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油价上调爽约,难道是延期后再大涨--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2013-02-21

  据新华社上海2月20日电  2月19日,我国成品油调价参照的三地原油变化率突破4%的调价红线,油价上调窗口正式开启。当日下午市场上传出“今晚上调油价”的传闻,一度引起轩然大波。 According to the xinhua news agency Shanghai February and report  On February 19,,Domestic refined oil price adjustment to three crude oil rate breakthrough 4% of the price adjustment red line,Oil prices rise officially open the window.That day afternoon out on the market"Tonight to increase oil prices"Rumors of,Once caused a sensation.

  专家表示,虽然传闻已经被证伪,但近期仍是油价上调的敏感期。倘若调价时间点向后延期,意味着理论上调幅度或进一步拉宽。在油价上调靴子尚未落地之前,国内油品行情或延续火爆,液化气市场也有望随之水涨船高。

Experts say,Although rumors have been debunked,But the recent price increase is still the sensitive period.If price adjustment time delay back,Means that the theory rise or further pull wide.In oil prices has not been raised boots before landing,Domestic oil market or continue hot,Liquefied petroleum gas market is expected to then a rising tide lifts all boats.

  

调价窗口开启日闹“乌龙” Price adjustment window opens a day"uron"

  蛇年股市开门红没有盼到,老百姓不想看到的油价开门红却几乎板上钉钉。

The year of snake a stock market did not wish to,People don't want to see prices on the right foot is almost board nailing.

  按照规定,当国际市场原油连续22个工作日移动平均价格变化超过4%时,可相应调整国内成品油价格。上次国内成品油调价是在去年11月16日,至今已经间隔了六十多个工作日,且三地原油变化率已突破4%。算下来,到2月19日国内成品油调价窗口正式开启。

According to the regulation,When the international crude oil market for 22 days moving average price changes more than 4%,Domestic product oil price may be adjusted.The last time the domestic refined oil price adjustment is in last November 16,,Now has more than sixty days interval,Three and crude oil rate has reached 4%.Count down,On February 19, the domestic refined oil price adjustment window officially open.

  19日下午,市场上传闻四起,多家咨询机构先后发布消息称从内部渠道获悉“国家发改委有望在20日凌晨上调成品油价格,幅度在每吨250-300元之间”。一时之间,网站上、微博里“提前去加油”的呼声一片。可当日晚间,又有消息出来辟谣,“今晚油价暂不调整”。

19 in the afternoon,Market rumors everywhere,Several consulting agency has announced that from internal channels"The national development and reform commission is expected to raise prices of refined petroleum products at twenty days,In every tons of 250-300 yuan between".Between a,Web site/Micro bo in"Advance to go"Call a piece of.But that day evening,And news came out again,"Temporary don't adjust oil tonight".

  等到20日凌晨,“今晚油价上调”的传闻果然被证伪。东方油气网分析师程瑞锋表示,调油价的传闻之所以掀起轩然大波,一是在于当下正处于调价敏感期,二是因为油价波动直接关联着百姓生活。当前三地原油变化率已正向破四,成品油调价窗口已经开启,油价上调政策随时可能兑现。

Wait until twenty days morning,"Oil prices rise tonight"Rumours of the substance is falsification.The east and ChengRuiFeng oil analysts said,Adjustment of the prices set off a frenzy of speculation,One is the is in price adjustment sensitive period,Secondly because oil price directly related to people's lives.The current three crude oil rate has forward the four,Refined oil price adjustment window is open,Oil prices rise policy may at any time to cash.

 

 油价推迟上调幅度会更大 Oil prices will rise more delay

  油价暂不调整不等于不会调整,倘若调价时间向后拖延,虽然老百姓可以少受几天“高油价”之苦,但届时上调的幅度会不会更大?如果严格按照调价公式的话,这一结论无疑是肯定的。

Oil prices temporary not adjustment is not equal to not be changed,If price adjustment time delay back,Although people can receive few days"High oil prices"suffering,But when the amplitude will increase more big?If in strict accordance with the price adjustment formula words,This conclusion is undoubtedly for sure.

  新华社石油价格系统20日发布的数据显示,三地原油变化率已经上涨至4.52%,比前一个交易日上涨了0.25个百分点。其他多家研究机构监测,三地原油变化率已达到4.84%,比前一交易日上涨了0.24个百分点。目前成品油调价窗口已经开启,市场静待调价政策落地。“如果严格按照定价公式计算,调价时间延迟,油价上调的理论幅度也会被拉宽。”安迅思息旺能源分析师廖凯舜预测,倘若成品油调价拖至元宵节(2月24日)之后兑现,理论上,价格上调幅度或达到每吨360元。

The xinhua news agency issued by the oil price system and data display,Three crude oil rate has risen to 4.52%,Than the previous trading day up 0.25%.Other several research institutions monitoring,Three crude oil rate has reached 4.84%,Than the previous trading day up 0.24%.At present product oil price adjustment window is open,Let the market price adjustment policy fall to the ground."If in strict accordance with the pricing formula,Price adjustment time delay,Oil prices rise theory amplitude will also be pull wide."AnXunSi interest prosperous energy analysts LiaoKaiShun prediction,If oil price adjustment tow to the Lantern Festival(On February 24)Cash after,In theory,The price rise or reach $360 per ton.

  

调价预期引爆油品行情 Price adjustment is expected to detonate product market

 “油价上调”的传言传播,石油公司无疑是最大的受益者。

"Oil prices rise"Rumors spread,Oil company is undoubtedly the biggest beneficiaries.

  1月份国内油品市场供需宽松,成交冷淡,但进入2月以来尤其是春节之后,油价上调预期浓厚,下游批发商贸易商提前备库以应对油价上涨,油品市场十分火爆。

In January the domestic oil market supply and demand loose,Clinch a deal the cold,But in 2 months, especially after the Spring Festival,Oil prices rise expected strong,Ahead of the downstream wholesalers traders for libraries to deal with rising gas prices,The oil market is very hot.

  在价格方面,据东方油气网监测,截至2月19日,中石油、中石化等主营单位销售的93号汽油批发均价为每吨9479元,较春节前每吨上涨了117元;0号柴油批发均价为每吨8381元,比春节前每吨上涨了136元。另外,由于液化气最高出厂价与油价挂钩,因此受油价上调预期带动,国内液化气行情在春节之后也水涨船高,价格涨幅接近6%。“华东、华南等地部分中石油、中石化销售公司已经提前完成了本月的销售任务。”卓创资讯分析师孟鹏表示,目前国内油品市场看涨情绪依然强烈,预计在国内调价政策落实前,汽柴油批发价格有望延续稳中上涨走势。受此影响,国内成品油批零价差将进一步缩窄,加油站优惠幅度或将进一步减小。

In price,According to Oriental oil and gas network monitoring,By February 19,,petrochina/Sinopec and main unit sales of 93 gasoline wholesale average price is $9479 per ton,Before the Spring Festival is up 117 yuan per ton;0 no diesel wholesale average price for $8381 per ton,Before the Spring Festival than up 136 yuan per ton.In addition,Because of gas and oil prices ex-factory price highest hook,So by the oil price rise is expected to drive,The domestic gas market is rising after the lunar New Year holiday,Price rise nearly 6%."East China/South China and part of the oil/Sinopec sales company has finished the sales task of this month."Zhuo and information MengPeng analysts said,At present domestic oil market bullish sentiment is still strong,In the domestic price adjustment policy is expected to carry out front,Wholesale gasoline and diesel prices are expected to continue steady rise trend.Affected by this,Domestic product oil retail price will further erode,Gas station margin of preference or will be further reduced.



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