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美共和党重提“金本位” 360向百度开战--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-09-05

  上周,《环球财经大视野》关注到了美国帝国大厦枪击案背后的经济因素、美国共和党再提重回“金本位”等国际财经话题。同时,就市场广泛关注的中储粮油脂公司自曝行业丑闻、酒精勾兑事件对白酒行业的影响、阿里巴巴信贷业务未来前景、货车超载为何屡禁不止、国产乳业如何壮大等话题进行了深入分析。

Last week,[Global financial large field of view]Pay attention to the Empire State Building shooting went to the United States behind the economic factors/Republicans ask to return to"Gold standard"And other international financial topic.At the same time,Will the market wide concern in oil storage company's industry scandal/Alcohol blending events on the influence of liquor-making industry/Alibaba credit business future prospects/Truck overload why repeatedly endures more than/Domestic dairy industry how to strengthen subject to carry on the thorough analysis.

  

美元能否重回“金本位” Dollars can return to"Gold standard"

  美国共和党呼吁重启“金本位”制度,再度将美元和黄金联系起来。银河期货首席宏观经济顾问付鹏(博客,微博)表示,共和党的提案旨在抨击现任政府量化宽松的货币政策,从而制造舆论压力为赢得总统选举增加筹码。但是,现在的信用货币体系一旦萎缩,通过信用衍生出的债务将面临大量挤兑的危险。美国现在的储备并不足以支撑其外债全部兑换黄金,恶性通胀将随之到来,美国经济也将面临崩溃。无论是从抑制通胀还是控制财政的角度来看,“金本位”制度都不是解决美国经济困境的合适办法。

Republicans called on to restart"Gold standard"system,Will the dollar and gold again link.Galaxy futures chief macro economic adviser FuPeng(blog,Micro bo)said,The republican proposal aims to attack the government quantitative easing monetary policy,Thus make public opinion pressure to win the presidential election increase chip.but,Now the credit monetary system once the atrophy,Through the credit derivative out of debt will face the risk of a large number of runs.The United States now reserve is not enough to support its foreign exchange all gold,Vicious inflation will then come,The American economy will face collapse.Whether from the curb inflation or control financial point of view,"Gold standard"System is not the solution to the American economic difficulties to the right.

 

 美国枪击案的经济原因 The United States is possible economic reasons

  一名失业设计师在美国帝国大厦酿造的枪击案,将美国社会的失业困境摆在了公众面前。中国现代国际关系研究院美国所副研究员王文峰认为,居高不下的失业数字、难有起色的经济数据,对美国普通中产阶级的心理影响难以估量。他指出,考虑到长期失业已放弃就业的人群并没有被纳入统计,美国的实际失业率数字或将高达14%。然而从2008年金融危机以来,美国失去了约800万个就业岗位,从现在起完全恢复到危机前的就业水平可能还需要近八年时间。

A designer of unemployment in the United States the Empire State Building brewing shootings,Will the United States social unemployment dilemma in the public.Chinese modern international relations which the United States institute associate research fellow WangWenFeng think,High unemployment figures/Difficult to better economic data,For the average American middle-class psychological impact is difficult to measure.He pointed out that,Considering the long-term unemployment has given up the crowd of employment and not be included in the statistics,America's actual unemployment figures or to be as high as 14%.However, from 2008 since the financial crisis,The United States lost about 8 million jobs,From now on fully recovered to pre-crisis employment levels may also need to nearly eight years.

  

如何拯救中国乳业 How to save the Chinese dairy industry

  目前市场上不断涌现出新的洋奶粉品牌,而大量便宜的国产奶粉却无人问津。和君集团合伙人闫强透露,不少洋品牌属于“假洋奶粉”,一些企业通过海外注册、收购国外小厂等途径获得“洋身份”,目的在于借助消费者购买洋奶粉意愿更强烈的心理,从而获取较高的经济利益。他表示,并非所有的洋奶粉都一定安全,关键要看奶源的质量以及配方的合理性。而对于国内的乳制品企业,闫强认为,奶源同样至关重要,甚至是乳品企业的“命根子”。他建议,政府应该给予政策和资金支持,并且适当引入风险投资来达到扶持行业的目的。

On the market at present is a new emerging the milk powder brand,And a lot of cheap domestic milk powder was deserted.And king group partner 闫强 revealed,A lot of the brand belongs to"False the milk powder",Some enterprise through the overseas registration/Acquisition of foreign small factory ways to receive"The identity",Purpose lies in with the consumers to buy milk powder intend to more intense psychological,To gain higher economic benefits.He said,Not all the milk powder are certain security,The key depends on the quality of mange and the rationality of the formula.For the domestic dairy products enterprise,闫强 think,Mange is also important,Even dairy products enterprise"lifeblood".He suggested that,The government should give policy and financial support,And proper introduction of risk investment to achieve the purpose of the support industry.

