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油价可能持续下跌五年--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-10-15

  国际能源署预言

The international energy agency predicted

  本报讯 世界经济疲软显然影响到了石油价格。国际能源署(IEA)预计石油市场到2017年底之前将感受到明显疲软。根据预测,每桶石油的平均进口价格将持续降低,5年内降至89美元左右。国际能源署的专家预计今年的平均价格为每桶107美元。

Report from our correspondent world economic weakness obviously affected the price of oil.The international energy agency(IEA)The oil market is expected by the end of 2017 before will feel clearly weak.According to the forecast,The average price of a barrel of oil import will continue to reduce,Five years down to about $89.The international energy agency experts expected this year to the average price of $107 a barrel.

  国际能源署执行干事玛丽亚,范德胡芬上周五在国际原油市场中期预测报告发布会上表示,尽管中东地区政治不稳,原油市场前景仍好于预期。主要是伊拉克实现了原油产量的最高纪录。国际能源署认为,伊拉克具备跃升为比俄罗斯更重要的能源供应国的潜力。沙特阿拉伯和利比亚的石油开采情况也不错。“我们因此乐观地认为,石油市场的紧张状况将开始缓解”,范德胡芬说。但她同时也警告说,一些石油开采国的经济危机和政治问题可能会导致油价波动。

The international energy agency executive director-general maria,FanDeHu Finn last Friday in the international crude oil market medium-term forecast report conference said,Although political instability in the Middle East,Crude oil market outlook is still better than expected.Iraq is mainly realized the crude oil output record.The international energy agency think,Iraq has become more important than the Russian energy supplier potential.Saudi Arabia and Libya's oil production situation is good."We are optimistic that,The oil market will begin to ease the tension",FanDeHu Finn said.But she also warned,Some oil mining countries of the economic crisis and political problems may lead to price fluctuations.

  除中东地区石油开采量提高外,国际能源署也预测北美的开采量将攀升。因此预计未来5年,世界原油市场的供应会增加。

In addition to the Middle East to improve oil recovery outside,The international energy agency predicts North America's recovery will climb.Therefore the expected future 5 years,The world crude oil market supply will increase.

  经济萧条也压低油价。专家预计石油需求增长将出现疲软。国际能源署将其对全球石油需求增幅的预期从8%调低至7%。根据预测报告,石油需求在2017年以前将年均增长1.2%,最后达到每天9570万桶。去年的日均需求量尚为8900万桶。而到2017年,原油开采量将达到每天1.02亿桶。

Economic depression and lower oil prices.Experts predict oil demand growth will appear weak.The international energy agency to the global oil demand growth expected from 8% down to 7%.According to the forecast report,Oil demand by 2017, the average annual growth of 1.2%,The last 95.7 million barrels a day.Last year's average daily demand is still for 89 million barrels.By 2017,Crude oil recovery will reach 102 million barrels a day.

  据英国媒体报道,国际能源署预计的北美原油开采量提高早已显现出征兆。报道说,石油公司和交易商计划未来显著提高美国的原油出口量。该报援引内部人士的话说,壳牌公司、英国石油公司以及大型石油交易商维多石油公司计划大规模扩大出口。这些公司已经向美国政府递交了相关申请。壳牌公司已证实提出了申请。 (新华)

According to the British media reported,The international energy agency is expected to North America to improve crude oil is already showing signs.Reports say,Oil companies and dealers and plan for the future significantly improve the U.S. crude oil exports.The newspaper, quoting the words of insiders,Shell company/The oil company British petroleum, and large oil traders d more oil companies plan large-scale expand exports.The company has been to the United States government to submit the relevant application.Shell company has confirmed that puts forward application. (xinhua)



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