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今年全球贸易增长或至2.5%--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2012-12-04

  世界贸易组织(WTO) 9月21日表示,因受欧洲危机影响,今年全球贸易或仅增长2.5%,不到前20年均值的一半。

The world trade organization(WTO) On September 21, said,Because of the influence by the European crisis,This year the global trade or rose by only 2.5%,Less than half of the former and NianJunZhi.

  WTO下修了此前预计2012年全球贸易增长3.7%的判断,同时将2013年全球贸易增速预估从5.6%调降至4.5%。WTO总干事拉米表示,贸易量的变动低于全球经济增长步伐令人意外,全球贸易面临的下行风险超过增长方面的风险。而该判断基于今明两年全球经济将分别增长2.1%和2.4%的普遍预估。

Under the WTO repaired expected 2012 global trade growth 3.7% of judgment,At the same time will be 2013 global trade growth estimate from 5.6% to 4.5% reduction.WTO director-general lam said,Trade volume changes than global economic growth pace surprising,Global trade downward risk more than the risk of growth.Based on the judgment in the next two years the global economic growth of 2.1%, respectively, and 2.4% of the general estimate.

  WTO预计今年发达经济体出口增速为1.5%,低于此前2%的预估,而发展中经济体的出口增速预估值从此前的5.6%降至3.5%。此外,WTO认为明年发达国家的出口增速将增加超过一倍至3.3%,而发展中国家出口将增长5.7%。

WTO is expected to developed economies this year export growth was 1.5%,Less than 2% of the previous estimate,And developing economies export growth estimates from the previous 5.6% to 3.5%.In addition,WTO think that next year the developed countries export growth will increase more than doubled to 3.3%,And developing countries export will increase by 5.7%.



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