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前三季度我国棉纺织行业进出口形势分析--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-12-12
2012年,我国棉纺织行业进出口市场总体表现为:出口乏力,棉花、棉纱进口需求旺盛。越南、菲律宾等国在我国棉纺织品出口市场中表现活跃,对我国棉制纺织品的需求增长较明显;而受价格因素的影响,国内市场对国际棉花、棉制纺织品的进口量保持较快增速。
In 2012,,Our country cotton textile industry import and export market for overall performance:Export weakness,cotton/Cotton import demand.Vietnam/The Philippines and other countries in our country cotton textile export market is active,To our country cotton textiles demand growth is obvious;By the influence of price factors,The domestic market to international cotton/Cotton textile imports maintained a fast growth.
棉纺织贸易总体情况
Cotton textile trade overall situation
海关总署数据显示,今年前三季度,我国棉制纺织品出口额为186.4亿美元,同比下降6.0%,去年同期出口额同比增长20.3%,其中棉织物出口占50%左右,出口额达91.5亿美元,同比下降6.1%;棉纺织品进口额为53.4亿美元,同比增长24.9%,保持较快增速,其中棉纱线进口额达35.7亿美元,同比增长46.0%,占进口总额的67%。
The general administration of customs data display,The first three quarters of this year,Our country cotton textile exports to 18.64 billion us dollars,6.0% year-on-year drop,Exports year-on-year growth of 20.3% from the same period last year,The cotton fabric exports accounted for 50%,Exports reached us $9.15 billion,6.1% year-on-year drop;Cotton textile imports for 5.34 billion dollars,Year-on-year growth of 24.9%,Maintained a fast growth,The cotton yarn imports amounted to $3.57 billion,Year-on-year growth of 46.0%,Accounted for 67% of total imports.
从前三季度棉纺织品价格走势看,受国内外原料价格总体下行影响,后道棉纱线、棉织物价格均为负增长,尤其在出口贸易环境不佳的情况下,与上年相比,我国棉纺织品出口额同比下降十分明显;在进口方面,在进口数量的强有力支撑下,我国棉纱线、棉织物进口额同比有不同程度的增长。
Once upon a time the third quarter cotton goods price trend to see,Raw material prices at home and abroad by the overall downward influence,Road after cotton yarn/Cotton prices are negative growth,Especially in export trade environment under the condition of the poor,Compared with the previous year,Our country cotton textile exports year-on-year drop obviously;On the import side,The import amount of supported by strong,Our country cotton yarn/Cotton fabric imports up have different levels of growth.
棉纺织品分品种贸易分析
Cotton textile points varieties trade analysis
棉花进口需求旺盛
Cotton import demand
1~10月累计进口430.16万吨,去年同期累计进口219.4万吨,同比增长95.8%。从单月进口棉花数量看,进口棉花出现两个波峰,第一个波峰在2~3月,与往年2月份不同,今年2月单月进口量达61.6万吨。在这个时期,国内收储临近尾声,国内棉花基本入储,而此时内外棉价差持续超过3000元/吨,企业纷纷通过配额进口国际低价棉保证原料供应。第二个波峰阶段是5~7月,该时期企业用棉紧张,配额也基本用完,部分剩余配额集中在这个时期进口棉花,因此出现第二个波峰。截至目前,国内外棉价差已经接近6000元/吨,巨大的差价也形成了空前的棉花进口量,2011/2012棉花年度,我国累计进口棉花已达570.5万吨,同比增长102%。
1 ~ 10 month accumulative total import 4.3016 million tons,The same period last year accumulative total import 2.194 million tons,Year-on-year growth of 95.8%.Month from imported cotton quantity to see,Imported cotton appeared two peaks,The first wave in 2 ~ 3 months,Different with previous years in February,February 616000 tons monthly performance imports.In this period,Domestic collection and storage is near the end,Domestic cotton basic into the store,The inside and outside MianJia difference for more than 3000 yuan/ton,Businesses through the quota import international low cotton guarantee the raw material supply.The second wave phase is 5 ~ 7 months,This time enterprise cotton nervous,Quota is basically run out,Part of the surplus quotas concentrated in this period imported cotton,So in a second wave.So far,MianJia difference at home and abroad are close to 6000 yuan/ton,Huge difference also formed an unprecedented cotton imports,2011/2012 of the cotton,Our country accumulated import cotton has reached 5.705 million tons,Year-on-year growth of 102%.
