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中国经济是世界经济增长--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-09-15
China's economy is one of the world's economic growth
毫无争议的“稳定器”
There is no dispute"stabilizer"
前世界银行首席经济学家林毅夫表示,未来中国的经济增长仍然需要投资来拉动
Former world bank chief economist Justin yifu Lin said,The future of China's economic growth is still in need of investment to pull
■本报见习记者 徐 科
S the trainee reporter xu family
在世界经济格局发生深度演变的今天,各国经济关联性大大加强,面对世界经济增长乏力、欧债危机跌宕起伏、全球金融持续动荡、国际贸易增速下滑的大背景,在全球经济中占举足轻重地位的中国经济在国际金融危机对中国的深层次影响不断显现之时,还有多少增长潜力、能否继续成为世界经济的“稳定器”成为全世界广泛关注的焦点。
In the world economic structure evolution happened depth today,Countries economic relevance greatly strengthen,Facing the world economic growth lack of power/The debt crisis ups and downs/Global financial turmoil/International trade growth the background of the decline,In the global economy status of China's economy plays an important role in the international financial crisis on China's profound influence of constantly appeared,How many growth potential/Will continue to be the world economy"stabilizer"Become the focus of the world widely.
8月的一组数据显示,拉动中国经济的三驾马车:出口、投资和消费均没有明显回暖的迹象,国内经济依然步履蹒跚,外需萎缩,内需不足,劳动力成本上升,资源类产品价格上涨,以及房地产市场调控所引起的相关产业收缩等等都给各地经济发展带来严峻挑战 国务院总理温家宝在刚刚结束的天津夏季达沃斯论坛上明确表示,经济增速仍保持在年初确定的预期目标区间内,并已经呈现出缓中趋稳的态势。随着近期密集出台的政策措施落实到位并发挥作用,中国经济有望进一步趋稳。
8 months of a set of data display,Pull the Chinese economy troika:export/Investment and consumption are no obvious signs of warmer,The domestic economy is still teeter,Overseas market demand atrophy,Domestic demand shortage,Rising labor costs,Resource products prices,And the real estate market regulation and control caused by the related industrial shrinkage and so on to the local economic development has brought serious challenges the state council premier wen jiabao at the recently ended tianjin summer davos BBS on made clear,Economic growth remain in the beginning of the year to determine the expected target interval,And has presented in slow stabilised the situation.With the recent intensive policy measures put in place and play a role,China's economy is expected to stabilise.
鉴于近期中国经济增速放缓势头加快的现象,大华银行集团首席经济师兼投资者关系及研究部主管许洲德近期在接受记者采访时表示,通过对比2008至2009年经济危机期间和目前中国国民生产总值相对于电力生产、铁路货运量及钢铁的指标数据变化,不难发现,中国经济正在实现软着陆。
In view of the recent slowdown in China's economic growth momentum to speed up the phenomenon,Dahua bank group chief economist and investor relations and research department director XuZhou DE recently when accepting a reporter to interview said,By comparing the 2008 to 2009 during the economic crisis and China's GNP relative to the electric power production/Railway freight volume and steel index data change,Is not difficult to find,China's economy is achieve a soft landing.
也是在达沃斯论坛上,前任世界银行首席经济学家林毅夫表示,当年4万亿元的基础设施投入帮助中国走出了危机,去年中国的通胀率相对全球也较低。
Also in davos in the BBS,Former world bank chief economist Justin yifu Lin said,The 4 trillion yuan of infrastructure devotion to help China out of the crisis,Last year China's inflation relative global is also lower.
林毅夫建议,中国可以考虑再来一轮新的经济刺激,投资在短期内仍是拉动经济、摆脱危机的重要工具,未来中国的经济增长仍然需要投资来拉动,中国经济目前面临的问题主要是出口疲软,同时,四万亿元计划项目也大多走向尾期,在这种情况下,中国可以考虑再来一轮新的经济刺激。他表示,新的基础设施建设计划主要依赖于财政支出,而非信贷。
Justin yifu Lin Suggestions,China can consider to a new round of economic stimulus,Investment in the short term still is to stimulate the economy/Get rid of the crisis of the important tool,The future of China's economic growth is still in need of investment to pull,China's economy at present are faced with the problem is mainly export weakness,At the same time,Four trillion yuan project also mostly to tail period,In this case,China can consider to a new round of economic stimulus.He said,New infrastructure construction plan mainly depends on the fiscal expenditure,Rather than credit.
不久前,国家发改委两天内密集发布了批复的60个基建项目,总投资规模超万亿元。对此,汇丰大中华区首席经济学家屈宏斌表示,加紧相关基建项目批复速度表明政策层面充分意识到了提升基建投资在稳投资、进而稳增长中的关键作用。未来大量基建项目集中开工,需要财政及融资层面的支持。
Not long ago,The national development and reform commission within two days intensive issued a written reply to a subordinate body of the 60 infrastructure projects,The total investment of over one trillion yuan.this,HSBC greater China region QuHongBin chief economist said,Step up relevant construction project approval rate show that the policy level fully aware of the ascending infrastructure investment in steady investment/The key role and steady growth.The future a large number of infrastructure projects to start concentration,Need to finance and financing level support.
经济学家李稻葵也表示,中国基础设施投资还远远不够,民生类投资哪怕是每一分钱都是有用的,都是值得的。未来还应大规模推出民生性基础设施建设,建议政府应该通过多发行一些国债来直接进行投资。
Economists LiDaoKui also said,China's infrastructure investment is far from enough,The people's livelihood investments even every penny is useful,Are worth.The future should also be large-scale launch people naturally infrastructure construction,Suggest that the government should issue by some national debt to direct investment.
中金公司发布最新的宏观分析报告称,未来财政政策的扩张空间较大。同时预计在今年余下的时间里,政府财政支出将大于收入2万亿元,意味着政府部门对私人部门净投放资金,财政政策体现出明显的扩张效应,推动基建项目等投资的开展。
Cicc release the latest macroscopic analysis report,The expansion of the future fiscal policy larger space.At the same time in this year is expected to the rest of the time,The government fiscal expenditure will be greater than income is 2 trillion yuan,Means that the government department to the private sector net put their money,Fiscal policy reflects obvious expansion effect,To promote the development of the infrastructure project investment, etc.
刚刚结束的夏季达沃斯论坛发布的《全球竞争力报告》显示,中国的竞争力排名比上一年度下降3位至第29位,但仍旧远远高于其他金砖国家。
Just at the end of the summer davos BBS released[Global competitiveness report]display,China's competitiveness rankings of the previous year drop three to a 29,But is still far higher than other nuggets countries.
许多经济学家表示,世界经济持续低迷,中国经济增速减缓,但危机中,中国实施了稳增长促消费的一系列计划,使得为中国一直在保证稳定增长,是世界经济增长毫无争议的“稳定器”,国际货币基金组织副总裁朱民称,中国经济正在软着陆,整体发展比较稳定。现时,稳增长是中国的首要任务,有益于世界经济。
Many economists said,The world economy sustained downturn,China's economic growth slowed,But the crisis,China to implement the steady growth of consumption to promote a series of plan,Make for China has been ensure stable growth,Is the world economic growth without controversy"stabilizer",The international monetary fund ZhuMin says vice President,China's economy is a soft landing,Overall development is stable.now,Firm growth is China's top priority,Is the world economy.
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