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8月进出口数据持续低迷 外贸保十或难完成--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-09-11

  昨日海关总署公布的8月进出口数据再次印证,由于欧美经济仍在下行通道,外需疲弱的基本态势未有改变;而国内需求也在弱于预期下滑。

Yesterday announced the general administration of customs on August import and export data again confirm,Due to Europe and the United States economy is still in the downlink channel,Now the weak basic situation did not change;And domestic demand has also weaker than expected decline.

  8月份,我国进出口总值为3292.9亿美元,同比增长0.2%。其中,出口上升2.7%,好于上月的1%,但弱于市场预期,进口则同比下滑2.6%,低于上月的增长4.7%以及市场预期值。

In August,China import and export value is 329.29 billion dollars,Year-on-year growth of 0.2%.the,Exports rose by 2.7%,Good in last month's 1%,But weak in market expectations,Imports fell 2.6% year-on-year,Less than 4.7% growth last month and market expected value.

  商务部副部长、中国国际经济交流中心秘书长魏建国对《第一财经日报》记者表示,最困难的时候还没有到来,鉴于欧债危机的影响,对欧洲市场出口下滑,应该还会持续一段时间。而从现在的情况来看,年初制定的全年外贸增长10%的目标难以实现。

Vice minister of commerce/China international economic exchange center to secretary general Mr Wei[The first financial daily]reporters,The most difficult time has not yet come,In view of the influence of European debt crisis,Export to European market decline,Should is likely to continue for some time.And from the current situation,At the beginning of the year for foreign trade growth target of 10% is difficult to achieve.

  “9月份才是外贸最困难的时期,如果欧债危机9月份有缓和迹象,又赶上圣诞节前订单高潮,10月份将有可能是外贸拐点,但即使遇到拐点,所剩的两个月也难以支持13%~14%以上的增长,从而使全年达到10%左右的目标。”他说。

"September is the most difficult period of foreign trade,If the debt crisis September have ease signs,And catch up with high order before Christmas,October will likely is foreign trade inflection point,But even if encounter inflection point,The remnant of the two months also difficult to support the growth of 13% ~ 14%,So that the goal of 10% or so."He said.

  与此同时,进口的超预期下滑,以及国内的经济数据预示着内需也处于低迷状态。

meanwhile,Import decline than expected,And domestic economic data indicates the domestic demand also in a recession.

  澳新银行大中华区首席经济师刘利刚就对记者表示,9日公布的8月国内经济数据也显示,实体经济数据仍然在低位运行。

Australia bank chief economist LiuLiGang greater China region to reporters,9 August released by the domestic economic data also show,The entity economic data is still in low operation.

  具体表现为,工业增加值同比增长8.9%,跌破9%的关口,再度创下2009年以来的低点,并低于上月0.3个百分点,钢铁、水泥等重工业仍然表现低迷,其中钢材产量增速跌破2%的关口,而预计在未来一段时间内,整个钢铁行业仍将面临较大的低需求和高库存的压力。此外,发电量同比增长2.7%,较上月高出0.6个百分点,也仍然没有摆脱此前的低迷态势。

The specific performance,Industrial added value year-on-year growth of 8.9%,Below 9% of the gates,Set again since 2009 low,And less than 0.3% last month,Iron and steel/Cement, and other heavy industry downturn still performance,The steel production growth below 2% of the gates,And in the future is expected to a period of time,The iron and steel industry will be confronted with low demand and high inventory pressure.In addition,Power generation year-on-year growth of 2.7%,Is 0.6% higher than last month,Still not get rid of the previous downturn situation.

  在此情况下,对于稳定外需政策出台的呼声也越来越高。

In this case,Now for stable policies call more and more is also high.

  国务院总理温家宝8月24日至25日来到广东省广州、佛山、东莞等地调研时也指出,下半年影响经济平稳运行的不利因素依然较多,稳增长的难度仍较大。当前要高度重视进出口贸易存在的问题和困难,有针对性地采取措施推动出口稳定增长。

The state council premier wen jiabao on August 24 to 25 came to guangzhou of guangdong province/foshan/Dongguan and other places also points out that research,The second half of the economy running smoothly influence the adverse factors still more,Firm growth is still great difficulty.At present, it is necessary to attach great importance to import and export trade problems and difficulties,Targeted to take measures to promote stable export growth.

  魏建国也从8月走访调研的50多家广东、浙江、江苏、福建的沿海中小企业中发现,对于当前克服外需压力做得比较好的措施包括:出口市场的多元化,以及出口转内销。

Mr Wei also from August to visit the home more than 50 research guangdong/zhejiang/jiangsu/Fujian coastal small and medium-sized enterprises found,To overcome the current pressure now better measures include:The diversification of the export market,And export turns sale in domestic market.

  他建议政府加大对这两方面的支持力度,与出口市场多元化相配套的是全行业调高出口退税率水平,尽量做到足够退税(17%)。此外,各地政府积极搭台建立出口转内销平台,以帮助外贸企业渡过难关。

He suggested the government to increase the two aspects of the support,And export market diversification of supporting the whole industry is to raise the export tax rebate rate level,Try to do enough tax refund(17%).In addition,Local governments DaTai actively establish export turns sale in domestic market platform,To help foreign trade enterprise tide over the difficulties.

  “由于一般新政策出台以后,最快也需要3个月才能显现效果,因此,可以预期这样的政策应该很快就要出台了。”魏建国说。

"Due to the new policy introduced later,The fastest also need three months to be able to appear effect,therefore,Can expect such policy should will soon come into being."Mr Wei said.



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