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美国忽悠了中国贸易商?--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-11-15
Soybean oil futures prices hit a new low for 2011 years,Two months,Decline of 17%
China's press enterprise import soybean bought at a low price to sell,This year it is forecast to heavy losses
市场,总是风云变幻,总是这么爱捉弄人。两个月前,全球的豆油价格在美国大旱的消息刺激下一路飙升。转眼两个月过去了,豆油价格已经跌得一塌糊涂。昨日,大连商品交易所豆油主力合约y1308报收于每吨8490元,当天最低曾下探至每吨8426元。而在11月12日,y1308曾最低跌至每吨8410元,这个价格已经创下2011年以来的最低价。
market,Always changeable,Always so playing tricks on people.Two months ago,Global prices of rival soybean oil in the United States the news of the severe drought during stimulation soared.In the past two months,Soybean oil prices have fall in a great mess.yesterday,Dalian Commodity Exchange soybean oil main contract in y1308 at $8490 per ton,The minimum had dipped below to RMB 8426 / ton.And in November 12,,Y1308 had the lowest fall to $8410 per ton,The prices have hit a lowest since 2011.
两个月前豆油很牛气
Two months ago soybean oil is very arrogant
两个月前,美盘大豆价格创下有史以来的最高点,每蒲式耳1789美分,当然,这主要归因于美国持久的干旱。
Two months ago,Beauty disc soybean prices hit a record high,1789 cents per bushel,Of course,This is mainly attributed to the United States long drought.
世界银行集团最新发布的《粮食价格观察》报告称,由于美国和东欧夏季发生了前所未有的干旱和高温,7月份全球粮食价格较一个月前暴涨10%,其中玉米和大豆的价格更是达到有史以来的最高水平。
The world bank group released the latest[Food prices observation]The report says,Since America and eastern Europe summer happened unprecedented drought and high temperature,Global food prices in July is a month ago surged 10%,The corn and soybean prices was to reach the highest level ever.
美盘大豆价格走势强劲,我国大豆及豆油现货和期货价也是牛气冲天。9月4日,大连商品交易所大豆主力合约a1305报收于每吨5046元,上涨71元,创下自2009年以来的最高点,逼近2008年7月大豆每吨5240元的历史最高价。豆油主力合约y1301报收于每吨10264元,上涨92元。
Beauty disc soybean price trend strong,Our country soybean and soybean oil spot and QiHuoJia is the arrogant.On September 4,,Dalian Commodity Exchange soybean main contract at a1305 at 5046 yuan a ton,Rise 71 yuan,Set the highest since 2009,Approximation in July 2008 soybean $5240 per ton history high.Soybean oil main contract in y1301 at $10264 per ton,Rise 92 yuan.
昨日,大连商品交易所豆油主力合约y1308报收于每吨8490元,与两个月前的高点每吨10264元相比,一吨跌去1756元,跌幅高达17%以上。
yesterday,Dalian Commodity Exchange soybean oil main contract in y1308 at $8490 per ton,And two months ago high compared to $10264 per ton,A ton fell to 1756 yuan,Fall is as high as 17% above.
现货市场同步下跌。两个月前,我国进口大豆到岸价每吨5000元,目前大豆价格为每吨4400元,豆油价格跌到每吨8300元。
The spot market synchronous down.Two months ago,Our country is imported soybean cif $5000 per ton,At present the soybean prices for $4400 per ton,Soybean oil prices fell to $8300 per ton.
又被美国农业部忽悠了
The United States department of agriculture was a cheat
中国大豆对外的依存度高达80%,海关总署11月10日公布的数据显示,前10个月我国大豆进口量为4834万吨,同比增16.6%。在国际大豆价格高位运行的9月、10月,中国分别进口大豆497万吨和403万吨。
China's soybean external dependence is as high as 80%,The general administration of customs on November 10, figures showed,First 10 months China soybean imports for 48.34 million tons,Increased 16.6% year-on-year.In the international soybean prices high operation on September/October,China respectively import 4.97 million tons and 4.03 million tons of soybeans.
