刘坤领 

LiuKunLing 

　　中国对欧盟、日本进出口持续下降，对美国、东盟则呈现高增长态势。商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院研究员梅新育对本报表示，在不同市场方面，前4个月，中欧双边贸易总值1,681.6亿美元，下降1.3%；中日双边贸易总值为979.8亿美元，下降8.5％。中美双边贸易总值为1,597.4亿美元，增长9.4%。表明美国经济复甦已经比较稳固，东盟经济增长较快，且有中国—东盟自由贸易区的有利规则支持；对日贸易遭到政治冲突干扰，对欧则因经济不景气。

China to the European Union/Japanese import and export continued to decline,To the United States/The association of southeast Asian nations (asean) is present high growth momentum.Ministry of commerce international trade and economic cooperation research institute researcher mei xinyu, the newspaper said,In different markets,The first four months,China-eu bilateral trade value is 1,Us $68.16 billion,Dropped by 1.3%;Bilateral trade to $97.98 billion,Dropped by 8.5%.Bilateral trade value is 1,Us $59.74 billion,Growth of 9.4%.Indicates that the U.S. economic recovery has been relatively stable,The association of southeast Asian nations (asean) faster economic growth,And has the support of advantageous rules of China - asean free trade area;To interfere with day trade has been political conflict,To Europe due to the economic recession.

　　瑞穗证券亚洲公司首席经济学家沉建光认为，美国量化宽鬆之后，日本、欧洲也在相继跟进，全球货币氾滥之下，新一轮泡沫又有积聚之势。例如，日本央行4日便高调宣布将重拳加码宽鬆政策，承诺在不到两年的时间内向市场注资约1.4万亿美元。而自去年四季度安倍上台以来，人民币兑日圆已经累计升值22.7%，这也将虚弱未来人民币的出口竞争力。

Chief economist at mizuho securities Asia company think heavy build light,After the U.S. quantitative easing,Japan/Europe also have to follow up,Under the global currency of inundation,Another bubble and accumulation of power.Such as the,The bank of Japan 4 and proudly announced he said easing punch,Commitment within less than two years the market capital of about $1.4 trillion.And since the fourth quarter of last year, Mr Abe came to power,The yuan has gained 22.7% against the yen,This will also be weak renminbi export competitiveness in the future.

　　人币升值削弱出口竞争力

People appreciating currency weakened export competitiveness

　　专家表示，要素成本上升和人民币升值削弱部分产业竞争力的影响仍在持续深化，不断挤压着企业利润空间，出口订单开始逐渐向印度、越南、墨西哥等国家转移，部分老客户开始流失。

Experts say,Elements of rising costs and the impact of the appreciation of the renminbi weakened part of the industry competitiveness continues to deepen,Keep squeezing corporate profits space,Export orders gradually to India/Vietnam/Countries such as Mexico,Some old customers began to drain.

　　交通银行金融研究中心报告指出，从二季度起，中欧双边贸易将趋于回暖；随着中日韩自由贸易区(FTA)谈判的重启，未来中日贸易继续下滑的概率不大；而来自美国市场的出口需求则将明显好转，源自拉美、东盟等新兴市场的出口需求也将表现强劲。 

Bank of communications research center of the financial report,Since the second quarter,China-eu bilateral trade will tend to rebound;As China, Japan and South Korea free trade area(FTA)Talks to restart,Little probability of future sino-japanese trade continues to decline;While demand for exports from the United States market will be improved markedly,Derived from Latin America/Emerging markets such as the association of southeast Asian nations (asean) export demand will be strong.