  中储粮为何自曝调和油配方 Why the storage's blend oil formula

  近期中储粮首次公布其调和油产品配比,并揭露出食用调和油市场任意勾兑的行业乱象。北大纵横管理咨询集团合伙人崔凯表示,调和油市场的乱象源于国家对食用油价格进行管控,各企业为控制成本而采取各种应对措施。由于油料价格是公开的,公布配方比例基本能计算出一瓶调和油的原料成本。而中储粮在这方面具备竞争优势,此举既提高了旗下品牌的知名度,又起到对竞争对手施压的作用。但是崔凯认为,中储粮的行为客观上对国家出台相应标准起到了推动作用。

For the first time in recent storage released its blend oil products matching,And expose edible blend oil market any blending of industry the mess.North aspect management consulting group partner CuiKai said,Blend oil market from countries mess of edible oil price control,Each enterprise in order to control cost and take all kinds of measures.Due to the oil price is open,Published formula ratio basic able to compute a bottle of blend oil raw material costs.The storage and in this respect have competitive advantage,It can not only enhance the its brand awareness,And to play the role of competition pressure.But CuiKai think,The behavior of the storage objectively to the state issued the relevant standards has played a catalytic role.

 

 360向百度开战 360 the war to baidu

  奇虎360低调布局搜索业务,向百度的行业龙头地位发起挑战。易观国际高级分析师董旭表示,从以往360公司的举动来看,挑战行业龙头更多是为了显示自身实力,希望通过这场“战役”,获得更大的市场空间。站在行业的角度来看,百度在面对日渐激烈的“垄断”指责,势必要对其广告主、用户、营销的代理商等各方做出调整,对行业的整体发展也将起到正面作用。董旭同时表示,虽然360公司在流量引导等方面具备优势,但百度拥有成熟的营销团队,360想在营收方面得到快速提升,目前来看不大可能。

JiHu 360 low-key layout search business,The industry leading position to baidu challenge.Analysys international DongXu senior analyst said,From the previous 360 companies move to see,Challenge industry leading more is to show their own strength,Hope that through this"campaign",Gain greater market space.Standing in the point of view of the industry,Baidu in the face of increasingly fierce"monopoly"accused,Will inevitably the advertisers/The user/Marketing agent to make adjustments all parties,For the overall development of the industry will play a positive role.DongXu also said,Although the 360 companies in the flow guide etc advantages,But baidu has a mature marketing team,360 in revenue to have rapid promotion,So far is unlikely.

  白酒行业的勾兑潜规则 Liquor industry blending latent rules

  食用酒精勾兑的争议将知名白酒企业古井贡酒(000596,股吧),推向了舆论的风口浪尖。《销售与市场》杂志社白酒行业研究员刘鹏介绍,食用酒精勾兑白酒技术,源自上世纪六十年代的粮食短缺,一直沿用至今,而传统白酒采用的是固态发酵法纯粮酿造。这两种技术在成本上存在几倍到十几倍的差距。但勾兑的白酒从口感到技术检测数据都没有太大差别。目前我国不允许酱香型白酒添加食用酒精,对其它类型白酒的制作并没有强制规定。考虑到整个行业的情况,刘鹏预计,此次“勾兑门”事件对古井贡酒的影响不会太大。

Edible alcohol blending of dispute will famous liquor gujing gongjiu enterprise(000596,guba),To the public opinion in the teeth of the storm.[Sales and marketing]Liquor-making industry magazine researcher liu peng is introduced,Edible alcohol liquor blending technology,From the 1960 s food shortage,Have been used for many years,While the traditional liquor by solid fermentation method pure grain brewing.These two kinds of technology in cost exist several times to more than ten times the gap.But the blending of liquor from the mouth feel technical detection data is not much difference.At present our country does not allow maotai-flavor liquor add edible alcohol,For other kinds of liquor production and does not have compulsive regulation.Considering the situation of the whole industry,Liu peng is expected to,the"Blending door"Events on the influence of the gujing gongjiu was not too large.

  

阿里金融的未来 Ali financial future

  阿里巴巴旗下从事小微企业及个人融资业务的阿里金融日前宣布,将阿里贷从收费会员向普通会员扩张。对于阿里金融的发展模式,西南证券(600369,股吧)研发业务总监许维鸿指出,此举属于我国金融业服务实体经济的一种尝试。与我国的银行机构自上而下建立不同,其他国家的金融体系大多自实业而延伸至金融服务。许维鸿表示,阿里金融模式更为了解客户需求,能即时掌握贷款人的信用状况,同时资金成本低廉,阿里金融未来有望得到快速发展。但由于公司并非专业金融机构,未来将面临着现金流管理、信用评级体系、IT投入以及现代化管理等多方面成本压力。一旦成本增加,公司能否持续盈利尚难预计。(何钰玮 整理)

Alibaba group engaged in small micro enterprise and individual financing business ali finance has announced,Will ali credit charge from member to member common expansion.For ali financial development pattern,Southwest securities(600369,guba)Research and development business director XuWeiHong pointed out,It belongs to the entity economy of China's financial industry service a try.And China's banking institutions to establish different from top to bottom,Other countries most financial system from industrial and extend to financial services.XuWeiHong said,Ali financial mode more understand customers' needs,Can understand the latest lenders' credit condition,At the same time, low cost of capital,Ali financial future is expected to get rapid development.But because of the company is not professional financial institutions,The future will be facing the cash flow management/Credit rating system/IT costs and modern management and so on various cost pressure.Once the cost increase,The company will continue to profit is expected.(HeYuWei finishing)



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