据了解,因为大豆进口不需要配额,压榨企业都可以进口,不少企业认为美国大豆真的会减产,所以高价进口。现在豆粕和大豆价格下调得厉害,中国压榨企业今年预计将出现较严重的亏损。
It is understood,Because the soybean import don't need quota,Press enterprise can import,Many companies say the United States really soybean production,So high import.Now soybean meal and soybean price cut badly,China's press enterprises this year is expected to appear more serious loss.
有期货行业人士质疑,美国农业部有操纵数据之嫌,其先前的报告夸大了干旱的影响,诱导中国贸易商抢购待涨。然后,再调高大豆的产量估值,使得大豆价格骤降,部分中国企业的大豆还没运到岸,企业就已支撑不下去了。“从美国大量进口大豆的中国处于信息不对称的地位,这也容易给国内的豆油压榨企业造成误判。”
Have the futures industry people questioned,The United States department of agriculture has manipulation data too,The previous report exaggerated the influence of drought,Induction Chinese traders snap up to rise.then,To raise soybean production valuations,Make soybean prices plummeting,Part of the China enterprise soybean haven't shipped cif,Enterprise has support not bottom go to."From the United States in the importation of large quantity of soybean in China the status of information asymmetry,This also easy to domestic soybean oil press enterprise cause miscarriage of justice."
食用油涨势得以遏制
Edible oil rise to contain
上周,我省粮食、食用油价格继续保持平稳运行态势。全省桶装食用油零售均价为每升16.57元。冬季是米、面、油消费旺季,对粮食和食用油价格支撑较强。目前我省粮油市场供应充裕,需求稳定,省商务厅预计,后期粮食、食用油价格仍将维持高位稳定态势。
Last week,Our province food/Oil prices continue to maintain smooth running situation.The bulk oil retail average to 16.57 yuan RMB per liter.Winter is m/surface/Oil consumption season,On food and cooking oil prices strong support.At present our province abundant supplies of grain market,Needs stable,Province business hall is expected,Late food/Oil prices are expected to remain high stability situation.
据了解,受近期国际大豆及豆油期货走低的拖累,国内豆油市场批发价走低。与上月相比,近日“金龙鱼”大豆油批发价格每箱(5L×4桶)206元,下调7元,降幅3.29%;“福临门”大豆油每箱200元,下调2元,降幅0.99%;“绿宝”大豆油每箱208元,下调4元,降幅1.89%。
It is understood,Subject to recent international soybean and soybean oil futures falling down,Domestic soybean oil market wholesale price low.Compared with last month,recently"Golden arowana"Soybean oil wholesale price per box(5 l x 4 barrel)206 yuan,Cut 7 yuan,A drop of 3.29%;"FuLin door"Soybean oil every box 200 yuan,Cut 2 yuan,A drop of 0.99%;"Green treasure"Soybean oil every box 208 yuan,Cut $4,A drop of 1.89%.
昨日,中华粮网研究员郭清保说,最近一段时间,大豆跌得还不算多,而豆油确实跌得很厉害。主要原因在于目前的棕榈油价格跌幅很大,库存量达到了历史高位,而豆油和棕榈油有替代关系。至于美国前段时间的大旱,炒作确实严重,而国内的企业并未去美国实际考察干旱情况,就在恐慌心理作用之下,高价位跟风买入了大量大豆。“但是,并不能以此认为,国内食用油价格就会马上跌下来,因为这些企业有可能限产,或者将大豆转销,不会将食用油的价格拉下太多,只不过上涨趋势受到了遏制”。
yesterday,The food and GuoQing the researcher said,A recent period of time,It's not too much soybean fall,And soybean oil really fell very badly.The main reason is that the palm oil price declines great,Inventory reached record highs,And soybean oil and palm oil have alternative relations.As for the United States the great drought some time ago,Hype really serious,And domestic enterprise did not go to the United States actual investigation drought conditions,In panic under psychological effect,High level follow suit to buy a large number of soybean."but,Do not think this,The domestic oil price will fall down immediately,Because these enterprise possible effects,Or will the soybean written off,The price of oil will not pull down too much,Only curbed rising trend".
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