棉纱线进口数量骤增
Cotton yarn import quantity increased
前三季度我国累计进口棉纱线108.8万吨,同比增长74%,从单月棉纱进口量看,数量逐月攀升。造成国际纱线大量进入国内市场的根本原因仍然是内外棉价差,进口棉纱线不受配额的限制,当国际棉价大大低于国内时,国际棉纱线在价格上具有绝对的优势,为降低纺织企业的生产成本,增强产品市场竞争力,企业对进口棉纱线的需求也越来越大。此外,国际棉纱线价格也随着原料价格的下行呈弱势。
In the third quarter cumulative JinKouMian yarn 1.088 million tons,Year-on-year growth of 74%,Month from cotton imports to see,Quantity rising month by month.Cause international yarn entered the domestic market is still the root cause of the MianJia difference inside and outside,JinKouMian yarn from quota restrictions,When the international MianJia greatly lower than the domestic,International cotton yarn in price has the absolute advantage,To reduce the production cost of textile enterprise,Enhance product market competitiveness,The enterprise to JinKouMian yarn demand also more and more big.In addition,International cotton yarn price as the price of raw materials down is weak.
进入中国市场的棉纱线主要是巴基斯坦纱和印度纱,印巴棉纱以中低支为主,价格优势突出。今年1~9月,我国进口印巴纱占总量的66%,进口巴纱39.5万吨,印度纱22.3万吨。今年10月,我国32支纯棉纱无税价高出巴基斯坦同等级纱每吨近1000元,而两国低支纱的价格差更为明显。
To enter the Chinese market in the cotton yarn is mainly Pakistan yarn and India yarn,India and Pakistan cotton yarn as in low branch is given priority to,Price advantage prominent.January to September this year,Our country is imported India and yarn accounted for 66% of the total,Import and yarn 395000 tons,India yarn 223000 tons.In October this year,Our country and a pure cotton no tax price higher than Pakistan with grade yarn per ton of nearly 1000 yuan,The two countries low yarn price difference is more apparent.
棉纱线出口增长由负转正
Cotton yarn export growth from negative become a full member
1~9月,我国累计出口棉纱线32.5万吨,同比增长3%,扭转了9月份以前棉纱线出口累计同比负增长的局势。从产品类别来看,主要是纯棉普梳纱和混纺纱的出口逆转带动了整体出口数量的增长,可见,纯棉普梳纱和差异化的混纺纱在出口方面具备竞争力,而成本相对较高的纯棉精梳纱出口表现不乐观,出口有17%的负增长。
1 ~ 9 months,Our country accumulated export cotton yarn 325000 tons,Year-on-year growth of 3%,Turn the September before cotton yarn exports year-on-year accumulated the situation.From the product category to see,Mainly is the pure cotton general comb yarn and blended yarn export reversal contributed to the overall increase in the number of export,visible,Pure cotton general comb yarn and differentiation of blended yarn in export competitive,And the relatively high cost of pure cotton combed yarn export performance is not optimistic,Export 17% of negative growth.
1~9月,我国内地棉纱线最大的出口市场仍为我国香港,占出口总量的43%,但出口数量累计同比有所下降,同比下降5.5%,主要还是欧美日地区市场消费仍然低迷,转口贸易不畅,而第二大棉纱线出口市场为越南,出口数量为4.3万吨,同比增长232.0%,成为众多出口市场中最为活跃的一个国家,此外出口孟加拉国也有小幅增长,而出口韩国地区的棉纱线下降较多,幅度达到近50%。
1 ~ 9 months,In mainland China cotton yarn of the biggest export market is still in China for Hong Kong,Exports account for 43% of the total,But the total number of export year-on-year decline,5.5% year-on-year drop,Europe and the United States, the main or regional market consumption remains weak,Entrepot trade not free,And the second largest cotton yarn export market for Vietnam,Export quantity for 43000 tons,Year-on-year growth of 232.0%,Has become the most active element in the export market of a country,In addition the export Bangladesh is also a slight increase,And export South Korea area of cotton yarn down more,Amplitude to nearly 50%.
