全球经济前景充满不确定性，亚洲新兴经济体总体保持高速增长成为难得的亮色。展望2013年，亚洲新兴经济体能否继续担当拉动全球经济增长的“火车头”？

The global economic outlook is full of uncertainty,Asia's emerging economies remains generally high growth become a rare bright color.In 2013,Asia's emerging economies will continue to bear the pull of the global economic growth"locomotive"?

经济数据表现亮眼 Economic data show bright eye

　　最新出炉的亚洲新兴经济体数据普遍向好，让越来越多的分析人士相信，亚洲新兴经济体在引领全球经济复苏方面的重要作用将再次显现。

A new emerging Asia data generally better off,Let more and more analysts believe,Asian emerging economies in leading the global economic recovery the vital role will appear again.

　　泰国国家经济和社会发展委员会公布的报告显示，受家庭消费和投资增长等因素带动，去年第四季度泰国国内生产总值（GDP）实现18.9%的增长幅度，2012年泰国经济增长6.4%。

Thailand national economic and social development committee report shows,Affected by household consumption and investment growth factors drive,Last year in the fourth quarter, Thailand's gross domestic product(GDP)Achieve the 18.9% increase,2012 Thailand economy grew by 6.4%.

　　印尼国家统计局公布的数据显示，受惠于投资增长和强劲的家庭消费，2012年印尼经济仍维持6%以上的增速。亚洲开发银行预计，今年印尼经济增速将达到6.6%。印尼经济统筹部副部长艾迪普特拉也信心满满：“印尼要在2025年成为经济强国，国民年均收入要达到16000美元。”

The Indonesian national bureau of statistics show,Benefit from the investment growth and strong family consumption,In 2012 the Indonesian economy remains more than 6% of the growth.The Asian development bank estimates,This year the Indonesian economic growth will reach 6.6%.The Indonesian economy as a whole, vice minister of eddy PuTeLa also full of confidence:"Indonesia will in 2025 as an economic power,The national average income should be $16000."

　　据菲律宾官方的预测，2012年该国经济增长率可以达到6.5%，支撑菲律宾经济高增长的是个人消费。与此同时，归功于中国、韩国和泰国对缅甸电力及能源项目等基础设施建设的投资，缅甸2012年经济增速也接近5%。

According to the official forecast,In 2012, the country's economic growth rate can reach 6.5%,Support the Philippines economic growth is the consumption.meanwhile,Due to China/South Korea and Thailand to myanmar's power and energy projects and other infrastructure construction investment,Burma's 2012 economic growth was close to 5%.

　　巴克莱亚洲投资策略师黄敬庭认为，与金融危机时所采取的大规模刺激政策不同，此次大部分新兴经济体并没有采取过于激烈的措施刺激经济。苏格兰皇家银行驻新加坡经济学家塔努认为，东南亚地区消费者购买力增强，最低工资标准也得到了提高，预计2013年该地区将维持较强的经济增长势头。

The barclays Asia investment strategists HuangJingTing think,And the financial crisis has taken large stimulus policy different,The most emerging economies and did not take too drastic measures to stimulate the economy.Royal bank of Scotland in Singapore economists katerina think,Southeast Asia enhance consumer purchasing power,Minimum wage standard is improved,In 2013, the area is expected to remain strong economic growth momentum.

　淘金新兴亚洲 Gold emerging Asian

　　作为全球最大的发展中国家，中国在新兴经济体中的作用和影响一直备受关注。汇丰银行首席经济师史蒂芬近日发表世界经济走势预测时表示，中国将是带动世界经济增长的主要引擎。有分析人士表示，中国经济已开始集聚增长动力，而这有助于提振整个亚洲地区的经济增长，东南亚国家在自主复苏方面也将有不错的表现。

As the world's largest developing country,In China the effect and influence of emerging economies has always been concerned.HSBC bank chief economist Stephen recently published the world economic trend forecasting, said,China will promote the world economic growth is the main engine.Have analysts said,China's economy has started to gather growth power,And this helps lift the whole of Asia's economic growth,Southeast Asian countries in the independent recovery also will have a good performance.

　　投资者也把目光投向亚洲新兴经济体。英国首相卡梅伦18日率领庞大的商业代表团访问印度，不仅急于“取悦”印度的投资者，也为英企寻觅商机。此外，亚洲新兴经济体逐步加大基础设施建设，并出台多项刺激经济的政策。新加坡总理李显龙和马来西亚总理纳吉布·拉扎克昨日就宣布，两国一致同意建设连接新加坡和马来西亚首都吉隆坡的高速铁路，预计在2020年之前建成。

Investors are also focused on Asia's emerging economies.British prime minister Cameron and day to lead a large business delegation's visit to India,Not only to"please"India's investors,Also for the enterprises seek business opportunities.In addition,Asia's emerging economies gradually increase infrastructure construction,And introduced a number of economic stimulus policies.Singaporean prime minister lee hsien loong and Malaysian prime minister nagy, imre cloth · tun razak announced yesterday,The construction of the two countries agreed to connect Singapore and Kuala Lumpur of high-speed railway,In 2020 is expected to built before.

　　国际金融协会日前发布的新兴市场资本流动报告显示，今明两年新兴市场私人资本净流入将继续保持强劲势头，总体规模预计分别高达1.118万亿美元和1.15万亿美元。其中，亚洲新兴经济体仍然是国际资本重点流入地区，预计今明两年该地区私人资本净流入将分别高达5170亿美元和5280亿美元。

International finance association released emerging market capital flows report,In the next two years emerging market net private capital will continue to remain strong momentum,The overall size of the respectively is expected to as high as $1.118 trillion and $1.15 trillion.the,Asia's emerging economies is still focus on international capital flows into the region,Is expected in the next two years the area net private capital will be separately as high as $517 billion and $528 billion.

　　不过，有分析人士提醒，许多亚洲新兴经济体国家依然无法自主决定自身宏观经济政策走向，频繁地受制于发达国家宏观经济政策的调整，这种尴尬局面为亚洲经济的可持续增长埋下了越来越多的隐患。

but,Analytic personage remind,Many Asian emerging economies is still unable to decide their own independent macroeconomic policies to,Frequently subject to developed countries macroeconomic policy adjustment,This embarrassing situation for the Asian economic sustainable growth buried the more and more hidden trouble.