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G20为货币战降温--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2013-02-18

   二十国集团(G20)财长和央行行长会议16日在俄罗斯首都莫斯科落下帷幕。各国代表在会上认为,各国要推动全球经济尽快复苏,坚决抵制竞争性货币贬值货币政策应以国内价格稳定和经济复苏为目标,并尽量减小对其他国家的负面溢出效应。

  The second group of ten(G20)Finance ministers and central bank governors meeting 16 in Moscow to drop the curtain.Delegates that at the meeting,Countries to promote global economic recovery as soon as possible,Resolutely resist competitive devaluation,Monetary policy should be to domestic price stability and economic recovery as the goal,And minimize the negative to other countries spillover effect.

  分析人士认为,货币战近期成为“热词”,而此次会议使该话题再度受到关注。但这一问题在当前国际经济大环境下应理性看待,货币战真正爆发的可能性实际上很小。

Analysts believe that,Currency war recently become"Hot word",And the meeting that the topic attention again.But this problem in the current international economic environment should be a rational view,Real currency war broke out in the possibility is very small.

  “货币战”一词进入人们的视线始于日本。日本央行迫于新上任首相安倍晋三的压力而推出货币宽松措施,导致日元大幅贬值。此举随即迅速引发了全球会否爆发货币战的讨论。

"Currency war"A word into the line of sight of people began in Japan.The bank of Japan office under the new prime minister, shinzo Abe, pressure and roll out loose monetary measures,Cause the yen depreciated.This then quickly triggered global will no outbreak of currency war discussion.

  在此次G20会议上,与会代表纷纷为货币战降温。国际货币基金组织总裁拉加德表示,近来热议的货币战话题毫无根据,国际货币基金组织的评估表明相关货币基本符合其实际价值。

In the G20 meeting,The delegates are for currency war cooling.The international monetary fund's President raja said,The recent hot debate currency war topic without foundation,The international monetary fund evaluation showed that the currency in accordance with the relevant basic practical value.

  经济合作与发展组织秘书长古里亚认为,“不排除这是别有用心者为转移视线而耍的花招”。他表示,在G20财长和央行行长会框架内,不会就货币战议题展开讨论,因为各国代表还有许多“更为重要的计划”。

Organization for economic cooperation and development secretary-general kori and think,"Do not rule out the is the ulterior motives for transfer line of sight and tricks".He said,In the G20 finance ministers and central bank governors will framework,Will not discuss currency war issues,Because there are many delegates"The plan is more important".

  业内人士也普遍认为,货币战真正爆发的可能性实际上很小。

The personage inside course of study also is generally accepted that,Real currency war broke out in the possibility is very small.

  分析人士指出,虽然竞争性贬值的情况还没有发生,但实际上央行通过货币政策工具影响货币汇率的行为一直存在,只是近期日元对主要货币汇率的贬值幅度较大、速度较快,震动了市场及其他国家。

Analysts pointed out that,Although competitive devaluation situation has not happened,But the fact is that the central bank through the monetary policy tools influence currency conduct has always been there,The yen's recent against most major currencies devaluation of the large amplitude/faster,Shook the market and other countries.

  奥本海默基金首席经济学家杰里·魏步曼认为,全球央行不会大规模展开竞争性贬值,因为这样会在本国制造过多流动性,引发金融风险。

Oppenheimer fund chief economist jerry w step man think,Global central Banks will not large-scale expansion competitive devaluation,Because this will make too much liquidity in the country,Trigger financial risk.

  纽约大学商学院教授约瑟夫·福迪也同意货币战爆发的几率不大。他认为,这只是贸易摩擦中的一个方面,而且货币贬值在当今世界贸易中的作用也越来越小。

New York university business school professor, Joseph FuDi also agreed to currency war is the chance.He thinks,This is only one aspect of the trade friction,And currency devaluation in today's world the role of trade is becoming more and more small.

  分析人士指出,应该从以下两方面理性看待由货币宽松政策引发的后果。首先,在当前经济环境下,货币宽松政策是各国央行为提振本国经济的合理选择。

Analysts pointed out that,From the following two aspects should be a rational view by monetary easing trigger consequences.First of all,In the current economic environment,Loose monetary policy is central Banks to boost their economic reasonable choice.

  其次,货币战成为关注的焦点是因为很多人没有看到宽松货币政策对实施者和其他国家都有利有弊。对于实施货币宽松政策的国家来说,这样做为本国经济复苏创造了有利环境并对出口起到促进作用,但同时他们面临各种风险的几率也随之增加,尤其是对日本这样资源缺乏的国家,进口价格上涨对经济造成的负面影响不容忽视。

secondly,Currency war became the focus of attention because a lot of people didn't see the loose monetary policy on implementer and other countries have both advantages and disadvantages.To implement monetary policy loose for a country,Such as domestic economic recovery have created favorable environment and positive effect on export,But at the same time they are faced with all kinds of risk probability is increased,Especially in Japan this lack of resources of the country,Import prices on economic impact of nots allow to ignore.

  对其他国家来说,最首要的负面影响是增加了不稳定性。福迪说,通常投资者会将资金撤离实行宽松政策的国家,很多时候如果资金快速流入一个国家会在该国引发资产价格泡沫并产生金融市场动荡。

To other countries for,The first negative influence is increased instability.FuDi said,Usually investors will leave money to loose policy of the country,Most of the time if the money quickly into a state in the country will cause asset price bubbles and produce turmoil in financial markets.

  然而,也有专家认为,虽然一些国家的货币宽松政策会导致其他国家货币升值,出口受到影响,但也可以给发展中国家提供机会,借此改变以价格优势促进出口的发展模式。

however,Experts believe that,Although some countries monetary easing will lead to other countries currency appreciation,Export affected,But also can provide the opportunity for developing countries,To change the price advantage to promote the development of export mode.

  (新华社纽约2月16日电)

(Xinhua New York on February 16)

  

名词解释:货币战 Nouns explain:Currency war

  一般是指各国通过竞争性贬值本国货币,使货币汇率偏离公允价值。

Generally refers to the countries through the competitive devaluation of its currency,Make the currency deviating from the fair value.



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