本报记者 丁冰

Our reporter DingBing

　　9日公布的10月经济数据显示，PPI同比降幅收敛至2.8%，环比上涨0.2%。PPI转正再度印证中国经济短期底部开始明朗，宏观经济先行指标企稳回升。分析人士指出，从三季度和10月经济数据来看，今年“保增长”目标已提前实现。

9 October released economic data shows,PPI year-on-year drop convergence to 2.8%,Link up 0.2%.PPI again become a full member by China's economic short-term bottom began to clear,The macro economic leading indicators rebounded stabilises.Analysts pointed out that,From the third quarter and October economic data to see,This year"The growth"The goal has realized in advance.

　　10日海关数据将发布，顺差可能性较大。但从此前广交会情况看，境外采购商与会人数和出口成交双双下滑。同时，需求不振已经蔓延到新兴经济体，未来出口可能面临全球性需求低迷，前景不容乐观。

10 the customs data will be published,More likely surplus.But from the previous Canton fair,Overseas buyers number of participants and exports slid in to clinch a deal.At the same time,Demand of has spread to emerging economies,The future export may face global demand downturn,Prospect is not optimistic.

　　金融数据即将公布，多家机构预测10月新增人民币贷款最多不超过6000亿元，这与全年“3:3:2:2”的信贷投放节奏相吻合。由于今年中期以来直接融资规模的扩大，M2有望继续维持在较高水平。

Financial data will be released,Many agencies prediction October new RMB loan at most 600 billion yuan,This and the"3:3:2:2"The credit availability fits rhythm.Due to the middle of this year since the scale enlargement of direct financing,M2 is expected to continue to maintain in a higher level.

　　分析人士认为，四季度外汇占款的恢复增长和企业直接融资仍保持较大规模，都将为M2维持在14%以上构成有力支撑。而“稳增长”政策在新增贷款上的体现，预计是贷款结构的调整，即中长期贷款或基建类贷款的增加。

Analysts believe that,Four quarter funding of foreign exchange of the recovery growth and enterprises of our country direct financing is still keep a large scale,Will maintain at 14% for M2 above constitute a strong support.and"Steady growth"Policy in new loans embodied on,Are expected to be loan structure adjustment,That is long-term and medium-term loans or infrastructure class the increase of loans.

　　14日美国继续发布10月经济数据，核心零售总额和核心PPI将公布，市场预计上述数据将继续回暖。不过，与经济数据相比，全球市场更为关注美国大选后“财政悬崖”问题如何解决。如果到年底没有进一步举措出台，将对美国乃至全球经济再度造成重创。

14 the United States continue to release October economic data,Core retail sales and core PPI will publish,Market is expected the above data will continue to milder.but,Compared with economic data,The global market more attention, after the us election"Financial cliff"How to solve the problem.If no further measures to the end of the year introduced,To the United States and even the global economy once again a cause.