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农产品贸易新调整--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2013-01-06

  2012年前10个月,我国农产品出口总额为499.8亿美元,同比增长4.3%,比去年同期增速回落21.7个百分点。农产品进口额为913.4亿美元,同比增长23.8%。预计全年农产品贸易整体增速在15%左右。

10 months of 2012 years ago,China's total exports of agricultural products for $49.98 billion,A year-on-year increase of 4.3%,Growth than the same period last year dropped 21.7%.Agricultural imports for $91.34 billion,A year-on-year increase of 23.8%.Throughout the year is expected to total agricultural trade growth at around 15%.

  农产品出口明显放缓

Agricultural exports slowed sharply

  水产品、蔬菜和禽肉是我国出口支柱产品,今年以来增速明显放缓。前10个月,水产品、果蔬产品和畜禽产品合计占我农产品出口总额的62.8%,出口增速依次为7.5%、-3.6%和6.6%。水产品出口受国际需求减少影响,出口增速低于去年同期23.8个百分点。受取消蔬菜出口退税政策等因素的影响,食用蔬菜出口额为56.2亿美元,同比减少21.9%。日本占我禽肉总出口额的60%,由于泰国已与日本签订自贸区协定,泰国禽肉企业进口税率远低于中国企业,前10个月我禽肉对日本出口数量仅增长5.6%。猪肉的主销市场在中国香港,对该市场出口数量下降23.2%。

Aquatic products/Vegetables and poultry is the backbone to our export products,Growth slowed sharply this year.Ten months before,Aquatic products/Aggregate fruit and vegetable products and livestock and poultry products accounted for 62.8% of my total exports of agricultural products,Export growth of 7.5%/- 3.6% and 6.6%.Aquatic product export affected by international demand decreases,Export growth rate less than 23.8% over the same period last year.Affected by cancel vegetable export drawback policy and other factors,Eating vegetables exports for $5.62 billion,Reduced by 21.9% year-on-year.Japan accounted for 60% of the total export volume of poultry,Because Thailand has signed a free trade agreement with Japan,Thailand poultry enterprise import tax rate is far lower than the Chinese enterprises,Ten months before I poultry exports to Japan only 5.6% growth.Pork sales market in Hong Kong, China,The market fell 23.2% export quantity.

  对欧盟、韩国等传统市场出口下降,对新兴市场增速趋缓。前10个月,我对欧盟、韩国等传统市场农产品出口增速分别下降7.1%和1.8%,美韩自贸区的建立对我农产品出口的挤出效应已初步显现。我对日本出口额98.7亿美元,同比增长12.9%。

The European Union/South Korea and other traditional market decline in exports,In emerging market growth slowed sharply.Ten months before,I to the European Union/Traditional markets such as South Korea agricultural product export growth fell by 7.1% and 7.1%, respectively,The establishment of the United States and South Korea free trade of agricultural product export to me extrusion has been revealed.Japan exports $9.87 billion to me,A year-on-year increase of 12.9%.

  我农产品出口企业对新兴市场(非洲、大洋洲)农产品出口增速仅为个位数,对俄罗斯、中东、南美等市场出口下降。

I agricultural product export enterprise to emerging markets(Africa/Oceania)Agricultural product export growth is only singly,To Russia/The Middle East/South America markets such as the export decline.

  出口企业家数与去年同期持平,但企业订单明显减少。前10个月,我农产品出口企业数量和去年同期相比基本持平,蔬菜出口企业数量减少了1%,而去年全年我农产品出口企业数量增长3%。今年秋交会我食品土畜会馆成交金额比春交会下降3.5%,比去年秋交会下降8.4%。欧洲和北美市场采购商数量下降明显,日本客商大量减少。我食品对欧美等传统市场成交均呈下降趋势,对独联体各国、北欧、南美及西亚各国有不同幅度的增长。

Export enterprise number with the same period last year,But enterprise order reduced obviously.Ten months before,I agricultural product export enterprise same amount compared with the same period last year,Vegetable export enterprise quantity decreased by 1%,And last year I 3% increase in the number of agricultural product export enterprise.This year autumn fair I food soil animals hall clinch a deal amount 3.5% lower than that of spring,Dropped by 8.4% than last year the autumn fair.Europe and North America market buyers to decline significantly,Japanese customers.My food to clinch a deal the traditional markets such as Europe and the United States are declined,To cis countries/The Nordic/South America and Asia countries have different range of growth.

