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金砖国家间贸易繁荣显示关系紧密--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2013-02-20

  为应对发达国家需求疲软,金砖五国尤其是中国已经将目光转向彼此以及其他新兴国家的增长型市场,而金砖五国之间的贸易也随之增长。根据非洲资产和收益规模最大的银行——标准银行集团发布的一份最新研究报告,去年中国已超过美国成为世界上最大的贸易国,而中国同其他金砖国家以及同非洲之间关系的蓬勃发展已经成为助力中国复兴的重要引擎。 

To cope with the developed countries weak demand,Nuggets five countries, especially China, have turned their attention to each other and other emerging countries growth market,And the nuggets five countries' trade has increased.According to the African assets and income's largest bank, standard bank group released a new study,Last year, China has overtaken the United States as the world's largest trading nation,China with other nuggets countries as well as with the vigorous development of the relationship between Africa has become an important engine power China Renaissance. 

  据悉,2012年中国、印度和巴西一半以上的出口以及南非48%的出口都以新兴市场为目的地,而金砖五国之间的贸易额约达3100亿美元,是2002年280亿美元的11倍以上。 

It is reported,In 2012, China/India and Brazil more than half of the export and South Africa for 48% of exports are emerging market as the destination,And the volume of trade between the five countries nuggets about $310 billion,Is 2002 $28 billion more than 11 times. 

  上述报告还指出,自2001年以来,金砖五国之间贸易的增长速度快于它们同世界其他地区的增速。如今,金砖五国之间的贸易占它们同新兴市场贸易总额的近五分之一,远高于2008年的13%;金砖五国去年同欧盟的贸易和2008年相比实际上反而下降了。报告作者之一——标准银行常驻北京经济学家史杰文表示:“这些数字意味着金砖五国之间日益密切的关系,也凸显出它们之间合作和共性的方面,而这对于目前仍缺乏统一方向的金砖集团而言是一个有利因素。” 

The report also pointed out,Since 2001,Nuggets five countries of trade between growing faster than in other parts of the world with their growth.now,Nuggets five countries' trade with emerging markets for their trade volume of nearly one 5,Far higher than 13% in 2008;Nuggets five countries last year with the eu trade compared with 2008 actually dropped.One of the report's authors, standard bank resident Beijing economics family history JieWen said:"These Numbers mean nuggets five countries increasingly close relationship between,Also highlights the cooperation between them and the common aspects,But it is still a lack of unified direction of the nuggets group is a favorable factors." 

  史杰文强调说:“向其他金砖国家出口商品对中国而言尤为重要。而这在很大程度上反映了中国在金砖集团中扮演着越来越重要的角色。”标准银行的报告提到,中国已经把对新兴市场尤其是对其他金砖国家的出口提到更加重要的位置上。“在中国的十大出口目的国中就有7个是新兴市场;中国已成为除巴西外其他金砖国家的首要商品来源,而中国在巴西的商品来源国中仅次于美国。”。“很明显,中国在金砖集团中有不凡的表现。”中国作为交易对手的贸易占金砖五国间贸易流量的85%,显著高于其GDP或其他宏观经济指标在五国中的比重。 

ShiJieWen emphasized that:"To other nuggets countries export commodities to China is particularly important.And this is largely reflects the Chinese in the nuggets group plays a more and more important role."Standard bank report mentioned,China has to emerging markets especially for other nuggets countries export mentioned more important position."In China's ten largest export country of destination in the seven is emerging market;China has become after Brazil other nuggets country's primary source of goods,China in Brazil's goods in the country after the United States."."obviously,China in the nuggets group are uncommon performance."China as a counterparty trade accounts for the five countries nuggets trade between the flow rate of 85%,Is significantly higher than the GDP or other macro economic indicators in the proportion of the five countries. 

  不仅如此,史杰文补充认为,中国对金砖国家而言也极为重要。“对于除中国外的每个金砖国家而言,中国都是其前三大出口目的国之一。事实上,中国占巴西出口额的20%,而2001年仅为4%。同样,中国占印度和俄罗斯出口额的10%以及南非出口额的30%。然而,其他金砖国家加起来仅能满足中国对工业制成品需求的3%,因为它们对中国的出口以原材料为主。” 

Not only that,ShiJieWen added think,China's gold brick countries is also very important."For each of the nuggets beyond China countries,China is the first three big export one of the destination country.In fact,China accounts for 20% of the Brazilian exports,And only 4% in 2001.The same,China accounts for 10% of the export India and Russia and South Africa 30% of exports.however,Other nuggets countries up can only meet the Chinese manufactured goods 3% of demand,Because of their exports to China to raw material is given priority to." 

