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中国外贸强国之路任重道远--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2012-12-05
作者:闫岩
The author:闫岩
近年来,我国出口份额在全球出口份额中的比重持续提升,今年前三季度已达11.1%。但是专家认为,这种份额的提高只是暂时现象,不可持续,外贸强国之路仍然任重而道远。
In recent years,Our export share in global exports share the proportion of continued ascension,The first three quarters of this year has reached 11.1%.But experts say,The share of the increase is just a temporary phenomenon,unsustainable,Foreign trade power road still have a long way to go.
世贸组织秘书处最新公布的数据显示,今年前三季度,全球出口额约为13.5万亿美元,同比下降0.2%。其中,中国出口增长7.4%,占全球出口市场份额为11.1%,比2011年全年提高0.6个百分点。
The wto secretariat released the latest data show,The first three quarters of this year,Global export about $13.5 trillion,0.2% year-on-year drop.the,China's export growth of 7.4%,The export share of global market share of 11.1%,More than 2011 year increased by 0.6%.
分析人士认为,近年来,我国出口份额在全球出口份额中的比重持续提升,从2010年的9.7%到2011年的10.5%,再到今年前三季度的11.1%。未来三年,这一上升趋势仍将继续,到“十二五”末,我国出口份额在全球出口中的比重可能达到12%,至2020年,这个数字甚至有望提高至15%。
Analysts believe that,In recent years,Our export share in global exports share the proportion of continued ascension,From 9.7% in 2010 to 10.5% in 2011,The first three quarters of this year to 11.1%.The next three years,The rising trend will continue,to"1025"end,Our export share in global exports the proportion may be as high as 12%,To 2020,The number and even is expected to increase to 15%.
然而,这一“并不出人意料”的增长,却不能消解我国外贸一直存在着的“大而不强”问题,外贸强国之路仍然任重道远。
however,this"Not surprising"growth,But can't eliminate our country foreign trade has been existing"Big but not strong"problems,Foreign trade power road is still a long-term task.
“国外更糟糕”
"Foreign worse"
“全球份额的提升和我国出口形势的转好不能混为一谈。”商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院院长霍建国对国际商报记者表示,“我国全球市场份额的持续提升并不出人意料,因为国外的情况更糟糕。”
"The global share of ascension and our export situation turn good cannot confuse STH with STH else."The ministry of commerce international trade and economic cooperation research institute President HuoJianGuo on international business newspaper reporters,"Global market share in China's continued ascent is not surprising,Because foreign situation worse."
霍建国介绍说,今年1~10月全球出口增速不足2%,而我国出口增速虽然放缓,同期却也达到了6.3%的增幅。“虽然和我国自身的出口情况纵向比较,我们的出口增速放缓,但是从全球来看,份额增加是非常正常的。”国家发展和改革委员会对外经济研究所所长助理刘旭同样认为,国际份额增长的根本原因是“此消彼长”。欧美国家出口形势低迷,我国增速虽然放缓,但也不会降到国际平均增速以下,所以仍占据了国际市场更大的份额。
HuoJianGuo said,1 to October this year global export rate of less than 2%,And our export growth slowing though,During the same period but also to the growth of 6.3%."Although and China's exports of longitudinal comparison,Our export growth is slowing,But globally,Share increase is very normal."The national development and reform commission of foreign economic research institute assistant LiuXu also think,International share growth is the root cause"eliminates".The European and American countries export downturn situation,Although our country growth slowdown,But it is also not to the international average growth,So still occupy the international market more share.
未来几年里,国际市场份额的进一步增加也并非难事。霍建国对国际商报记者说:“至少到2015年,也就是"十二五"末,达到12%没有问题,何况国外经济大势低迷的情况恐怕还要持续一段时间。我国目前已经达到11.1%,今后三年每年只保持0.3个百分点即可达到12%。”
The next few years,The international market share to further increase also is not a very difficult task.HuoJianGuo on international business newspaper reporters:"Until at least 2015,is"1025"end,12% is no problem,How much more will the foreign economic downturn half I'm afraid to continue for some time.At present our country has reached 11.1%,The next three years only 0.3% each year to keep can reach 12%."
“大而不强”才是问题
"Big but not strong"Is the question
但从中长期来看,这种份额的提高只是暂时现象。“虽然我国出口的全球市场成长空间是存在的,但这种增长是不可持续的。”霍建国说。我国虽然已经成为世界第一出口大国,但并非强国。“"大而不强"主要表现在我国出口的质量和效率还不太高。”刘旭对国际商报记者表示,我国出口的结构性瓶颈已经显露,附加值低、缺乏核心竞争力等问题凸显。
But from the long term,The share of the increase is just a temporary phenomenon."Although our country's export global market growth space exists,But this kind of growth is unsustainable."HuoJianGuo said.Although China has become the world's biggest exporter,But not power.""Big but not strong"Mainly displays in our export quality and efficiency is not high."LiuXu on international business newspaper reporters,Our export structural bottleneck is clear,The low added value/The lack of core competition ability, to highlight the problem.
在谈到如何才能成为出口强国时,刘旭表示:“从企业层面讲,我国部分企业迫于近年来不断上升的用工成本等因素带来的压力,正在主动调整。通过"走出去"、建设研发中心、收购国外品牌等方式提高出口质量,初步取得了一些成效,但要使产业结构得到优化,还需一个从质变到量变的过程。”
When talking about how to become export power,LiuXu said:"Speaking from the enterprise level,In recent years in some enterprise under the rising labor costs and the pressures of factors,Are active adjustment.Through the"Go out"/Construction r&d center/Acquisition of foreign brands, etc to improve the quality of export,Preliminary achieved some results,But to make the industrial structure was optimized,Still need a from qualitative to quantitative change process."
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