  大豆、玉米等大宗商品进口势头强劲,奶粉等消费品进口表现依然抢眼。前10个月,我国大豆进口量为4833.6万吨,同比增长16.4%,进口主要源自巴西(占48.4%)和美国(占37.3%)。玉米进口量为454.4万吨,比去年同期增长3.8倍。小麦、稻谷、大米和原糖进口量同比分别增长2.5倍、2.8倍和78.3%。奶粉、葡萄酒、水果进口额同比分别增长16.8%、14%和31.5%,表现抢眼。

soybean/Commodities such as corn imports strong momentum,Milk powder, such as consumer goods imported still eye-catching performance.Ten months before,China's soybean imports for 48.336 million tons,A year-on-year increase of 16.4%,Main imports from Brazil(Accounted for 48.4%)And the United States(Accounted for 37.3%).Corn imports for 4.544 million tons,3.8 times higher than the same period last year.wheat/rice/Rice and sugar imports year-on-year growth of 2.5 times, respectively/2.8 times and 78.3%.Milk powder/wine/Fruit imports year-on-year growth of 16.8%, respectively/14% and 31.5%,A strong.

  出口食品安全问题依然存在

Export food safety problems still exist

  世界经济面临下行压力,食品消费意愿有所下降。今年以来,国际大宗农产品市场对我出口的拉动作用不如去年,玉米、大豆、棉花、食糖等产品价格涨跌不一,整体呈高位盘整的态势。总体看,全球经济低速增长和需求不足的情况可能常态化,这对我农产品贸易带来不利影响。特别是欧债危机改变了欧元区居民的消费习惯,在西班牙等重债国,民众外出就餐次数明显减少,这对我部分加工农产品扩大出口十分不利。

The world economy is facing downward pressure,Food consumption will decline.Since this year,The export of international agricultural commodities market to me pull role than last year,corn/soybean/cotton/Sugar and other products price fluctuations,Whole shows high consolidation.The overall look,The circumstance of insufficient demand for low growth and the global economy may be normal,The agricultural products trade bring adverse effect to me.Especially the European debt crisis has changed the eurozone residents' consumption habits,ChongZhaiGuo in Spain, etc,People dine out often reduce obviously,This part to me processing expand exports of agricultural products is very bad.

  出口企业价格优势削弱,在品牌、技术、渠道控制等方面的短板逐渐暴露。近年来,农产品生产价格一直呈上升趋势。2011年与2002年相比,我国农产品生产价格和食品消费价格累计上涨幅度分别为106.5%和85.3%。今年前三季度,全国农产品生产价格同比上涨3.5%,涨幅比去年同期回落14.8个百分点。随着出口订单向大企业不断转移,加之出口成本上升、融资难等因素影响,部分中小企业经营情况开始恶化,亟须政府和行业组织为其提供各种支持性政策与服务。

Export enterprises price advantage,In the brand/technology/Channel control aspects of the short board exposed gradually.In recent years,Agricultural production have been rising prices.Compared with 2002 in 2011,Prices of China's agricultural production and food consumption has risen by 106.5% and 85.3% respectively.In the previous three quarters of this year,The national agricultural production prices rose by 3.5% year-on-year,Increase over the same period last year dropped 14.8%.With export orders to transfer large enterprises,And export costs rise/Influence of financing,Part of the small and medium-sized enterprise management condition began to deteriorate,Therefore government and industry organizations to provide all kinds of supportive policies and services.