  更重要的是金砖国家已经开始转向非洲。史杰文说:“金砖五国同非洲之间贸易的增速远高于它们同世界其他地方的贸易,甚至也高于金砖五国同新兴市场(除金砖国家和非洲外)之间的贸易。事实上,金砖五国同非洲之间的贸易额超过金砖国家之间的贸易。” 

More important is nuggets countries have begun to turn to Africa.ShiJie said:"Nuggets five countries with trade between Africa's growth is much higher than they are with other parts of the world trade,Even higher than the nuggets with five countries in emerging markets(In addition to the nuggets countries and Africa)Trade between.In fact,Nuggets five countries in Africa with the volume of trade between countries more than nuggets trade between." 

  最近的贸易数据显示,金砖五国同非洲的商业关系越来越充满活力且日益稳健。标准银行估计,金砖五国同非洲的贸易总额在2012年达到3400亿美元,在过去10年间增长了10倍以上。自2007年以来,非洲、金砖五国以及全球范围内的贸易增长都相对缓慢,而金砖五国同非洲之间的贸易在此期间却增加了一倍以上。目前中国占金砖五国同非洲之间贸易总额的近60%,大致与中国的经济规模在金砖集团中的比重相当。展望未来,标准银行预计2015年金砖国家同非洲的贸易将超过5000亿美元,其中约60%(即3000亿美元)将由中非贸易构成。 

The latest trade data display,Nuggets five countries and African business relationship is more and more energetic and more robust.Standard bank estimates,Nuggets five countries and African trade amount to $2012 in 340 billion,In the past ten years the growth of more than ten times.Since 2007,Africa/Nuggets five and global trade growth is relatively slow,The five countries in Africa and the nuggets with trade between during this period has more than doubled.China accounts for the five gold brick with trade between Africa nearly 60% of the total,General and China's economic scale in the nuggets group is the proportion of.Looking to the future,Standard bank is expected to 2015 gold brick countries and African trade will be more than 500 billion dollars,Of which about 60%(That is $300 billion)The china-africa trade composition. 

  第五届金砖国家峰会将于今年3月25日至27日在南非德班举行,主题是“金砖国家与非洲大陆:发展、融合与工业化的伙伴关系”。然而,史杰文表示,金砖五国实际上在许多方面仍然更像竞争对手而非合作伙伴。“尽管初衷良好,但金砖集团尚未制定出清晰的合作计划。五个国家在外交、发展和商业方面有许多共通之处,包括教育、医疗卫生、农业、发展、资源管理、城市化和基础设施等。” 

The fifth nuggets national summit in March 25 to 27, held in South Africa durban,Theme is"Nuggets state and the African continent:development/Fusion and industrialization of the partnership".however,ShiJieWen said,Nuggets in the five countries in many ways still more like competitors rather than partners."Despite the good original intention,But the nuggets group has not yet worked out clear cooperation plan.Five countries in foreign/Development and business a lot in common,Including education/Medical and health/agricultural/development/Resource management/Urbanization and infrastructure, etc." 

  他说:“讨论中的金砖国家开发银行将成为此次德班峰会议程的重要部分,它连同支持国际收支平衡的机制将成为建立金砖集团制度基础的良好出发点。此外,金砖国家智库论坛和金砖国家商务委员会将有助于构筑金砖集团的制度结构,从而增强其国际作用和影响力。这些作为金砖国家之间互动的重要出发点,将为五个经济体在日益多极化的全球经济中继续深化自身角色提供更深层次的合作途径。”  

He said:"The nuggets to discuss the state development bank will become the important part of durban summit agenda,It along with the support of international balance of payment mechanism will be established nuggets group system basis of the good starting point.In addition,Nuggets country think-tank BBS and nuggets state commerce commission will help build nuggets group system structure,So as to enhance its international role and influence.These countries as nuggets the interaction between important starting point,For five economies in an increasingly multi-polarization of the global economy continues to deepen their own role to provide deeper cooperation way."  



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