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8月出口放缓倒逼我国外贸结构变化--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-09-11

  海关总署10日公布我国8月份外贸情况。数据显示,8月份,我国进出口总值增长0.2%,其中出口增长2.7%,进口下降2.6%。专家表示,8月份外贸数据是重要的观察节点,从目前情况来看,在全年“保十”压力增大的同时,政策效应需要进一步释放。

Promulgated by the general administration of customs 10 in our country foreign trade situation in August.Data display,In August,China import and export gross domestic product growth of 0.2%,Export growth of 2.7%,Imports fell by 2.6%.Experts say,In August the foreign trade data is an important observation node,From the current situation,Throughout the year"The ten"Pressure increasing at the same time,Policy effect need to be further release.

  数据显示,8月份我国进口1513.13亿美元,同比下降2.6%,环比下降0.3%。进口继今年1月之后再度出现负增长,且远逊于市场预期。巴克莱资本中国首席经济学家黄益平认为,进口急转直下主要受到三个因素的影响:疲弱的外需对加工贸易进口的抑制,机械及原材料行业持续去库存,以及部分大宗商品价格下跌。此外,基于进出口的关联性,进口负增长意味着外贸企业没有原材料和设备的采购需求,预示出口前景亦不乐观。

Data display,Our country is imported $151.313 billion in August,2.6% year-on-year drop,Link fell by 0.3%.Import after January this year after reemergence negative growth,And far inferior to market expectations.Barclays capital China chief economist HuangYiPing think,Imports plunged are mainly affected by the influence of the three factors:Weak overseas market demand for processing trade import of inhibition,Machinery and raw material industry continue to go to inventory,And some commodity prices.In addition,Based on the import and export of relevance,Import negative growth means that the foreign trade enterprise no raw materials and the purchase of equipment and demand,Indicate export prospects, it is not optimistic.

  出口数据则显示,8月份我国出口同比上升2.7%,好于上月但弱于市场预期,并未扭转下滑态势。值得注意的是,“圣诞季”好景不再成为外需升温的写照。对于国内最大的圣诞用品生产基地义乌来说,7至9月应该是商家手握大把圣诞订单的时期,但今年“义乌指数”已经跌破了1000点。

Export data is display,In August of our country export up 2.7%,Good last month but weak in market expectations,Did not turn down trend.It is important to note that,"The Christmas season"Prosperity is no longer a warming now mirror.For the country's largest production base for Christmas products yiwu,From July to September is a businessman should hand big Christmas orders period,But this year"Yiwu index"Have below 1000 points.

  值得注意的是,在外贸形势变化的过程中,中国的外贸结构也在悄然发生变化。海关总署统计显示,在出口商品中,机电产品出口稳定增长,纺织、服装出口下降。

It is important to note that,In foreign trade situation in the process of change,China's foreign trade structure are also quietly changing.The general administration of customs statistics show,In the export commodities,Mechanical and electrical products export stable growth,textile/Clothing export decline.

  中国社科院世界经济与政治研究所副研究员高凌云认为,在这个贸易利润逐渐下降的时代,企业出于生产成本考虑,需要寻找新的利润增长点。其一是寻找原来没有渗透进去的新市场,其二是开发具有高附加值的新产品。

By the Chinese academy of social sciences institute of world economics and politics at associate researcher GaoLing cloud think,In this era of trade profit decline gradually,Enterprise for production cost consideration,Looking for new profit growth point.One is looking for the original no penetration in new market,The second is to develop high value-added new products.

  不少专家表示,在外贸增速回落的同时,贸易摩擦也在增多。出于规避贸易“地雷”的考虑,中国也需要对贸易结构进行调整。除了企业自发调整外,国家政策也要在调整贸易结构上加码,譬如在提高出口退税上要与产业机构调整密切配合。

Many experts say,In foreign trade growth dropped at the same time,Trade friction also are increasing.For avoiding trade"mines"consideration,China also need to adjust the trade structure.In addition to the enterprise spontaneous adjustment,National policy in adjusting trade structure pyramid,For example in improving the export tax rebate to adjust industrial structure and close cooperation.



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