2012年，俄罗斯经济呈现高开低走之势，处于相对高位的油价未足以推动俄经济全年强力增长，下半年受世界主要经济体增长乏力和国内旱灾等因素影响，俄经济增幅明显放缓，通胀压力加剧。再次当选总统的普京推动落实“新经济”战略，为实现社会经济稳定发展，继续采取多项刺激政策。

In 2012,,Russia's economy presents high open low only potential,In a relatively high oil prices not enough to drive the economic growth and the strength,By the second half of the world's major economies growth lack of power and the impact of factors such as the domestic drought,Russian economic growth slowed sharply,Increased inflationary pressures.The elected President vladimir putin again to promote implementation"The new economy"strategy,To achieve social and economic stability and development,Continue to take a number of stimulus policies.

　　受益于不断走高的油价，俄国内生产总值今年上半年出现较快增长，但进入下半年以来明显放缓。今年俄第一和第二季度国内生产总值（GDP）同比分别增长4.9%和4%，但第三季度增幅降至2.9%。据俄经济发展部测算，1至10月同比增长3.7%，预计全年GDP增幅约为3.5%，与去年4.3%的数据相比增速明显放缓。

Benefit from constantly go high oil prices,Russia's gross domestic product in the first half of this year increased rapidly,Since the latter half of the slowed down obviously.This year and the first and second quarter gross domestic product(GDP)Year-on-year growth of 4.9%, respectively, and 4%,But growth fell to 2.9% in the third quarter.According to Russian economic development measure,1 to October year-on-year growth of 3.7%,Expected annual GDP growth of about 3.5%,And last year's 4.3% growth slowed sharply compared data.

　　分析人士认为，俄经济今年高开低走的主要原因在于：第一，去年下半年经济同比增幅较快，因基数效应，今年下半年经济同比增幅收窄；第二，俄国内消费借贷需求下降，俄央行9月份的加息决定收紧了银行放贷，零售业增长受到影响；第三，俄罗斯部分地区今夏遭遇旱灾，致使农业歉收，拖累整体经济，同时推升通胀；第四，国际大环境不利于俄罗斯经济增长，如欧债危机、美国推出QE3、主要新兴经济体增速持续放缓。

Analysts believe that,Russian economy this year high open go low is the main reason:The first,The second half of last year economic year-on-year growth rate faster,Because of the base effect,The second half of this year the year-on-year growth rate of economic narrow;The second,Russian domestic consumption decreased demand for lending,And the central bank raised interest rates in September to tighten the bank lending,Retail sales growth affected;The third,The Russian part with this summer drought,Cause crop failures,Drag overall economic,At the same time stokes inflationary;The fourth,The international environment against the Russian economic growth,If the debt crisis/The United States launched QE3/The main emerging economies slowing growth rates continued.

　　在外部环境不利和遭受旱灾的情况下，为确保经济增长保持较平稳势头，俄政府在推进转变经济增长方式的同时，着重实施刺激内需政策，扩大公共性财政支出。

In the external environment unfavorable and under the condition of drought,To ensure economic growth keep a steady momentum,The government in promoting change the mode of economic growth at the same time,Focus on implementation of the policy of stimulating domestic demand,Expand public fiscal spending.

　　普京提出远东开发大战略，以期对接亚太经济崛起。为此，俄政府不仅设立远东发展部，还酝酿成立国有公司来具体实施远东开发项目，拟投入大量资金。今年9月，俄借助在符拉迪沃斯托克举办亚太经合组织会议之机，不仅大力加强该市的基础设施建设，还着力向外资推介远东的投资机会。

Putin proposed the development strategy of the far east,In order to butt asia-pacific economic rise.therefore,The government not only set up the far east development,Also was brewing state-owned company to implement the far east development project,Intends to invest a lot of money.September this year,Russia in Vladivostok held by the apec meeting of the machine,Not only strengthen the city's infrastructure construction,Also focus on to the foreign capital to promote investment opportunities in the far east.

　　为控制粮食等农副产品价格上涨，俄罗斯动用粮食储备进行干预。此外，鉴于国内物价上涨和通胀预期走高，俄央行今年9月份将基准利率上调0.25个百分点，从8%升至8.25%。通过采取综合措施，俄物价迅速上涨的势头有所放缓，俄经济发展部预计全年通胀率为7%左右，高于今年4月时预计的5%－6%。从中短期来看，出于抑制通胀的需要，俄央行仍将收紧信贷。

In order to control grain and other agricultural and sideline products prices,Russia use food reserves to intervene.In addition,In view of the domestic prices and inflation expectations go high,Russia in September this year the central bank benchmark interest rates by 0.25%,From 8% to 8.25%.By taking comprehensive measures,Russia price rapidly rising momentum has slowed,Russian economic development is expected to the inflation rate is about 7%,Higher than in April this year to 5% - 6% when.From the short term,Out of the need to control inflation,And the central bank will tighten credit.

　　在发展对外经济关系方面，俄罗斯仍以对俄经济至关重要的能源行业作为突破口，2012年在油气特别是天然气出口上又取得重大进展。一方面，俄中原油管道总体运行良好，并且有望通过谈判达成增加输油量的可能，俄中天然气谈判继续进行。另一方面，通往欧洲的“北溪”天然气管道第二条支线交付使用，“南溪”天然气管道项目也于12月初开通建设，预计2015年交付使用。如此一来，俄罗斯作为欧洲能源第一大供应国的地位愈加巩固。

In the development of foreign economic relations,Russia still to Russian economic vital energy industry as a breakthrough,In 2012, natural gas and oil and gas especially export has made great progress.On the one hand,As part of the overall crude oil pipeline running well,And is expected to be negotiated a increase oil amount of may,Negotiations continue as part of natural gas.On the other hand,To Europe"North creek"Natural gas pipeline second branch lines for use,"NaXi"Natural gas pipeline project in early December opening construction,In 2015 is expected to consign is used.so,Russia as European energy first big supplier position increasingly consolidated.

　　对于俄明年经济形势，俄经济学院宏观经济学教授康斯坦丁·斯特林说，俄罗斯作为对外依存度比较高的经济体，其经济发展在很大程度上与世界整体经济特别是欧元区经济表现息息相关。他认为，缺乏内生性增长动力的俄经济明年要实现稳定增长，面临严峻考验。

Russia economic situation for next year,Russia economic college macroeconomics professor Constantine Stirling said,Russia as a high ratio of dependence on foreign economy,The economic development in the very great degree and the world economy as a whole, especially the eurozone economic performance is closely linked.He thinks,Lack of endogenous growth power of the Russian economy next year to achieve stable growth,Serious test.