根据经济合作与发展组织（OECD）的推算，2012年34个成员国出口额增速预计平均为同比增长3.8%。增长率甚至将低于希腊问题等因素导致金融市场深陷危机的去年（增长5.7%）。

According to the organization for economic cooperation and development（OECD）calculation，2012 34 members exports for growth is expected to average 3.8% increase。Growth rates will be lower than even the Greek factors such as financial market problems in deep crisis led to the last year（5.7% increase）。

　　根据每月调查全球贸易动态的荷兰经济政策分析局统计显示，今年1～5月的全球贸易量较去年同期增长2.6%，低于去年（增长8.5%）。尤其是亚洲出口仅增长2.6%，增长率与去年的12.1%相比出现了大幅萎缩。

According to the monthly survey of global trade dynamic Dutch economic policy analysis bureau statistics show，This year 1 ~ 5 month of global trade volume growth of 2.6% compared to the same period last year，Lower than last year（8.5% increase）。Especially Asian exports rose by only 2.6%，Growth of 12.1% last year compared with the large atrophy appears。

　　亚洲出口增速放缓与其他地区相比也十分明显。今年1～5月，中南美、非洲以及中东的出口增速均较去年有所提高。对中国而言，对主要出口目的地欧元区的出口已经转为下滑，对欧元区出口减少拖累亚洲出口的格局已经非常明显。

Asia export growth slows down compared with other regions also is very clear。1 ~ 5 month this year，Central and South America、Africa and the Middle East are export growth is improved。As for China，On the main destination of the eurozone exports export has now moved to decline，The eurozone exports to reduce drag Asia export pattern has very obvious。

　　由于受出口减少的影响，资产价格也在全球范围内出现了下跌。同样根据荷兰政府的统计，在今年1～5月的贸易领域交易的资产价格较去年同期下跌0.3%，与增长超过1成的2011年相比差距明显。

Due to the influence of by slowing exports，Asset prices also appeared in the global range down。Also according to the Dutch government statistics，1 ~ 5 month this year in the trade field trade asset prices fell 0.3% from the same period last year，And growth of more than 1 in 2011 than a disparity between。

　　由于原油行情低迷，能源价格仅上涨4.7%，涨幅小于去年（上涨34%）。工业产品价格也仅上涨1.4%。其他原材料价格则下跌了14.8%，出现了负增长。大和总研首席经济学家熊谷亮丸说：“眼下全球性的通货紧缩压力更容易增大”。

As oil prices down，Energy prices rose 4.7% only，Or less than last year（Up 34%）。Industrial product price also only rose 1.4%。Other raw material prices have dropped by 14.8%，Appeared negative growth。And ZongYan chief economist XiongGuLiang pill said：“The global deflationary pressure increases more easily”。

　　原材料与零部件需求也表现低迷。根据世界半导体市场统计组织（WSTS）的预测，2012年全球半导体销售额预计为3008亿美元，与去年持平，仅增长0.4%。

Raw materials and components lacklustre demand。According to the world the semiconductor market statistics organizations（WSTS）Prediction of，In 2012 the global semiconductor sales expected for 300.8 billion dollars，And flat last year，Just 0.4%。

　　经济学家的主流观点是，全球出口增速放缓将在2012年触底，2013年重新复苏。但OECD的预测增长率将复苏至6～8%，今年下半年复苏走势将转强。但是，越来越多声音认为复苏脚步可能延后，国际货币基金组织（IMF）在7月将全球经济实际增长率预测为3.5%，在此前预期的基础上下调了0.1个百分点。

Economists point is the mainstream，The global slowdown in export growth in 2012 hit bottom，2013 years to recover。But the OECD's forecast growth rate will recovery to 6 ~ 8%，The second half of this year will turn strong recovery trends。but，More and more voice can linger steps that recovery，The international monetary fund（IMF）In July, the global economy real growth rate forecast of 3.5%，On the basis of the expected cut by 0.1%。