大宗商品咨询机构Wood Mackenzie称，2030年以前澳大利亚仍将在全球焦煤出口市场处于主导地位。

Commodities consultancy Wood Mackenzie says，2030 years ago Australia will still in global coking coal export market is in the leading position。

　　分析师表示，世界钢铁生产厂家将继续依赖澳大利亚焦煤，未来20年澳大利亚将在全球焦煤出口市场中保持超过50%的份额。

Analysts said，The world steel production factory will continue to rely on Australia coking coal，The next 20 years in Australia will be global export market to keep more than in coking coal 50% share。

　　然而，澳大利亚焦煤产业发展中将不得不克服来自基础设施和成本的压力。基础设施建设依然是焦煤出口市场面临的挑战，需继续投资将新港口发货能力增加2亿吨。此外，新项目开发的成本正上升，特别是绿地焦煤项目。劳动力供应短缺及税务增加导致煤矿商运营成本增加，因此尽管焦煤供应有所增加，但价格仍维持在200美元/吨以上。

however，Australia coking coal industry development will have to overcome from infrastructure and costs。Infrastructure construction is still coking coal export market challenges，The need for continued investment will new port shipment ability increase of 200 million tons。In addition，New project development costs are rising，Especially green space coking coal project。Labor supply shortages and tax increase in business operation cost increase coal mine，So although coking coal supply increases，But the price remains the $200 / tons。

　　汇丰投资银行表示，2012-2016年国际焦煤需求将以每年4%的速率增长。亚洲仍将是最大的焦煤进口地区，未来5年的进口量预计占贸易总量的73%。

HSBC investment bank says，2012-2016 international coking coal demand will be growing by more than 4% a year。Asia will still is the biggest coking coal import region，For the next five years of trade imports is expected to 73% of the total。