据新华社电近一个月以来，国际油价大跌逾7%，受此影响，国内成品油批发市场在油价上调之后，陷入滞销的尴尬境地。专家表示，倘若国际油价维持当前疲弱态势，到3月底国内成品油价下调窗口有望开启。而国内油品市场滞销的状况在油价下调落定之前或难以改变。

According to report of xinhua news agency since nearly a month,International oil prices tumbled more than 7%,Affected by this,Domestic refined oil wholesale market after the oil price hike,Into unsalable embarrassment.Experts say,If international oil prices to maintain the current weakness,Domestic oil prices down to the end of march is expected to open window.And domestic oil product market unsalable condition before cut oil prices settled or difficult to change.

　国际油价萎靡不振 International oil prices slumped

　　进入蛇年以来，国际油价走势尽显曲折。在龙年最后一个交易日（2月8日），与国内成品油调价挂钩的布伦特油价达到每桶118.9美元，创出2013年以来的最高点。而到3月11日，布伦特油价已跌至每桶110.2美元，一个月左右的时间里累计跌幅达7.3%。

Since the beginning of this snake,International oil price trends show twists and turns.In the last trading day of the dragon(On February 8,),Pegged to the domestic refined oil pricing of brent oil prices at $118.9 a barrel,Hit its highest level since 2013.By March 11,Brent oil prices fell to $110.2 a barrel,A month or so cumulative decline of 7.3%.

　　兴业期货原油分析师杜晓培认为，短期内经济面对油价的支撑仍显疲软，加上美元指数持续走高、沙特石油或将增产，短期内布伦特油价缺乏反弹动力，或维持震荡走势。纽约油价受制于美国政府自动减支计划启动，预计也难现大幅上扬。

Societe generale Du Xiaopei crude oil futures analyst said,Economy in the short term in the face of price support is still weak,Plus the dollar index continued to go higher/Saudi Arabia's oil or production will increase,Brent oil prices in the short term lack of rebound momentum,Or remain volatile.New York oil prices subject to us government spending cuts start automatically,Is also difficult now rose sharply.

成品油价或迎下调 Finished product oil price or cut

　　我国成品油定价与国际原油市场挂钩，国际油价萎靡不振，国内对成品油价格下调的预期也日益浓厚。

The refined oil pricing linked to the international crude oil market in our country,International oil prices slumped,Domestic fuel prices lowered expectations also increasingly strong.

　　根据现行《石油价格管理办法（试行）》，当国际市场原油连续22个工作日移动平均价格变化超过4%时，可相应调整国内成品油价格。

According to the current[Measures for the management of oil prices(On a trial basis)],When the international market crude oil prices change by more than 4% over 22 working days moving average,Can be adjusted domestic fuel prices.

　　“3月底国内油价下调是大概率事件。”中宇资讯分析师王金涛推测，如果国际油价维持当前的疲弱态势，预计到北京时间3月22日，三地原油变化率就会突破－4%的调价红线，3月底成品油价格下调窗口就会开启。

"At the end of march domestic oil price cut is big probability events."Zhongyu information analysts Wang Jintao speculation,If international oil prices to maintain the current weakness,Predicts Beijing time on March 22,Three pricing oil rate will be over - 4% of the red line,At the end of march down the price of refined oil window will open.

批发市场油品滞销 Wholesale market product unsalable

　　记者调查了解到，自2月25日国内油价上调之后，国内成品油批发市场陷入“高价无市”的尴尬局面，不少地区油品滞销，价格甚至跌回调价前。

The reporter understands survey,Since February 25, the domestic oil price hike,Domestic refined oil wholesale market"Price no city"The embarrassing situation,Many parts product unsalable,Prices dropped back even before the pricing.

　　山东济南一家炼油厂销售负责人告诉记者，往年春节结束后用油需求就会旺起来，可今年都进入3月份，工厂、物流用油需求依然没有恢复。“现在仓库都快堆满了，再不卖的话，新生产的油都没地方放。”

Shandong jinan refinery sales director, told reporters,In previous years oil demand will be up after the Spring Festival,Can be entered in March this year,The factory/Logistics demand for oil is still not recover."Now the warehouse are filled with fast,Don't sell,The new production of the oil had no place to put."

　　东方油气网分析师程瑞锋告诉记者，在油价上调之前，贸易商和下游用户普遍集中囤货，炼油企业也加大生产力度；眼下前期高库存尚未消化，即便本来想适当补库的用户考虑到后期油价下调的预期，也会选择观望。

Oriental network of oil and gas analyst at Cheng Ruifeng told reporters,Before prices rise,Traders generally concentrated stock up and downstream users,Refiners are ramping up production;Now early to high inventory has not been digested,Even wanted to fill appropriately library users consider the late prices lowered expectations,Can also choose to wait.