对上半年石油和化学工业的进出口态势，专家总结为4个字——跌宕起伏。国内外需求不振，导致行业对外贸易波动较大，贸易摩擦呈增多趋势。

In the first half of the import and export of oil and chemical industry trend，Experts summarized as four characters- ups and downs all around。With demand at home and abroad，Lead to foreign trade industry volatile，Trade friction is increasing trend。

　　来自石化联合会的数据显示，行业上半年单月进出口总额同比增长曲线犹如过山车，2～6月分别为41.2%、9.7%、1.7%、11.2%和2.4%。1～6月，石油和化工行业进出口总额为3220.69亿美元，同比增长10.4%，而去年同期这一数字为33.7%，增速大幅回落。“国外市场或国内下游行业对化工产品的需求是增长的，只是增幅比去年小了很多，等于突然刹了一个车。”石化联合会信息与市场部主任赵志平分析说，出口反映外需、进口反映内需，进出口的波动主要源自需求不振。

From fossil data showed that federation，Industry in the first half year-on-year increase total import and export volume monthly performance curve is like a roller coaster，2 ~ 6 month were 41.2%、9.7%、1.7%、11.2% and 2.4%。1 ~ 6 months，Oil and chemical industry total import and export volume for 322.069 billion dollars，Year-on-year growth of 10.4%，And the same period last year the figure was 33.7%，Growth dropped sharply in the。“The foreign market or domestic downstream industries to chemical products demand is growing，Just growth much smaller than last year，Suddenly the brake is equal to a car。”Petrochemical federation information and the marketing director of ZhaoZhiPing analysis said，Export economy reflects、Import reflect domestic demand，The volatility of the import and export mainly derived from demand dynamics。

　　数据显示，上半年我国原油进口金额1182.23亿美元，增长24.7%，占行业进口贸易总额的49.6%；天然气进口金额70.54亿美元，增长73.5%，均高于行业对外贸易平均增速。但相比去年同期数据，依然有所减缓。“油气进口主要是满足国内能源需求。以前汽油产量总是处于紧平衡状态，还会不时出现油荒、气荒。但今年出现了汽油产量供大于求的现象。”赵志平说。

Data shows，The country imports of crude amount of $118.223 billion，24.7% increase，Accounting for 49.6% of the total amount of import trade industry；Natural gas imports amounted to $7.054 billion，73.5% increase，Are higher than the industry average growth of foreign trade。But compared with the same period last year data，Still slow down。“Oil and gas imported mainly is to meet domestic demand for energy。Gasoline production before is always in the tight equilibrium state，Will also punctuated oil shortage、Waste gas。But this year the production of gasoline supply appear phenomenon。”ZhaoZhiPing said。

　　除油气进口外，其他化工产品进口情况表现不一。“化工产品进口量少了，国内生产同类产品企业的日子应该好过一些。但事实并非如此，这也说明下游对我们的需求整体下降，反映出经济不景气。”石化联合会信息与市场部副主任王子敏介绍，上半年合成树脂进口1447.9万吨，同比下降0.5%；乙烯进口63.6万吨，增幅超过37%；聚乙烯进口358.7万吨，占同期表观消费量的42.9%；进口合成纤维单体近800万吨，增长11.5%。这其中多数产品能满足国内市场需求，因此大量进口给国内企业带来了巨大压力。石化联合会预计，目前中国市场已成为各国争夺的重点，进口产品的冲击还将长期存在。

In addition to the oil and gas imports，Other chemical products import different performance。“Chemical products import less，Domestic production of similar products the day of the enterprise should be better。But that is not the case，It also accounts for the needs of our downstream overall decline，Reflect the sluggish economy。”Petrochemical federation information and market WangZiMin, deputy director of the introduction，Imports in the first half of 14.479 million tons of synthetic resin，0.5% year-on-year drop；Ethylene imported 636000 tons，Growth of more than 37%；Polyethylene imported 3.587 million tons，Accounting for 42.9% of the apparent consumption in the same period；Import synthetic fiber monomer nearly 8 million tons，11.5% increase。This most of the products can meet the domestic market demand，So to the domestic enterprises import a lot of enormous。Petrochemical association expects，At present China market has already become the focus of the race for all countries，The impact of the imported products will exist for a long time。

