在中国南方城市东莞，嘉虹实业(Jia Hong)人潮拥挤的展厅里展示着多年来一直销售给西方零售商的一桶桶橡皮泥和彩泥，以及为中国市场研发的较新玩具，如今中国市场占到了该公司销售额的15%。 

In the southern city of dongguan,Fine rainbow industrial(jia Hong)Crowded hall display over the years has been sold to western retailer of barrels plasticine and color mud,And for the China market research and Development of a new toy,Now the Chinese market the company accounted for 15% of sales. 

　　然而，该公司没有料到今年其主要出口市场（欧洲、美国和俄罗斯）的需求下滑30%。上周末公布的最新数据突显出中国各地工业活动放缓，8月制造业活动降至9个月低点。 

however,The company did not expect that this year the main export market(The European/The United States and Russia)30% of the decline in demand.The latest data released last weekend underlines the slowdown in industrial activities across China,August manufacturing activity fell to 9 months lows. 

　　嘉虹实业总经理钟建荣表示：“国内外市场眼下都不好。” 

jia rainbow industrial general manager ZhongjianRong said:"Domestic and foreign markets are not good at the moment." 

　　“由于订单短缺，我们不得不减少加班工作，30%的员工因此离职。” 

"Due to the shortage of order,We have to reduce the overtime working,30% of workers so exit." 

　　附近的一家玩具制造厂今年关闭。相比之下，去年夏季，钟建荣不得不额外聘用30名大学生兼职工作，以满足订单的需求。 

Nearby a toy factory closed this year.Compared with,Last summer,ZhongjianRong had to hire an additional 30 college students a part-time job,In order to meet the needs of the order. 

　　东莞的劳动密集型行业正在应对西方订单减少的局面，过去两年中国两位数的薪资通胀促使西方零售商将订单转移到东南亚和孟加拉国。东莞拥有800万人口，从远处看，这里像是一片工厂的森林。 

The dongguan labor-intensive industry is to deal with the situation of western order to reduce,In the past two years China's double-digit salary inflation prompt western retailers will order transfer to southeast Asia and Bangladesh.The dongguan has a population of 8 million,Looking from a distance,Here like a piece of factory of forest. 

　　欧美消费者需求疲弱促使零售商推迟下单，并将付款期限从60天延长到90天，这给东莞制造商构成了更大压力。香港玩具协会(Hong Kong Toys Council)主席、一家儿童产品和玩具公司董事丁炜章(Bernie Ting)表示：“这是形势复杂的一年，其程度类似于2008年。在正常的年份，会有一两个因素影响我们。今年则多达5到10个。” 

Europe and the United States consumer demand to the weak retailer delayed order,And the payment period from 60 days extended to 90 days,This gives the dongguan manufacturers of the bigger pressure.Hong Kong toy association(Hong Kong Toys council)chairman/A children's products and toys company directors DingHuiZhang(Bernie TING)said:"This is a complex situation,The degree of similar in 2008.In normal year,There will be a two factors affect us.This year it up to 5 to 10." 

　　随着服装、玩具和鞋类行业的就业转向东南亚，东莞凸显出高度工业化的中国南方省份广东所面临的挑战。中国纺织品进出口商会上周表示，今年前7个月，服装出口减少0.2%，去年同期则为增长24%。中国去年的服装出口总额略低于2500亿美元，这可能标志着该行业已经触顶。 

Along with the clothing/Toys and footwear industry employment to southeast Asia,The dongguan highlights the highly industrialized China southern guangdong province faces a challenge.China national textiles import and export chamber of commerce said last week,The first seven months of this year,Clothing export reduced by 0.2%,At the same time last year to 24% growth.China last year clothing exports slightly less than us $250 billion,This may mark the industry has top contact. 

　　中国纺织品进出口商会估计，今年上半年，日本从东南亚进口的服装增长22%。在生产羊毛针织衫的东莞郊区大朗镇，制造商抱怨称，毛利润率已从上世纪90年代末的30%至50%，大幅降至如今的5%至8%。在上月末视察包括东莞在内的中国南方城市时，中国总理温家宝承诺对出口商实行退税。 

China national textiles import and export chamber of commerce estimate,In the first half of this year,Japan imports from southeast Asia clothing increased by 22%.In the production of wool sweater DaLang town dongguan suburbs,Manufacturers complained that,Hair profitability has since the 1990 s of 30% to 50%,Greatly dropped to 5% today to 8%.In the late last month inspection including the dongguan, south China city,Chinese premier wen jiabao has vowed to exporters to execute drawback. 

