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5月贸易数据或将紧急“脱水”--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2013-05-15

  种种迹象显示,监管部门正在对失真的贸易数据“挤水分”。

种种迹象显示,Regulators are on distortion of trade data"Squeeze water".

  两位消息人士先后向本报记者证实,4月27日开始,深圳市的贸易数据出现大幅下滑,这将拉动广东乃至全国的贸易增速出现回落。

两位消息人士先后向本报记者证实,On April 27th,Shenzhen trade data appear sharply,This will pull the trade growth in guangdong and even the whole country will fall.

  4月17日,本报报道了广东一季度外贸异常增长后,广东省分管外贸的副省长招玉芳即急赴深圳调研。消息人士指,近期国务院分管外贸的高层也在内部会议上表态要高度关注贸易数据失真。

4月17日,This newspaper reported the quarter after the abnormal growth of foreign trade in guangdong,In charge of foreign trade of guangdong province's deputy governor for jade fang is urgent research to shenzhen.Source refers to,Recently the state council in charge of foreign trade of the top also said pay highly attention to trade data on the internal meeting distortion.

  商务部人士5月8日告诉记者,一季度外贸的异常增长已经引起监管部门的关注,专项调查已经展开,“我们测算,如果剔除掉非正常因素,中国一季度和1-4月的进出口增速也就只有8.6%和9.2%。”

商务部人士5月8日告诉记者,Quarter of abnormal growth of foreign trade has attracted regulatory attention,Special investigation has been carried out,"We measure the,If remove abnormal factors,Import and export growth in China in the first quarter and April 1 - only 8.6% and 9.2%."

  而根据海关总署5月8日公布的数字,中国一季度和1-4月的进出口增速分别为13.4%和14%。

而根据海关总署5月8日公布的数字,Import and export growth in China in the first quarter and April 1-13.4% and 14%, respectively.

  显然,“挤水分”的效果暂时无法在4月份贸易数据中得到体现。前述商务部人士表示,内部预计5月份的贸易数字会相对真实。

显然,"Squeeze water"Temporarily unable to in April, the effect of trade is reflected in the data.The ministry of commerce said,Internal trade figures for may are expected to relative truth.

  消息人士透露,深圳4月27日开始的外贸数据缩水与政策打压有关,4月中下旬开始,国家外汇管理局和银行监管部门已经对广东省内银行进行窗口指导和风险提示,“比如黄金等加工贸易的远期信用证的质押融资4月中旬省内已经叫停”。

消息人士透露,Shenzhen began on April 27, shrinking data related to the policy on foreign trade,Mid to late April,国家外汇管理局and银line监管部门已经对广东省内银line进line窗口指导and风险提示,"Such as gold, the processing trade of pledge financing in mid-april province of usance l/c has been halted".

  中国国家外汇管理局深圳分局4月中下旬展开了贸易信贷调查,银行也都接获通知要对保税区货物贸易的单据严格审核,防止游资通过“货物空转”跨境套利。

中国国家外汇管理局深圳分局4月中下旬展开了贸易信贷调查,银line也都接获通知要对保税区货物贸易的单据严格审核,To prevent hot money through"The goods idle"Cross-border arbitrage.

  深圳市经信委官员5月7日告诉记者,除了外管局加强监控,深圳海关对货物的查验力度亦有加大,深圳市经信委也对福田保税区等海关特殊监管区内的企业进行监测和整顿。

深圳市经信委官员5月7日告诉记者,In addition to safe to strengthen monitoring,Strength of shenzhen customs inspection of goods has also increased,深圳市经信委也对福田保税区等海关特殊监管区内的企业进line监测and整顿.

  5月5日,外管局发文要求收紧金融机构的外汇综合头寸下限,还要求外贸企业10日内解释清楚货物进出口和贸易收支总量不匹配的原因。

5月5日,Safe post comprehensive positions lower limit for tighter financial institutions of foreign exchange,Explain within 10 days also demanded that foreign trade enterprises import and export goods and the trade balance amount does not match.

  深圳福田保税区内一家专业提供“货物空转”和“港澳一日游”的供应链公司人士5月8日告诉记者,“货物空转”近期已经较难操作,但是“港澳一日游”还有空间,今年一季度,这家公司曾经帮助一位客户将同一批橡胶原料来回出入境操作了41次。

深圳福田保税区内一家专业提供"The goods idle"and"One-day tour of Hong Kong and Macao"Supply chain of the company on May 8, told reporters,"The goods idle"Recently has been difficult to operate,but"One-day tour of Hong Kong and Macao"There is space,In the first quarter this year,The company had to assist a customer with a batch of rubber raw materials entry-exit operation 41 times back and forth.

  前述深圳经信委官员提醒,当前监管部门的措施都仅仅是堵漏,当下的一系列措施或许能暂时挤掉贸易水分,不排除很快又会有新的游资入境手法出现。

前述深圳经信委官员提醒,The current regulatory measures are simply plugging,Present a series of measures may crowd out trade for water,Do not rule out entry technique will soon have a new capital.

  他解释,“货物空转”、“港澳一日游”以及利用远期信用证质押融资等套利手法并不仅仅存在于深圳一地,事实上,江浙等贸易大省亦有此类困扰,但深圳毗邻香港,便利的口岸环境使得贸易异常问题更为突出

他解释,"The goods idle"/"One-day tour of Hong Kong and Macao"And the use of usance l/c pledge financing, such as arbitrage technique not only exists in shenzhen,In fact,,Jiangsu and zhejiang provinces, such as trade big province also have such trouble,But shenzhen adjacent to Hong Kong,Convenient port environment makes trade abnormal problem is more outstanding



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