  出口食品安全问题压力不减,贸易摩擦继续升温。2012年9月,德国东部地区上万学生疑因食用进口的中国草莓而出现腹泻、呕吐现象。尽管我国家质检总局及时澄清并强调责任不在中方,但这一事件再次对我出口食品安全敲响警钟。2012年以来,欧盟、日本等地区分别提高茶叶等产品的农残限量标准,日本决定将2006年实施的肯定列表制度中的暂定标准变为一律标准,即采取“零容忍”的做法。这一措施违反WTO/SPS原则,并将对贸易带来不利影响。印尼加强了大蒜进口限制措施,要求进口商必须进行备案和申请配额,不允许从雅加达港进口,而该地区是我对印尼大蒜出口的主销市场。美国继续对我禽肉开关问题采取拖延战术。这些都增加了我企业扩大出口的难度。

Export food safety pressure,Trade friction continues to heat up.In September 2012,In eastern Germany tens of thousands of students may appear because of strawberries imports of Chinese diarrhea/vomiting.Although I don't timely to clarify and emphasize the responsibility Chinese state general administration of quality supervision, inspection,But this event again export food safety alarming to me.Since 2012,The European Union/Japan and other regions respectively improve the limited standards of pesticide residues in tea and other products,Japan decided to implement the positive list system of the 2006 interim standards into uniform standards,That is to take"Zero tolerance"The practice of.The measures in violation of WTO/SPS principle,And will bring adverse impact on trade.Indonesia to strengthen the garlic import restrictions,Requires the record must be carried out by the importer and apply for quota,Don't allow imports from Jakarta port,And the region is my garlic export sales market in Indonesia.The United States continue to poultry switch delaying tactics to the problems to me.These are the difficulty of my enterprise expand exports increased.

  政策波动影响出口企业信心。2012年年初以来,部分农产品出口退税政策调整,不仅对农产品出口企业信心造成一定影响,而且使企业出口成本上涨。

Policy fluctuations affect export enterprise.Since the beginning of 2012,Part of the agricultural product export drawback policy adjustment,Not only to the agricultural product export enterprise faith cause certain effect,And make the enterprise export costs.

  明年仍继续推行“稳增长调结构”政策

Continue to carry out next year"Steady growth in the structure"policy

  经过2010年、2011年两年的高速发展,预计我农产品出口将在2013年进入到一个调整期,出口增速将会放缓。在严峻的形势下,对中国农产品贸易发展依然充满信心:一是十八大高度重视“三农”工作,进一步强调,解决好“三农”问题是全党工作重中之重,农产品出口将迎来更多的政策红利;二是当前中国食品工业正处在快速发展阶段,前9个月食品工业逆势增长21.6%,而食品出口比重不及3%,未来仍有较大的发展潜力;三是农产品进口正从原料进口驱动为主向消费升级驱动为主转变,诸多海内外企业看好中国农产品、食品进口市场;四是进口政策呈现利好。2013年1月1日起,我国将下调调味品和婴幼儿奶粉的进口关税,其中,特殊婴幼儿奶粉关税将由20%下调至5%。

After 2010 years/In 2011, two years of rapid development,I agricultural exports is expected in 2013 into a setting,Export growth will slow.In the severe situation,For the development of China's agricultural trade is still full of confidence:A is the eighteenth big great attention"Agriculture, rural areas and farmers"work,To further emphasize,solve"Agriculture, rural areas and farmers"Problem is the most important thing in the whole party work,The policy of the agricultural product export will have more bonus;2 it is the current China's food industry is in rapid development stage,Food industry contrarian grew by 21.6% in the first nine months,And food export proportion less than 3%,There is still a great potential in the future;Three is driven agricultural imports are imported from raw material consumption is given priority to upgrade the driver is given priority to,Many enterprises at home and abroad on China's agricultural products/Imported food markets;Four is present good import policy.As of January 1, 2013,China will cut condiments and infant milk powder of import tariffs,Among them,Special infant milk powder tariffs will be cut from 20% to 5%.