　　广东宝丽雅(Forever Holdings)董事长叶中平(Chungping Ip)已目睹生产业务正从东莞转移到广东顺德和江西南康。该公司生产家用产品，并向东莞家具工厂供应木材。 

Guangdong, made(forever Holdings)The chairman YeZhongPing(Chungping IP)Already saw production business is from the dongguan transferred to guangdong shunde and jiangxi nankang.The company production of household products,And to the dongguan furniture factory supply wood. 

　　他预测，东莞劳动密集性行业将进一步空心化，因为该市多数工厂由腿脚勤快的企业家所有，上世纪80年代在中国开始对外资开放时，他们从香港和台湾来到这里。叶中平表示：“他们很容易再搬一次。” 

He predicted,The dongguan labor intensive sex industry will further KongXinHua,Because the city's most factories and hard-working entrepreneur by all,In the 1980 s in China began to foreign open,They came here from Hong Kong and Taiwan.YeZhongPing said:"They are easy to move a." 

　　颇具魅力的广东省委书记汪洋，是在中国即将到来的领导层换届中有望成为中共中央政治局常委的候选人之一，他用“腾笼换鸟”的比喻，解释了高科技和附加值行业应如何取代劳动密集型工厂。 

Considerable charm guangdong provincial party committee secretary wang Yang,In China the upcoming of leadership in the standing committee of CCCPC political bureau is expected to become one of the candidates,he"Vacate basket change a bird"parables,Explained the high-tech and added value industry should how to replace labor-intensive factory. 

　　香港贸易发展局(Hong Kong trade development council)经济学家Billy Wong表示，转型正在进行，他指出，香港公司把东莞作为物流管理和设计的中心。政府数据显示，今年头7个月，东莞经济增长7.4%。 

Hong Kong trade development council(Hong Kong trade Development council)Economists Billy Wong said,Transformation is,He pointed out that,Hong Kong company dongguan as the center of logistics management and design.Government data showed that,In the first seven months,The dongguan economy grew by 7.4%. 

　　问题是，东莞等城市能否证明自己足够灵活，成为深圳那样的城市，在毗邻香港的深圳，具备小城市规模的工厂为苹果(Apple)和富士施乐(Fuji-Xerox)制造产品。深圳还是中兴(ZTE)和华为(Huawei)等中国科技公司的总部所在地。 

The problem is,The dongguan and other cities can prove himself flexible enough,Shenzhen city become like that,Near Hong Kong in shenzhen,Have small city scale factory for apple(Apple)And Fuji xerox(Fuji - Xerox)Manufacturing products.Shenzhen or zte(zte)And huawei(Huawei)Science and technology of China, such as the company's headquarters is located. 

　　东莞的金融和高科技工业开发区看上去像是一个郁郁葱葱的波特金(Potemkin)式的村庄，与附近喧闹且肮脏的工厂区形成反差。 

The dongguan financial and high-tech industrial Development zone looks like a lush potter gold(Potemkin)Type village,With nearby noise and dirty factory town form contrast. 

　　广东社科院的丁力表示，尽管政府可以提出新的方针，但市场拥有最终发言权。 

Guangdong academy of social sciences' DingLi said,Although the government can put forward the new policy,But the market have the final say. 

　　丁力表示：“随着土地和劳动力成本的上涨以及泡沫的破裂，企业自己希望做出改变。” 

DingLi said:"As land and Labour costs and the bursting of the bubble,Enterprise oneself hope to change." 

　　他对东莞等城市可能面临的局面发出警告，这些城市在没有建立法治、也没有国际银行业传统的情况下，正追求成为金融和高科技中心的梦想。 

He to the dongguan and other cities could face situation warned,In these cities did not establish the rule of law/Also does not have the international banking traditional cases,Is the pursuit of become a financial and high-tech center dream. 

　　丁力表示，他们试图发展一个更复杂的制造业和服务业，但结果可能“鸡飞蛋打”。

DingLi said,They tried to develop a more complex manufacturing and services,But the results may"Dead loss".