days or 10 days,And 4% of the amplitude is shortened 2% even smaller.

　　>另外，在参考油种上，新机制也可能发生变化。尽管国家相关部门始终未公布“三地”的具体来源，但市场机构一直将布伦特、迪拜和辛塔作为参考对象。目前，布伦特已是市场人士公认的更能反映全球原油走势的最基准油价，迪拜现货原油也是“两桶油”大力引进的油种之一。而媒体的呼吁是，用阿曼现货油价取代印尼的辛塔油价。这同样能贴近国际原油市场。数据显示，近年来阿曼已逐步成为中国原油的主要进口国之一，2010年，阿曼对中国原油出口一度大增了43%。

>In addition,In reference to the oil,Mechanism is also likely to change.Although the national related department has not been announced"three"Detail the source of the,But the market mechanism has been will brent/Dubai and symplectic tower as the reference object.At present,Brent is market participants recognized more can reflect the trend of global crude oil prices the most benchmark,Dubai spot crude oil is also"Two barrels of oil"Vigorously introduce one of the oil.And the media is called for,Using Oman spot prices instead of Indonesia's symplectic tower oil prices.It can also close to the international crude oil market.Data display,In recent years, Oman has gradually become the main one of China's crude oil importer,In 2010,,Oman crude oil exports to China for 43% increased.

　　值得注意的是，在时间点上，业界预计，一旦国际油价继续下跌，新方案有望“在年内亮相”。此前，国家发改委多次强调，要“择机出台”。市场人士普遍将“时机”理解为“国际油价和国内通胀（CPI）较低的时候”。

It is important to note that,In the point,Industry is expected to,Once the international oil prices continue to fall,The new scheme is expected to"In the years appearance".after,The national development and reform commission has emphasized many times that,to"On the".Market participants will generally"time"Understanding for"International oil prices and domestic inflation(CPI)Lower time".