  商会在优化外贸“两个布局”,推进“三项建设”的工作中将发挥更大的作用。继续积极探索平台+品牌+基地的促进模式,全力配合做好农产品行业出口示范基地、专业市场、海外营销网络建设工作,积极争取政策和资金方面支持。千方百计帮助企业开拓市场,加大对非洲、中东、和俄罗斯等新兴市场的开拓力度,积极推动食品品牌企业“走出去”。

Chamber of commerce in the optimization of foreign trade"Two layout",To promote"Construction of the three"The work will play a greater role.Continue to actively explore platform + base + brand promotion mode,To coordinate with agricultural product export demonstration base/Professional market/Overseas marketing network construction work,For policy and financial support.One thousand party hundreds to help enterprise to expand the market,Increase in Africa/The Middle East/And open up emerging markets such as Russia,Actively promote food brand enterprise"To go out".

  积极探索推动行业转型升级。引导行业发展有机食品,培育橙汁、药用菌等新的出口增长点,大力促进外贸企业向国内消费品品牌企业转型。深化食用菌工厂化技术的引进和推广工作,探索在部分子行业建立行业技术联盟。积极推动企业利用电子商务开拓国内外市场。

Explore actively promote the transformation and upgrading of industry.Lead the development of the industry of organic food,Cultivation of orange juice/YaoYongJun etc. New export growth point,Vigorously promote the foreign trade enterprises to domestic consumer brand enterprise transformation.Deepening of edible fungi factory technology introduction and promotion work,In the terrorists to establish industry technology alliance.Actively promote enterprises using e-commerce develops the domestic and international market.

  积极做好贸易促进和行业交流工作。继续办好中国茶业大会、中国果汁大会、油脂油料产业峰会等重点会展活动,打牢商会可持续发展的业务基础。扩大对内对外行业交往范围,与国外同行业组织开展深度、务实合作。加强重点出口市场贸易救济、技术壁垒的应对工作。对我出口的敏感、大宗商品建立预警机制,探索建立应对国外技术壁垒的长效机制。在重点市场开展中国农产品、食品质量安全宣传和贸易促进活动。配合政府部门建立快速高效的出口食品安全危机管理机制,及时应对出口食品安全突发事件。

Active to do a good job of trade promotion and trade exchange.Continue to do well the Chinese tea/China's fruit juice conference/Grease oil industry summit, such as key events,Solid business foundation for the sustainable development of chamber of commerce.Internal and external industry association,With foreign trade organization carries out the depth/Pragmatic cooperation.Strengthen key export markets trade relief/Technical barriers to work.The export of sensitive for me/Commodities set up early warning mechanism,Explore the establishment of the long-standing mechanism to deal with foreign technical barriers.In key markets for agricultural products in China/Food quality and safety propaganda and trade promotion activities.With the government departments to establish efficient export food safety crisis management mechanism,To deal with the export of food safety emergencies in a timely manner.

  加强服务创新,为会员企业提供信息、技术、公共平台等一站式服务。进一步完善大宗进口农产品的备案和信息发布工作,定期为会员企业提供行业简讯,及时发布一手的、权威的行业信息。在做好进口监测的基础上,研究提升大宗农产品进口议价能力。继续完善禽用兽药联合采购中的全程食品安全管理体系。努力培育具有行业特色的标准制定、信用评级、电子商务等服务平台。(作者:张强)

Strengthen the service innovation,Enterprise to provide information for the member/technology/Public platform and other one-stop services.Further perfecting the bulk of imported agricultural products and information,Regularly for the member enterprises to provide industry newsletter,By hand in time/Authoritative industry information.In well monitoring on the basis of imports,Research promote agricultural commodities import bargaining power.Continue to improve the poultry in veterinary medicine joint procurement of the whole food safety management system.Efforts to cultivate with the characteristic of industry standards/Credit rating/Electronic business service platform.(The author:Zhang qiang)



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