新华社记者 刘雪 王蔚

The xinhua news agency LiuXue WangWei

　　春节长假期间,国际油市再现金蛇起舞,布伦特油价一度创出近9个月以来的新高。国内成品油调价参照的三地原油变化率已突破3%,逼近4%的油价上调红线。专家表示,国内油价上调窗口开启近在眼前,北京、上海、广州汽油价格或普遍进入“8”时代。

Spring Festival holiday,International oil city representation JinShe dance,Brent prices once makes nearly nine months record high since.The domestic refined oil price adjustment to three crude oil rate has reached 3%,Approaching 4% of oil prices rise red line.Experts say,The domestic oil price rise is near the window open,Beijing/Shanghai/Guangzhou gasoline prices or common into"and"age.

布伦特油价创阶段新高 Brent prices and high stage

　　中国农历春节,国际油市热闹非凡。纽约WTI油价突破每桶97美元,逼近百美元大关;布伦特油价站上每桶118美元的高位,创出近9个月以来的新高。

The Chinese lunar New Year in China,The international oil market is very busy.New York WTI prices over $97 a barrel,Approaching $mark;Brent prices on the high of $11and a barrel,Creating nearly nine months high.

　　在2013年年初,纽约WTI油价走势明显强于布伦特,可自1月中下旬以来,布伦特油价表现日益强劲。

In early 2013,New York WTI prices trend obviously better than brent,But since January since late,Brent prices show increasingly strong.

　　“纽约油价主要反映北美本土的市场表现,相比之下,布伦特油价与全球地缘政治等因素挂钩更加紧密。”中宇资讯分析师王金涛表示,进入2013年以来,这两大基准油价维持震荡上扬。

"New York oil prices mainly reflect the local market performance in North America,Compared with,Brent oil prices and the global geopolitical factors such as the hook more closely."ZhongYu information WangJinTao analysts said,Since 2013,These two benchmark oil prices remain concussion rise.

国内油价上调可能加大 Domestic oil prices rise may increase

　　国际原油市场的变化牵动着国内市场的心弦。与国内成品油调价直接挂钩的布伦特油价出现金蛇起舞,让国内油价面临上调风险。

The international crude oil market changes can affect the heart of the domestic market.With the domestic refined oil price adjustment directly contacted with the brent prices appear JinShe dance,Let the domestic oil prices face upside risk.

　　据东方油气网监测,截至2月14日,布伦特、迪拜、辛塔三地原油变化率已达到3.871%,逼近4%的调价红线。

According to Oriental oil and gas network monitoring,By February 14,,brent/dubai/Symplectic tower three crude oil rate has reached 3.and71%,Approaching 4% of the price adjustment red line.

　　根据我国现行《石油价格管理办法(试行)》,当国际市场原油连续22个工作日移动平均价格变化超过4%时,可相应调整国内成品油价格。国内最近一次成品油调价发生在2012年11月16日,国内汽柴油最高零售价格每吨分别下调310元和300元。

According to China's current[The measures for the administration of the price of oil(trial)],When the international crude oil market for 22 days moving average price changes more than 4%,Domestic product oil price may be adjusted.A recent domestic refined oil price adjustment occurred in 2012 November 16,The highest domestic gasoline and diesel retail price per ton cut 310 yuan and 300 yuan respectively.

　　“目前国内成品油调价间隔的时间窗口已满足,倘若三地原油变化率触及调价红线,油价上调窗口将随之开启。”东方油气网分析师程瑞锋表示,倘若布伦特油价维持在每桶118美元附近,后期三地原油变化率有望继续走高,最快于2月16日正向破“四”。届时对应的上调幅度或在每吨300元附近,折合汽油每升上调0.22元,柴油每升上调0.26元。

"At present domestic refined oil price adjustment interval time window is meet,If three crude oil rate touch the red line price adjustment,Oil prices rise window will then open."The east and ChengRuiFeng oil analysts said,If brent prices remain at around $11and a barrel,Three late oil rate is expected to continue to go up,On February 16, the fastest is broken"four".The corresponding rise in or near $300 per ton,Reduced gasoline per litre raised 0.22 yuan,Per liter diesel up by 0.26 yuan.

　　安迅思息旺能源分析师廖凯舜认为,国内油价上调窗口开启是大概率事件。然而,近两年来国内油价上调均拖延至元宵节后兑现,不排除今年调价时间点再度延迟的可能。

AnXunSi interest prosperous energy analysts LiaoKaiShun think,Domestic oil prices rise window open is big probability event.however,In the past two years the domestic oil prices are raised to delay after the Lantern Festival cash,Don't eliminate this price adjustment time delay may once again.

　　值得注意的是,油价上调时间窗口延后并不意味着涨价警报解除。卓创资讯分析师胡慧春表示,如果调价政策落地延迟至元宵节后兑现,预计三地原油变化率会继续攀升,到时油价上调幅度很可能达到每吨400元,折合汽油每升上调0.31元,0号柴油每升上调0.34元。

It is important to note that,Oil prices rise time window delay does not mean that prices all clear.Zhuo and information HuHuiChun analysts said,If price adjustment policy ground delay after the Lantern Festival to cash,Three is expected to crude oil rate will continue to rise,The rise in oil prices are likely to reach $400 per ton,Reduced gasoline per litre raised 0.31 yuan,0 per liter diesel, up by 0.34 yuan.

北上广汽油或进“8”时代 North wide gasoline or into"and"age

　　在缺乏实质性利好的支撑之下,专家认为后期布伦特油价或有回调风险,但恐怕回调幅度有限,无碍国内调价预期。

In the absence of materiality benefit under the support,Experts say later brent prices or callback risk,But I'm afraid callback amplitude limited,Clear the domestic price adjustment is expected.

　　光大期货分析师孙永刚认为,目前原油市场在供需层面并没有实质性好转,布伦特油价上涨主要受投机氛围支撑,在投机基金撤出之时,市场将面临回调的风险。

Everbright futures analyst SunYongGang think,The crude oil market in supply and demand level and no substantive better,Brent rising oil prices is mainly affected by speculative atmosphere support,In the speculative funds out of,The market will face the risk of callback.

　　随着油价上调窗口逼近,国内油品批发市场已提前掀起涨价大潮。

With oil prices rise window approximation,Domestic oil wholesale market has a early in spring.

　　目前,北京地区普遍使用的92号汽油最高零售价格为每升7.81元,上海、广州93号汽油价格分别为每升7.75元和7.85元。倘若节后油价上调,北上广汽油价格或普遍进入8元时代。

At present,Beijing area commonly used 92 gasoline highest retail price is 7.and1 yuan RMB per liter,Shanghai/Guangzhou 93 gasoline price respectively 7.75 yuan and 7.and5 yuan per liter.If oil prices rise after,North wide gasoline prices or common into eight yuan era.

　　(据新华社上海2月16日专电)

(According to the xinhua news agency Shanghai February 16 special telegram)