海关总署日前公布的进出口贸易数据显示，4月份内地出口同比增长14.7%，大幅超出市场预期。但结合日前结束的第113届广交会的反馈情况，我们有理由对今年的外贸形势保持一份理性和清醒。

海关总署日前公布的进出口贸易数据显示,Mainland exports rose 14.7% in April,Greatly exceed market expectations.But in combination with the feedback of the 113th Canton fair has ended,We have the reason to this year's foreign trade situation is to keep a rational and sober.

　　据了解，4月数据改善的主要原因是世界经济有所回暖；此外，去年同期的出口数据基数较低，以及今年4月份工作日增多，也是一个不容忽视的因素。

据了解,April is the main reason of the data to improve the warming of the world economy;In addition,In the same period last year export data base is low,As well as the increased work days in April this year,Is also a factor that nots allow to ignore.

　　值得一提的是，不少业内人士对数据的快速增长持谨慎态度，关于出口数据虚报的担忧仍在。野村证券中国经济学家张智威表示，出口数据与中国港口的实际货运量不符，出口虚报可能是数据增长的原因之一。他预计，当管理非常规资金流入的措施生效后，未来数月中国进出口增速将放缓。

值得一提的是,Many in the industry to the rapid growth of the data to be cautious,Concerns about exports data about is still there.Nomura securities economist Zhang Zhiwei China said,Export data does not accord with Chinese port's actual freight,One of the reasons for export misrepresentation can be data growth.He expects the,When abnormal capital inflow management measures took effect,China import and export growth will slow in the coming months.

　　日前结束的第113届广交会反馈的信息，似乎也让人乐观不起来。据统计，本届广交会境外采购商环比增长7.06%，但同比减少3.83%；累计出口成交355.4亿美元，环比增长8.8%，同比下降1.4%。在主要贸易对象中，虽然对金砖国家和中东地区成交同比仍为增长，但对欧盟、美国、日本和东盟成交同比仍在下降，显示外需不足状况尚未根本改善。

日前结束的第113届广交会反馈的信息,Seems not optimistic.According to the statistics,This session of the Canton fair overseas buyers rose 7.06%,But down 3.83% year on year;Accumulative total export volume of 35.54 billion dollars,Rose 8.8%,Fell 1.4% year on year.In the main trading partners,To clinch a deal the brics countries and the Middle East is still the year-on-year growth,But for the European Union/The United States/Japan and asean to clinch a deal is still in decline,Shows insufficient external conditions have yet to be fundamentally improved.

　　与此同时，广交会成交订单中，中短单占比居高不下，长单占比仍偏低。其中，3个月以内的短单占48.6%，3-6个月的中单占35.1%，6个月以上的长单占16.3%。这反映出受国际金融危机影响，采购商下单依然谨慎，国内企业担心原材料价格、汇率波动，不敢接长单。

与此同时,Clinch a deal the order in the Canton fair,Short list of high,Long single proportion is still low.Among them,Within 3 months of short single accounted for 48.6%,3-6 months in 35.1%,More than 6 months long single accounted for 16.3%.This reflects the affected by the international financial crisis,Purchaser orders are still cautious,Domestic companies worry about raw materials prices/The exchange rate波动,Did not dare to take long list.

　　从国内看，随着劳动力、土地等要素成本上升以及人民币加速升值，我国传统的竞争优势正在弱化，企业压力加大，订单和产业向境外转移速度加快，外贸发展面临的压力没有根本缓解。

从国内看,As the Labour/土地, etc.要素成本上升以及人民币加速升值,China's traditional competitive advantage is weakening,Enterprise pressure,Orders and industrial transfer speed to abroad,Foreign trade development pressure no relief at all.

　　种种迹象表明，我国外贸正进入一个中低增速的新的发展阶段，企图再现多年前的高速增长并不现实。在这一过程中，相关企业及部门应摒弃那些不切实际的幻想，沉下心来认真进行转方式、调结构，不断提高产品竞争力，推动外贸持续、健康发展。

种种迹象表明,Low growth in foreign trade in our country is entering a new stage of development,In an attempt to reproduce the high-speed growth is not the reality of years ago.In the process,Relevant enterprises and departments should abandon those unrealistic fantasy,Sink down and seriously in turn/The structure of the,Constantly enhance the competitiveness of their products,To promote foreign trade continued/The healthy development of.