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经济良方将成美大选决定性筹码--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-10-09

  当地时间10月3日晚,美国民主、共和两党总统候选人在科罗拉多州丹佛市进行首场辩论,标志着美国大选进入冲刺阶段较量。在这场辩论中,颇具背水一战意味的共和党总统候选人罗姆尼在经济问题上攻势凌厉,而一向口才甚佳的现任总统、民主党总统候选人奥巴马则显得有些躲闪。

Local time on October 3 days late,American democracy/Two republican party presidential candidate for the first debate in Denver, Colorado,Marked the election in the sprint stage competition.In this debate,A bite the bullet and mean republican presidential candidate mitt romney on economic issues swift and fierce offensive,And always good eloquence of incumbent President/Democratic presidential candidate barack Obama appears some dodge.

  而据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)的民意调查结果显示,在观看了辩论的民众中,三分之二的人认为共和党总统候选人罗姆尼赢得了这次辩论。

And according to CNN(CNN)The poll,In watching the debate in public,Two thirds of the people think that republican presidential candidate mitt romney won the debate.

  虽然在进一步的调查中,接近一半的观众表示,这次辩论不会对他们投票的选择产生重大影响。但是,可以看得出,由于糟糕的经济,加之奥巴马政府一直拿不出治理经济的良方,很多选民似乎已经对类奥巴马失去了耐心。

Although the further investigation,Nearly half of the audience said,This debate will not vote for their choice of a significant impact.but,Can see,Because of bad economy,Together with Obama government has been don't have control of economic strategy,Many voters seem to have to kind of Obama lost patience.

  问题在于,在首场辩论中,虽然共和党候选人罗姆尼在经济问题上攻势凌厉,大有一口将奥巴马吃掉的感觉。但是,在谈到如何拯救经济方面,也是闪烁其词、云里雾里,拿不出具体的、可让选民认可和放心的解决方案。

The problem is,During the first debate of,Although the republican candidate Mr Romney on economic issues swift and fierce offensive,Have a will Obama eat feeling.but,In talking about how to save the economy,Also beat about the bush/Clouds in the fog,Don't have specific/Allows voters recognition and trust of solutions.

  这就不能不让人觉得,美国的此次大选,起决定性和关键性作用的筹码,将是经济解决方案,也就是如何将美国尽快从经济危机中解救出来的良方。因为,困扰美国的高失业率、巨额债务、复苏疲软等经济问题,已经让选民们没有其他选项。如果其他方面的问题处理得再好,再强势,再有地位,而经济问题没有解决办法。那么,选民们就只能饿着肚子喊口号,光着脚丫跳拉丁舞。这对于一贯“务实”的美国人来说,是不希望看到的结果,也不会去选出这样一位总统来的。

This won't let a person feel,America's election,To have a decisive and critical role of chip,Will be economic solutions,That is, how to will the United States from the economic crisis as soon as possible rescued recipe.because,With high unemployment in the United States/Huge amounts of debt/A weak recovery and economic problems,Have been let voters no other options.If other aspects of dealing with problems better,Strong again,Another position,And the economy is no solution.so,Voters can only hungry belly shout slogans,Latin dance barefoot.It has always"practical"People in America,Is not want to see the results,Also can't go to choose such a President come.

  那么,无论是奥巴马还是罗姆尼,谁更有能力拿出解救经济的良方呢?谁的良方更能适合美国目前的经济现状呢?

so,Whether Obama or romney,Who has a better ability take out to save the economy? Silver bullet?Who's silver bullet more suitable for the United States the present economic situation??

  也许,很多人都还清晰地记得美国的上一次选举,当时,并不占优势的奥巴马,最终能够战胜共和党候选人约翰·麦凯恩,使出的就是经济这个致命武器。奥巴马在演讲中是这样形容美国经济的,我们面临着大萧条以来最为严重的一场经济危机:今年以来已经有76万人失业;企业和家庭无法获得信贷;房价不断下滑,养老金日益缩水;工资降到了十年来的最低水平,同时医疗和教育成本却涨到了有史以来的最高点。

maybe,A lot of people are still clearly remember the last election in the United States,At that time,Is not the dominant barack Obama,Will eventually be able to victory over republican candidate John McCain,Use is economic this lethal weapon.Obama in a speech is such a description of the U.S. economy,We face the most serious since the great depression of an economic crisis:Since this year has been 760000 people out of work;Enterprises and families can't get credit;Prices decline,Pension increasingly shrink;Wages fell to the lowest level in 10 years,At the same time, the medical and education costs have risen to the highest ever.

