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摩根大通:中国经济正在触底反弹--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-12-19

  证券时报记者 黄兆隆

The securities times reporter HuangZhaoLong

  摩根大通昨日发布中国信心指数,指出中国经济正在受产销量和盈利预期乐观情绪的推动而大幅反弹。

Jpmorgan China confidence index released yesterday,Pointed out that China's economy is by production and sales and earnings expectations of optimism to promote and rebound sharply.

  该公司认为,12月份中国信心指数(JSI)数值为59.8,较11月份的49.2大幅上升,这反映了中国经济的触底反弹和2013年的复苏前景。近期中国经济数据也印证了这一点。消费相关行业信心指数显著改善,12月较为显著的变化是消费相关行业(博彩、汽车)、油气、银行和固定资产投资相关行业(建筑和机械)的乐观情绪上升。情绪向好的行业数量大幅增加,生产、订单和每股盈利预测调整持续改善,每股盈利预测调整的筑底趋势较为明显,多个月来首次出现50以上数值。

The company argued that,China's confidence in December(JSI)Value is 59.8,A November 49.2 have risen sharply,This reflects China's economic touch bottom rebound and 2013 years of recovery prospects.China's recent economic data also proved this point.Consumer confidence index related industries to improve significantly,December is relatively significant change is consumption related industries(betting/car)/Oil and gas/Banks and fixed asset investment related industries(Architectural and mechanical)Rising optimism.Emotion to good industry quantity increase,production/Order and forecast earnings per share adjustment of continuous improvement,The adjustment of earnings per share forecast build bottom trend is obvious,Many months for the first time in more than fifty numerical.

  在宏观经济走向上,该公司指出中国经济复苏势头显著。近期企业层面也出现积极信号,包括企业利润扭亏为盈,表明宏观经济复苏范围正在扩大。一年一度的中央经济工作会议和新任领导人近期讲话增强了对未来将加大力度推进经济结构调整的信心。

In the macro economy towards,The company pointed out that China's economic recovery momentum significantly.Recently the business enterprise level also appears positive signal,Including enterprise profit turnaround,Show that the macro economic recovery range is expanding.The annual central economic work conference and the new leaders to enhance the recent speech to the future will intensify efforts to promote the readjustment of the economic structure is confidence.



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