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八月我国大豆进口量或大降--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-08-23
国家粮油信息中心昨日称,8月份中国大豆进口量可能降至450万吨,9-10月中国大豆进口量总计可能达700万吨,预计下半年中国大豆进口量将达到2550万吨,低于上半年的2905万吨。
National cereals and oil information center said yesterday,August Chinese soyabean imports may drop to 4.5 million tons,9-10 months China's soybean imports total could reach 7 million tons,Expected the second half of China's soybean imports will reach 25.5 million tons,Lower than that of the first half of 29.05 million tons。
大豆进口量骤降让人疑惑,因为海关总署8月10日公布的数据还显示,我国7月进口大豆587万吨,较上月的562万吨上升4.4%,较上年同期增长10%,为逾两年最高水准。
Soybean imports dip let doubted,Because of the general administration of customs on August 10th figures also show,China imported 5.87 million tons of soybeans in July,A last month's 5.62 million tons rose by 4.4%,A 10% year-on-year increase,For more than two years the highest level。
大豆价格近期持续大涨可能是导致进口意愿下降的主因。随着严重的旱情持续肆虐,美国玉米、大豆价格创出新高,其中7月玉米价格创出自1988年以来的最大月度涨幅,大豆价格自6月初以来上涨近30%。
Soybean prices surged to the sustained recent may be lead to import will decline due to。With the serious drought continues to rage across,U.S. corn、Soybean prices to fresh record highs,The July corn prices since 1988, creating the biggest monthly rise,Soybean prices since early June up nearly 30% since。
数据也显示,我国进口大豆的价格从年初的3750元/吨涨至4550元/吨,涨幅达21.33%。国内的大豆收购价格呈上涨趋势,8月份东北主产区大豆收购价格涨至4300-4460元/吨,同比上涨15.8%。
Data also shows,Our country is imported from soybean prices at the beginning of the year 3750 yuan/ton rose to 4550 yuan/ton,Increased by 21.33%。Domestic soybean purchase price is on the rise,In August the main northeast soybean purchase prices rose to 4300-4460 yuan/ton,Rose 15.8% year-on-year。
国家粮油信息中心也表示,由于大豆进口价格上涨,且食用油价格缺乏上调空间,压榨企业利润率降低,购买进口大豆速度放缓。但由于储备充足,中国大豆和食用油的供应量能够得到保证。
National cereals and oil information center also said,Because of the soybean import prices,Oil price rise and lack of space,Press enterprise profit rate reduced,Buy import soybean speed slow。But as a result of reserve enough,China's soybean and oil supply can be guaranteed。
或许正是迫于成本压力,食用油价格7月份以来持续上涨。卓创资讯分析师张兰兰表示,近期国内食用油涨价,主要是因花生、大豆等原料价格高位运行所致,企业成本压力大。在下游需求一般、成本压力大增的情况下,企业一般会试探性地上调价格以获得一定盈利。
Perhaps it is forced to cost pressure,Oil prices continue to rise since July。Zhuo and information analyst xie s-p, xie q said,Recent domestic oil prices,The reason is that the peanut、Soybean prices caused by raw materials such as high operation,Enterprise cost pressure。The downstream demand in general、Under the condition of a cost pressure,Enterprise usually tentatively raise prices to obtain a certain profit。
对此,国家发改委价格司近期召集中粮集团、益海嘉里、鲁花集团、九三油脂集团和汇福粮油集团等5大小包装食用油企业进行谈话,要求上述5家企业建立食用油价格报告制度,定期向国家发改委报送食用油出厂价、批发价和零售价。
this,The national development and reform commission recently called cofco price department、The yihai kerry、LuHua group、93 oil group and collect f cereals and oil group and so on 5 size packaging cooking oil enterprise conversation,For the above five enterprises establish edible oil price report system,Regularly to the national development and reform commission submitted to the edible oil ex-factory price、The wholesale price and retail price。
业内人士指出,国际粮食价格飙涨,国内食用油面临新一轮上涨压力,外界担心这轮提价会引发整个食用油行业的提价潮。为防患于未然,发改委开始出手“管控”食用油,发改委要求五大油企定期汇报食用油价格可能只是应对国际粮价暴涨压力的第一步。
The personage inside course of study points out that,The international grain prices rocketing,Domestic cooking oil face a new round of rising pressure,It is feared that this wheel price increase will cause the entire oil industry price increase tide。To nip in the bud,Development and reform commission began to make moves“control”Cooking oil,Development and reform commission requires five lard to report regularly cooking oil price may be just to deal with the international food prices jumped the first step of pressure。
“食用油价格若持续上涨,得不到有力控制,其蝴蝶效应很快会传导到其他食品,从而推高国内CPI,其威力远远高于原油价格上调。”有业内人士如是说。中国烹饪协会发布的最新调查报告中也显示,食用油价格的持续上调,对餐饮行业造成成本压力,今年上半年餐饮业主要原材料价格年均增长9%-10%。
“If oil prices continue to rise,Can not get effective control,The butterfly effect will soon conduction to other food,Thus pushing up domestic CPI,Her power is far higher than the price of crude oil increase。”The personage inside course of study says。Issued by the China cuisine association (the latest survey report also shows,Oil prices continue to rise,Food industry cause cost pressure,In the first half of this year catering industry main raw material price average annual growth of 9% - 10%。
此外,某券商食品行业分析师表示,尽管国内食用油主要有豆油、菜籽油、花生油三种,但大豆过度依赖进口,且东北产区大豆没有定价权,受国际市场大豆价格影响太大,而海外大豆价格上涨本身也存在炒作成分,价格主管部门理应出手干预。
In addition,A securities trader food industry analysts said,Although the domestic cooking oil mainly soybean oil、Rapeseed oil、Peanut oil three,But excessive dependence on soybean import,And the northeast region soybean no pricing,By the international market price of soybean have too much influence,And overseas soybean prices itself also exist hype composition,Price departments should make moves intervention。
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