棉织物出口增幅收窄
Cotton fabric export growth narrow
与往年一样,棉织物出口是我国棉纺织品出口的主力军,今年1~9月,我国累计出口棉织物57.8亿米,同比增长4.0%,与前两年相比,我国棉织物单月出口数量保持平稳,但自2011年我国出口形势进入下行期开始,价格整体疲软,2012年棉织物出口数量增幅逐步收窄,尤其纯棉牛仔布和色织布9月累计出口同比分别下降18%和8%。
And usual,Cotton fabric export is the main force of China cotton textile export,January to September this year,Our country accumulated export cotton fabric of 5.78 billion meters,Year-on-year growth of 4.0%,Compared with the first two years,Our country cotton fabric export quantity to maintain steady monthly performance,Since 2011 our export situation into the start date of departure,Price overall weak,2012 cotton fabric export quantity increase gradually narrow,Especially cotton denim and yarn dyed September accumulated exports were down by 18% and 8% year-on-year.
我国棉织物出口市场分布均衡,主要集中在东南亚地区,与去年一样,越南和孟加拉国位列我国棉织物出口市场的前两位,出口棉织物分别为5.8亿米和5.4亿米,同比去年出口分别增长14.3%和7.0%。另外,多哥、菲律宾这两个国家对我国棉织物的需求也表现旺盛,进口数量同比增长47.6%和107.9%。东南亚地区受到国际低迷环境的影响较小,对我国棉织物的需求没有明显减弱。
Our country cotton fabric export market distribution equilibrium,Mainly in southeast Asia,Like last year,Vietnam and Bangladesh in China in the cotton fabric export market of the first two,Export cotton fabric at 580 million meters and 540 million meters respectively,Last year compared to the export up by 14.3% and 7.0% respectively.In addition,Togo/The Philippines the two countries to our country the cotton demand strong performance,Import quantity year-on-year growth of 47.6% and 107.9%.Southeast Asia international downturn by the environmental impact of smaller,To our country the cotton fabric needs no significantly weakened.
棉织物进口保持较快增速
Cotton fabric import maintained a fast growth
今年1~9月,我国累计进口6.2亿米棉织物,同比增长11.5%,其中进口纯棉坯布2.7亿米,数量同比增长95%,增速最快,其他棉织物产品进口数量均为 负增长。
January to September this year,China imported 620 million meters total cotton fabric,Year-on-year growth of 11.5%,The import of cotton cloth 270 million meters,Quantity year-on-year growth of 95%,Fastest growth,Other products are cotton import quantity Negative growth.
与棉纱线一致,我国进口棉织物最大的国家是巴基斯坦,1~9月,我国自巴基斯坦进口棉织物共计2.2亿米,占进口总量的35%,数量同比增长160%,其次,我国自印度尼西亚国家进口的棉织物数量也有143%的增幅。而自日本、我国香港、韩国、我国台湾省进口的棉织物主要以高档产品为主,价格高,进口数量均有10%以上的减少。
Consistent with cotton yarn,Our country is imported cotton fabric is the largest country in Pakistan,1 ~ 9 months,China's import of Pakistan cotton 220 million meters,Imports accounted for 35% of the total,Quantity year-on-year growth of 160%,secondly,Our country from Indonesia country imported cotton fabric quantity also have an increase of 143%.Since Japan/Our country Hong Kong/South Korea/Taiwan imported cotton fabric mainly high-grade product mainly,Price high,Import quantity are more than 10% reduction.
未来贸易形势仍严峻
The future trade situation is still grim
综上所述,国内外棉价差保持较大是造成我国对进口棉花、棉制纺织品需求不断扩大和出口受阻的重要原因。前三季度,我国棉制床品、服装出口数量也有不同程度的下降,分别下降8.8%和5.0%。出口利好仍未显现,国际市场需求启动还不明朗,在未来一段时期内,我国棉纺织品及下游棉制产品出口阻力仍然较大。
To sum up,MianJia maintain bigger difference at home and abroad was the cause of imported cotton in China/Cotton textile needs to expand and export hindered the important reasons.The first three quarters,Our country cotton bed is tasted/Clothing export quantity also have varying degrees of decline,Were down by 8.8% and 5.0%.Good export still did not appear,The international market demand start is not clear,In the future period,Our country cotton textile and downstream cotton products export is still greater resistance.
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