新的成品油定价机制已运行近两个月。国家发改委人士曾透露，制定新机制的初衷是为打击油品投机和囤积居奇，防止市场出现“油荒”。这一说法在姜世强身上体现了出来。

The new refined oil pricing mechanism has been running for nearly two months.The national development and reform commission, the people said,For the purpose of the new mechanism is to combat oil speculation and hoarding,To prevent market"Oil shortage".Upon Jiang Shijiang reflected the claim.

　　姜世强是济南一家成品油贸易公司的负责人。他12日告诉经济导报记者，新机制让他们很难作出判断。“以前周期是22个工作日，我们还能作出比较准确的判断，在油价上调之前买入，然后在上调价格之后卖出，能挣不少钱。”姜世强说，“现在很难判断下一次是涨还是跌，也就不能囤油赚差价了。”姜世强说，他从事这个行当已经快7年了，“刚开始跟着别人干，后来自己开了现在的公司，做起了成品油贸易。”

Jiang Shijiang is in charge of the jinan a refined petroleum products trading company.He told the herald reporter. 12,New it is hard to judge them."Before the cycle is 22 working days,We also can make more accurate judgment,Buy before prices rise,Then after rise the price to sell,Can earn a lot of money."Jiang Shijiang said,"It is difficult to judge the next to go up to still drop,Also cannot stockpiling oil earn price difference."Jiang Shijiang said,He has been engaged in this industry for nearly 7 years,"Just started to work for someone else,Then open the company now,Start the oil products trade."

　　按照姜世强的说法，最初他只是老老实实地做成品油贸易，一步步做大，并没有囤油赚差价。转折点出现在2009年，当年5月我国公布了“22个工作日+4%涨幅”的定价机制，即当布伦特、迪拜、辛塔三地原油现货价格连续22个工作日移动平均价格涨幅或跌幅超过4%时，可相应调整国内成品油价格。这个定价机制对姜世强来说，相当于提供了囤油的便利条件，“机制很透明，作出判断很容易，因为会有很多机构帮忙计算，而且准确率很高，我只需想办法去多囤些油。”

According to Jiang Shijiang,At first he just honestly do petroleum products trade,Step by step to do great,No hoarding oil make the difference.The turning point came in 2009,When released in China in May"22 working days + 4%"The pricing mechanism,When brent/dubai/Zinn tower three crude oil spot prices over 22 working days moving average price rise or down more than 4%,Can be adjusted domestic fuel prices.The pricing mechanism for Jiang Shijiang,Provides a convenient conditions, according to the oil,"Mechanism is transparent,Judgement is easy,Because there will be a lot of agencies help calculation,And the accuracy is very high,I just think of some way to go up more oil."

　　据导报记者了解，一些大的贸易商拥有几万吨的油库，每次油价上涨之前，他们都会囤上一些油，每次都会赚个盆满钵满。然而，从今年3月27日起，姜世强的好日子结束了。“新定价机制下，10天周期短，而且没有公布挂靠油种，增加了囤油的成本和风险，”姜世强说，“现在就是观望，适当调整库存量，不敢刻意去囤油了。”生意社成品油分析师李宏告诉导报记者，在旧的定价机制下，每次在油价下调后，贸易商都会比较活跃，但自新机制运行后，无论涨跌，贸易商都很沉寂，很少还有做短线投资的。“现在连机构也没有把握，很难预测准。”李宏说。

According to the herald reporter understanding,Some of the biggest traders have tens of thousands of tons of oil depot,Every time before the rise in oil prices,They will be some oil on the hoarding,Every time I make a bowl full.however,Starting from this year on March 27,Jiang Shijiang day is over."Under the new pricing mechanism,Ten days period is short,And not released the affiliated oil,Increase the costs and risks of hoarding oil,"Jiang Shijiang said,"Now is wait and see,Appropriate adjustments to inventory,To store oil."Refined oil business club et al, an analyst told the herald reporter,Under the old pricing,Every time after the oil price cut,Dealers will be more active,But from the new mechanism of after the operation,No matter up or down,Traders have very silence,Rarely do short term investment."Now even agencies are also not sure,It is difficult to predict prospective."Said et al.

　　正如李宏所说，导报记者记者注意到，新定价机制下，生意社、卓创资讯、中宇资讯和金银岛等资讯机构都没有任何把握确定油价是否会调整。姜世强告诉导报记者，现在经济形势不好，因此只是老老实实地卖油，不敢囤油了。在他看来，也许时间长了，情况可能会好转一些。李宏也认为，虽然新机制提高了囤油的成本和风险，但并不能彻底遏制囤油行为，“当经济形势好转，国际油价连续多天上涨的时候，依旧可以预判油价大约何时上调，贸易商还是有利可图。”

As et al,Herald reporter noticed,Under the new pricing mechanism,Business club/Zhuo and information/Zhongyu information and treasure island are no grasp information institutions, such as determining whether oil prices will be adjusted.Jiang Shijiang told the herald reporter,Now the economic situation is bad,So just honestly sell oil,Dare not hoarding oil.In his opinion,Maybe after a long time,Some things may improve.Et al also think,Although increased new hoarding oil cost and risk,But not completely curb hoarding oil behavior,"When economic conditions improve,When international oil prices rose for days,Can still predictions about when to raise oil prices,Traders or profitable."