　　出口同样面临压力。1～6月，全行业出口838.66亿美元，增长仅为3.2%，与去年同期超36%的增幅不可同日而语。“整个国际环境都不太好，日本、欧盟都在紧缩开支，我们的出口减缓也在情理中。”赵志平说，不仅我们行业，全国上半年出口总额增幅只有9.2%，为近几年同期最低。

Export also face pressure。1 ~ 6 months，The industry export $83.866 billion，Growth is only 3.2%，With the same period last year the growth of 36% is obvious。“The whole international environment are not so good，Japan、The European Union are pulling back，We export slowdown also reasonable。”ZhaoZhiPing said，Not only our industry，In the first half of the total export growth was only 9.2%，For the lowest in recent years。

　　在世界经济继续放缓的背景下，各国都在保护自己，贸易摩擦的案件数和涉案金额也相对增多。“据石化联合会统计的数据，上半年，国外对我发起的贸易救济新立案7起，涉案金额为3.86亿美元。”王子敏说，这比去年上半年多了1起，涉案金额也大幅增加。同时还呈现出发展中国家对贸易救济立案数量越来越多、贸易保护主义手段升级等新特点。

In the world economy continue to slow the background，In all countries to protect themselves，Trade friction cases accepted and involving a value also relative increase。“According to the statistical data of petrochemical federation，In the first half，Foreign trade relief to I initiated new put on record since July，Involving a value of $386 million。”WangZiMin said，In the first half of last year more than 1，Involving a value also greatly increased。Also present a developing country to trade relief filed quantity more and more、Trade protectionism means upgrading new characteristics。

　　据王子敏介绍，上半年，我国应诉的新立案、复审立案、裁决案件合计涉案金额为5.53亿美元，占上半年出口总额的0.66%。“从这个比例来看，贸易摩擦对行业的出口影响，与其他行业、其他国家的水平相当，都在1%以内。”

According to WangZiMin introduced，In the first half，Our country should appeal to new put on record、Re-examination put on record、A case involving a value for total award of $553 million，In the first half of accounts for 0.66% of total export amount。“From this scale，Trade friction on the export of industry influence，And other industry、Other countries at the same level，All within 1%。”

　　石油和化工行业以内需为主，仅10%用于出口，业内专家认为，进出口的波动不会对行业运行造成很严重的影响。根据石化联合会的预测，下半年行业经济运行将出现企稳回升的迹象，预计全年行业进出口总额约为6900亿美元，增幅达14%。由于市场依然乏力，进口压力较大；化肥出口继续受到控制，橡胶制品出口仍将保持平稳势头。

Oil and chemical industry to domestic demand，Only 10% used for export，The expert inside course of study thinks，The import and export of fluctuation of the industry will not run cause a serious effect。According to the forecast of petrochemical federation，The second half of economic operation of the industry will be stabilising picks up signs，Annual import and export industry is expected to total about $690 billion，14%。As the market is still weak，Import pressure great；Fertilizer export continue to be control，Rubber products export will remain steady momentum。

　　王子敏认为，下半年贸易摩擦的形势依然严峻，出口企业除了要积极应诉外，最应该规范出口行为。“因为我们的企业没有进行足够的环保、员工福利等成本投入，所以国外在计算我们倾销幅度时，经常认为我们低于成本价出口。而为了与国外客户竞争，个别企业在价格上又恶性竞争。这样不仅留下了污染、赚不到钱，还要被反倾销，特别不值。”王子敏说。

WangZiMin think，The second half of the trade friction situation is still severe，Export enterprise besides actively responding to outside，Most should regulate export conduct。“Because our enterprise without adequate environmental protection、Staff welfare costs, etc，So in the calculation of the abroad when we dumping，Often think we export less than the cost。And in order to compete with foreign customers，The individual enterprise is in the price and vicious competition。So that not only leaves pollution、Can't make money，Be anti-dumping，Special isn't worth。”WangZiMin said。