中国或将做出让人民币小幅贬值的决定。中国一家金融媒体刊登文章指出，为了能刺激出口增长，人民币应该降到“可接受”的水平，因为中国经济增速放缓。这将引起新一轮中美贸易摩擦。后者早就要求人民币升值。

China will make a small or let the yuan depreciation of the decision。China published the paper points out that a financial media，In order to stimulate exports for growth，Should the yuan to“Can accept”level，Because China's economic growth is slowing。This will cause a new round of trade friction。The latter would have asked to RMB appreciation。

　　由于全球和中国经济的减速现在有必要让人民币贬值。2012年第二季度中国GDP增速是近3年来最低——为7.6%。第一季度为8.5%。

As the global economic slowdown and China now is necessary to let the yuan depreciation。The second quarter of 2012 China's GDP growth is nearly three years-for the lowest 7.6%。The first quarter of 8.5%。

　　与此同时，中国出口因全球市场需求减弱而走低。这意味着，中国大多数出口型企业将遭遇难关。中国人民银行被迫承认，银行与企业出现资金短缺。在8月1日公布的分析报告中央行保证花费“一定时间”完善货币金融政策。同时宣布下调存贷款基准利率50%，并缩减银行债券储备基金。专家们预测，中国央行近期还会继续降低存贷款利率。

At the same time，China's exports for the global market demand and falling down。This means that，The majority of Chinese export-oriented enterprises will encounter difficulties。The people's bank of China was forced to admit that，The bank and the enterprise appear short of money。On August 1, the analysis of the Central Line published report that cost“time”Perfect monetary and financial policies。Also announced that cut the benchmark interest rates by 50%，And keeping the bank bond reserve fund。Experts predict，China's central bank recently also will continue to reduce the interest rate。

　　在许多中小银行现金短缺的条件下，就发行各种各样的非现金金融产品选择了一条进攻性策略。目的就是要吸引和保住储户的资金。目前这些努力已让银行获得预期效果。如此吸引到的资金总额已达中国银行存款总额的12%。然而这里也埋伏着威胁。与大型国有企业和银行不同，小型信贷银行偿还自己的金融产品要困难得多。例如，一旦出现股市恐慌储户开始取走存款，银行就又会承担风险，甚至开始破产。

In many small and medium-sized Banks cash shortages conditions，To release all kinds of non-cash financial products has chosen a offensive strategy。Purpose is to attract and keep savers money。At present, these efforts have let Banks get the expected effect。So drawn to the total amount of funds has amounted to the bank of China account for 12% of the total。Yet here also lie in to a threat。And the large state-owned enterprises and the bank is different，Small credit bank pay their own financial products to much more difficult。For example，Once appear, the stock market panic depositors began to remove deposit，The bank and will take risks，Even start to bankruptcy。

　　在这种条件下，中国政府完全有可能动用自己最经得住考验的杠杆之一，这就是让人民币贬值，为中国出口商创造额外的优势，俄罗斯审计咨询公司战略分析部主任伊格尔尼古拉耶夫这样认为。

In this condition，The Chinese government could use their most one of the leverage can stand the test，This is to devalue its currency，For Chinese exporters to create extra advantage，Russia audit consultation company strategy FenXiBu director igel Nicholas "husband think so。

　　他说：“进一步让人民升值无疑不利于中国。中国人很现实，当然不会不支持外界对自己产品的高需求。而这只要在人民币贬值的情况下才能办到。更何况，提高内需刺激经济的手段早在3、4年前就已动用，这里可回旋的余地已经不是很大。”

He said：“Further to let people appreciation against China undoubtedly。The Chinese people are very real，Of course not don't support for their products outside the high demand。And as long as this in yuan depreciation can do it。besides，Increase domestic demand stimulus means as early as 3、4 years ago already spent，Here can swing room has is not very big。”

　　可以预测，人为让人民币对美元贬值将会惹怒美国。首先，美国同中国的贸易逆差自然会增加。其次，中国公司会在美欧市场中获得优势。不会没有对应措施。美国显然会加强对中国的指责，而且不仅只在经济方面。

Can predict，Human to let the yuan against the U.S. dollar will annoy America。first，America's trade deficit with China naturally increased。second，Chinese companies in the us and Europe will be in the market for advantage。Not no corresponding measures。The United States will obviously be to strengthen China's accusations，And not only in economic terms。