行业内数据显示，我国进口奶粉中，近八成来自新西兰。日前，海关数据显示，我国进口企业已将新西兰相关奶农产品2013年的进口配额用光，接下来将按照最惠国税率征收关税。

Industry figures show,Imported milk powder in China,Nearly eighty percent from New Zealand.recently,The customs figures show,Import companies in our country has put New Zealand relevant import quota of agricultural products in 2013 to run out of milk,The next will be in accordance with the MFN tariff rate.

　　有专家表示，虽然今年1月新西兰奶粉爆出双氰胺事件，现在新西兰主要奶粉产区又正经历旱灾，引起成本上涨预期担忧，但从目前市场情况来看，尚未能完全动摇国内消费者对新西兰奶粉的消费信心，这是我国从该国进口奶粉越来越早地触发相关征税标准的原因之一。

Experts say,Although New Zealand milk powder came out in January dicyandiamide,Now New Zealand milk powder mainly production areas are experiencing drought,Causes the expected costs,But from the current market conditions,Has yet to fully shake the domestic consumer confidence of New Zealand milk powder,This is our country from the country's imports of milk powder is more and more early trigger relevant tax standard is one of the reasons.

　　1个月用光进口配额

1 month run import quotas

　　日前，海关总署发布2013年第9号公告称，黄油和其他从乳中提取的脂和油进口数量已经超过中国和新西兰签订的自由贸易协定中有关对该品类产品实施特保措施关税的限额。截至3月4日，上述农产品进口申报数量已经达到12104.511吨，超过了2013年全年11997吨的特保措施触发标准。根据中新两国的自由贸易协定规定，自3月5日起，我国将对上述进口于新西兰的农产品按最惠国税率征收进口关税。

recently,The general administration of customs 2013 no. 9 announcement said,Butter and other extracted from milk fat or oil import quantity is more than in China and New Zealand signed free trade agreement on safeguard measures for this category of products tariff quotas.As of March 4,The agricultural products import declaration amount has reached 12104.511 tons,More than 2013, 11997 tons of special safeguard measures trigger criteria.According to the china-new Zealand free trade agreement between the two countries,Since March 5,,China will for the imports of agricultural products according to the MFN rates in New Zealand import tariffs.

　　除了黄油、脂和油外，固状和浓缩非固状乳及奶油（以奶粉为主）的进口数量早在今年1月也已达到了特保措施触发标准。1月28日，海关总署发布的第4号公告称，上述产品的进口数量已经达到75367.401吨，超过了2013年71060.895吨的特保措施触发标准，因此自1月29日起，将对上述农产品按最惠国税率征收进口关税。

In addition to the butter/Grease and oil,Solid shape, and concentration of solid milk and cream(Is given priority to with milk powder)The import quantity as early as January has also reached the safeguard measures trigger criteria.On January 28,,By the general administration of customs announcement no. 4,The import quantity of these products have reached 75367.401 tons,71060.895 more than 2013 tons of special safeguard measures trigger criteria,So since January 29,Will import tariffs on agricultural products according to the MFN rates above.

　　针对上述现象，乳业专家王丁棉表示，我国市场对新西兰奶粉较为青睐，近年来由于国产奶粉不振，国内许多乳企纷纷赴新西兰找奶源，或者进口新西兰奶粉。行业内数据显示，近年我国的进口奶粉中，有近八成来自新西兰，直接导致进口商争先恐后提前预订“进口配额”指标，这导致从新西兰进口的奶粉越来越快达到限额标准。

In view of the above phenomenon,Dairy expert wang dingmian says,Our market to New Zealand milk powder is more preferred,In recent years because of the domestic milk powder,Many dairy companies have visited New Zealand looking for milk in China,Or imported New Zealand milk powder.Industry figures show,In recent years, China's imports of milk powder,Nearly eighty percent from New Zealand,Led directly to the importers are scrambling to book in advance"Import quota"indicators,This leads to a faster and faster to limit imports of milk powder from New Zealand standard.