  于是,他向选民高喊,美国需要一个新的方向。也就是说,如果继续依靠共和党,依靠出自共和党的总统,是解决不了美国的经济问题的。急盼经济走出危机的选民们,最终把希望寄托在了民主党候选人奥巴马的身上。

so,He shouted to voters,America needs a new direction.That is,If continue to rely on the republican party,Rely on from the republican President,Is not solve the economic problem in the us's.Anxious to the economy out of crisis voters,Finally my hopes on the democratic candidate barack Obama body.

  但是,历史有惊人的相似之处,四年前的一幕,如今极有可能在奥巴马的身上得到体现了。奥巴马担任总统的四年多来,尽管竭尽了全力,甚至不惜采用贸易保护、限制制造业转移等手段,试图将美国经济拉回到金融危机前的水平,可惜没有效果。期间,也曾一度出现过复苏的迹象,只是好景不长,没有多长时间就重回旧路。

but,History have astonishing similarities,Four years ago scene,Now most likely in Obama's body get reflected.Obama President of the four years,Although tried everything,Even at the cost to the trade protection/Limit manufacturing industry transfer, and other means,Trying to will the American economy back to before the financial crisis level,But no effect.period,Also once appeared signs of recovery,Just a flash in the pan,Not a long time to return to the old way.

  现在,摆在奥巴马和罗姆尼面前的,就是谁的解救经济良方更好。虽然罗姆尼可用当年奥巴马的击败麦凯恩的手段,但是,上过一次当、摔过一次跤的美国选民,不会再上第二次当、摔第二次跤的,他们一定会要求两党候选人拿出实实在在的经济解决方案,才会投下手中的一票。

now,Before Obama and Mr Romney of before,Who is the better economic rescue strategy.Although Mr Romney available when barack Obama beat John McCain means,but,On a time when/Once the fall and American voters,Won't the second time/The second of his fall,They must be will require two candidates out of real economic solutions,Will throw in the hands of a ticket.

  那么,对奥巴马来说,必须在最后的时间里,能够拿出让选民信服的经济解救方案,才有可能转危为安、转劣为优。而对于罗姆尼来说,虽然有经济糟糕这一武器,但如果拿不出有效的解决方案,同样不会得到选民们的支持。

so,Mr Obama,Must be in the last time,Can take the voters convincing economic rescue plan,Just might turn the corner/Turn bad for optimal.For Mr Romney speaking,Although there are economic bad such a weapon,But if take a effective solution,The same will not get the support of the voters.

  当然,经济只是美国总统选举的一个筹码,或者说是目前最重要的一个筹码。在以后的交锋中,包括拿中国说事、拿中国做文章等其他话题,也会成为两者交锋的重要筹码。在双方的首次辩论中,罗姆尼已经开始拿中国说事了。如果双方在此后的辩论中,都拿不出经济良方,拿其他问题说事的可能性会更大。特别是中国,极有可能再次成为双方辩论的焦点之一。

Of course,Economy is the President of the United States the election a chip,Or, at present the most important a chip.In the later clash,Including take China move/Take China make an issue of, and other topics,Also can become the important both in chip.For the first time in both sides of the debate,Mr Romney has begun to take China the move.If the parties in the next debate,Can not get out of economic strategy,Speak with other problems would have a better chance.Especially in China,Most likely once again become the focus of debate of both sides.

  只是,选民能够答应吗?毕竟,美国公民不可能到中国来就业,也不可能到中国来拿工资,到中国来看病。

just,Voters can promise?After all,The United States citizens may not to China employment,It is impossible to China a salary,To China to see a doctor.



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