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财政悬崖倒计时 全球股市面临年末大考--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-12-03

  金融市场对任何有关财政悬崖的消息都显得异常敏感。有市场人士担心,财政悬崖谈判僵局或引发股市风暴,一旦美国国会没有就财政悬崖问题达成协议,股市短期内可能遭遇新一轮抛售,给全球金融市场带来的消极影响将会持续到明年上半年。

Financial market for any financial cliff the news was extremely sensitive.Some market experts worry,Financial cliff negotiations impasse or cause the stock market storm,Once the United States congress did not have reached agreement on the question of financial cliff,The stock market in the short term that may be encountered with a new round of selling,To global financial market the negative influence of will continue until the first half of next year.

  证券时报记者 吴家明

The securities times reporter WuGuMing

  随着12月的到来,美国财政悬崖谈判也进入最后一个月的倒计时。在此背景下,全球金融市场硝烟四起,投资者对任何有关财政悬崖的消息都显得异常敏感。

Along with the arrival of December,The United States financial cliff negotiations also going into the final months of the countdown.In this context,Global financial markets smoke everywhere,Investors to any relevant financial cliff the news was extremely sensitive.

  

谈判进展缓慢 Slow negotiations

  为了加速谈判进程,美国总统奥巴马日前指派财长盖特纳前往国会,与美国两党领袖进行磋商。盖特纳向国会介绍奥巴马的减赤方案,内容包括未来10年增税1.6万亿美元和减少医保等福利开支约4000亿美元等。

In order to speed up the negotiation process,President barack Obama has appointed finance ministers' cover Turner to congress,And the two party leaders to negotiate.Cover Turner to congress to introduce Mr Obama's minus red scheme,Contents include the next 10 years tax increases 1.6 trillion dollars and reduce medical insurance and welfare spending about $400 billion, etc.

  不过,这一方案遭到了美国共和党人的抵制。

but,The plan by the United States boycott of the republicans.

  美国国会众议院议长博纳表示,奥巴马提出的增税措施将对小企业主造成重大打击,但对解决政府债务问题起不了什么作用。他认为,白宫提出的减赤方案不够严肃,而目前两党的谈判陷入僵局。

The U.S. house of representatives speaker boehner says,Barack Obama proposed tax increases measures will to small business has caused a serious blow,But to solve the debt problem has no function.He thinks,The White House proposed minus red scheme is not serious,And at present two party negotiations stalled.

  此前,奥巴马乐观预计,美国国会能够在圣诞节前就如何避免财政悬崖达成框架性协议。不过,奥巴马也开始显得有些焦虑:美国政府与国会可能会进行长时间的谈判,同时呼吁国会延长布什总统时期实行的针对美国中产阶级的减税政策。

after,Obama is expected to optimism,The United States congress before Christmas to how to avoid financial cliff to reach a framework agreement.but,Obama also began to appear some anxiety:The United States government and congress could make a long negotiation,At the same time, President bush called on congress to extend the period for American middle-class tax cuts.

  奥巴马警告,如果财政悬崖在明年1月1日生效,美国经济将陷入停滞。

Obama warned,If the financial cliff on January 1st,The United States economy will fall into stagnation.

  有分析人士表示,从目前情况看,美国两党仍在激烈博弈,但在沉重的政治、经济和民意压力下,两党之间的艰难谈判仍将继续,有可能在年底前给出一个解决方案。然而,美国庞大的财政赤字将长期困扰美国和世界经济。

Have analysts said,From the current situation to see,The two parties are still in the fierce game,But in heavy political/Economic and public opinion pressure,Between the two parties of difficult negotiations will continue,Likely before the end of the year a solution.however,The huge fiscal deficits will long plagued the United States and the world economy.

 

 股市站在悬崖边上 Standing in the stock market on the edge of a cliff

  近期,金融市场对任何有关财政悬崖的消息都显得异常敏感,投资者的情绪也如同坐上了过山车一般,美国政府官员就财政悬崖谈判的表态让股市陷入震荡。

recent,Financial market for any financial cliff the news was extremely sensitive,Investors mood also like to sit on the roller coaster general,American officials financial cliff negotiations still let the stock market into shock.

  不过,在财政悬崖谈判并未取得实质性进展的形势下,欧美股市依然在艰难前行。刚刚过去的11月,纳斯达克指数累计上涨1.1%,为2009年以来表现最佳的11月份,欧洲斯托克600指数也累计上涨2%。

but,In the financial cliff negotiations not under the situation of substantial progress,Europe and the United States market is still arduous.Just the past 11 months,The nasdaq index has risen by 1.1%,For 2009 years the best in November,Europe also stoke 600 index has risen 2%.

  有市场人士担心,财政悬崖谈判僵局或引发股市风暴,一旦美国国会没有就财政悬崖问题达成协议,股市短期内可能遭遇新一轮抛售,给全球金融市场带来的消极影响将会持续到明年上半年。

Some market experts worry,Financial cliff negotiations impasse or cause the stock market storm,Once the United States congress did not have reached agreement on the question of financial cliff,The stock market in the short term that may be encountered with a new round of selling,To global financial market the negative influence of will continue until the first half of next year.

  美国Key Private银行研究部总监雷奇表示,目前并没有完全排除美国掉下财政悬崖的可能性,对于美国乃至全球股市而言,12月份的重点就是财政悬崖问题,投资者最担心的是财政悬崖将如何影响公司的盈利前景。

The United States Key Private bank research department director LeiJi said,At present is not completely ruled out the United States dropped the possibility of financial cliff,For the United States and in global stock markets,December is to focus on financial cliff problem,Investors worry most about financial cliff will affect how the company's earnings outlook.



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