　　据海关总署相关公告，自我国2009年对新西兰进口的乳制品实施特保措施以来，我国进口新西兰奶粉触发该进口标准的日期越来越提前。2009年为8月13日，2010年为4月12日，2011年为3月9日，2012年为2月22日。今年固状和浓缩非固状乳及奶油类的进口达到特保措施触发标准，则提前到了1月末。

According to the general administration of customs announcement,Since the 2009 implementation safeguard measures on imports of New Zealand dairy products,The date of China's imports of New Zealand milk powder to trigger the import standards is more and more in advance.On August 13, 2009,For April 12, 2010,On March 9, 2011,For February 22, 2012.This solid shape, and concentration of solid milk and butter imports reached safeguard measures trigger criteria,Early in January.

　　另据中国食品土畜进出口商会数据，2008年中国奶粉进口量为14万吨，2009年激增到31万吨，同比增长121%；2010年增长至48万吨，增长55%；2011年则达到98万吨高位；去年1~8月，我国已进口乳制品超80万吨，同比增长28.4%。

According to China's food soil livestock import and export chamber of commerce data,China's milk powder imports of 140000 tons in 2008,Soared to 310000 tons in 2009,Up 121% from a year earlier;Growth in 2010 to 480000 tons,Growth of 55%;In 2011 reached 980000 tons;Last year in August 1 ~,Our country has imported dairy products over 800000 tons,Up 28.4% from a year earlier.

　　新西兰奶粉依旧“吃香”

New Zealand milk powder"In high demand"

　　根据我国与新西兰签订的相关自由贸易协定规定，当用光奶粉进口配额之后，我国将对从新西兰进口的奶粉进行征税。

According to our country and New Zealand signed a free-trade agreement,When run out of milk powder after the import quota,Our country will be a tax on imports of milk powder from New Zealand.

　　那么，对新西兰奶粉征收关税是否会带动终端零售价格上涨呢？对此，王丁棉表示，目前供应于市场上的奶粉，进口商早于半年前就与供货商定好价，所以不会对奶粉市场造成影响。至于对终端市场的影响，中间还有几个月的传导期。

then,Levy customs duties on New Zealand milk powder will drive the terminal retail prices?For this,Wang dingmian says,Currently supply on the market of milk powder,Importer and supplier agree on good prices earlier than six months ago,So will not affect milk powder market.As for the terminal market,There are the conduction period of several months.

　　王丁棉强调，国内进口奶粉的终端销售价格，关税成本只占其中很小一部分，更大程度上，奶粉价格是国内的流通环节成本，以及厂家根据市场情况对利润的追求来决定的。

Wang dingmian stressed,Domestic terminal sale price of imported milk powder,Tariffs constitute only a small part of the cost,A greater degree of,Milk powder price is domestic circulation costs,The pursuit of profits according to the market situation and the manufacturer.

　　王丁棉表示，今年1月底，新西兰奶粉爆出双氰胺事件，对中国消费者的信心带来了一定影响。现在位于新西兰北岛的奶农制品主产区正遭遇70年一遇的大旱，这又给新西兰奶农制品带来减产提价的压力。但总体而言，新西兰双氰胺事件是单一事件，从目前市场情况看，国内消费者仍对新西兰奶粉有信心。另外，新西兰奶粉去年因为“风调雨顺”增产8%，今年业内预计也会增产1%，所以供求预计会稳定。

Wang dingmian says,At the end of January this year,New Zealand milk powder when dicyandiamide,Consumer confidence has brought certain influence in China.Now located in the north island of New Zealand dairy farmers products producing is suffering its worst drought in 70 years,It brings to the New Zealand dairy farmers products output price pressures.But on the whole,New Zealand dicyandiamide is single events,Look from the current market situation,Domestic consumers are still confident in New Zealand milk powder.In addition,New Zealand milk powder since last year"Good crop"Increase 8%,The industry is expected to increase 1% this year,So supply and demand is expected to be stable.

　　公开资料显示，目前雅培、多美滋，以及光明乳业(600597,股吧)（600659.SH）、雅士利等品牌皆以新西兰为奶源基地，在该国有投资。有厂商告诉记者，国内生产企业不会轻易放弃新西兰奶源。

Public information,The abbott/dumex,As well as the bright dairy(600597,stocks)(600659. SH)/Yashili brands such as all raw milk bases for New Zealand,Investment in the country.Have vendor told reporters,Will not easily give up New Zealand milk production enterprise in China.